2018 Midterm Election

Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
44,850
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I don't hold out much hope for Yankees waking up in sufficient numbers to oust the GOP but I still would love to see it just to watch the brain dead Trumpkins's heads collectively explode. It would be the grand finale to this three ring circus.


Oh, oh! Here comes the ring master now to throw a hissy fit and give me a red...
 

justducky

Electoral Member
Aug 2, 2018
429
0
16
I don't hold out much hope for Yankees waking up in sufficient numbers to oust the GOP but I still would love to see it just to watch the brain dead Trumpkins's heads collectively explode. It would be the grand finale to this three ring circus.


Oh, oh! Here comes the ring master now to throw a hissy fit and give me a red...
https://politicalwire.com/2018/08/06/quote-of-the-day-2003/

“In all likelihood, Republicans are going to lose seats in the House, they’re going to lose governorships, they’re going to lose state legislative seats. I think the president would be well-advised to say we face an uphill fight but he feels good about it, rather than set the expectation that somehow or another the Republicans are going to gain across the board with a red wave.”

— Karl Rove, in an interview on Fox News.
 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
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It will be a red wave in November, a gain of up to five senate seats and 10 - 15 house seats.
 

justducky

Electoral Member
Aug 2, 2018
429
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The wall starts to crumble
Though the Supreme Court of the United States is content to let Republican lawmakers rig congressional elections, the Pennsylvania Supreme Court was not. Last January, the state supreme court held that the state’s existing maps violate the state constitution and ordered new maps drawn for the 2018 election.

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The new maps still favor the GOP — they include “four swing districts, eight that favor Republicans, and six that favor Democrats” — but that’s still a substantial improvement for Democrats over the previous maps, which made Republicans the strong favorite in 13 districts.

Then, in May, Ohio voters overwhelmingly approved a ballot measure that would make it harder for either party to recreate the kind of gerrymander Republicans enacted in 2010. The initiative creates a Rube Goldberg-like method of drawing Congressional districts that will be in effect in the 2021 redistricting cycle.

Ohio’s solution is not perfect, and it is difficult to summarize concisely (if you want to learn the details, you can read about them here), but it uses a combination of supermajority requirements, requirements that new maps be approved by some members of the minority party, and a fail safe that causes maps drawn by the majority party to expire in four years if the two parties cannot reach a consensus. At the very least, it will seriously complicate Republican efforts to keep in place maps like the ones Ohio has now.
 

justducky

Electoral Member
Aug 2, 2018
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https://www.politicususa.com/2018/0...e-the-ones-to-create-a-blue-wave-in-2018.html

Study Shows Swing Voters Will Be the Ones to Create a Blue Wave in 2018


A new study of voting attitudes and preferences shows that the key to this year’s midterm elections will be so-called “swing voters” and not the voters who are historically partisan in favor of either Democrats or Republicans.

This study, called The 2018 VOTER Survey, identified swing voters as those who split parties in their votes during the two most recent presidential elections.

One group of swing voters went for Mitt Romney in 2012 and Hillary Clinton in 2016 (Romney-Clinton voters) and the other group went for Barack Obama in 2012 and Donald Trump in 2016 (Obama-Trump voters).

The study is important because it discounts the popular theory that partisan voter turnout this year holds the key to victory for either of the two major parties. Democrats and Republicans have both said that to prevail in the midterms they must get their core voters to the voting booth in very high numbers, which is difficult in off-year elections.
 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
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A left wing group says the progs will win in November, quelle surprise.
 

Hoid

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 15, 2017
20,408
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Trump gets nothing done with his current majority.

Cannot pass repeal/replace, cannot pass immigration, cannot build wall

the mid terms are probably irrelevant in terms of what this sad sack president gets done.
 

justducky

Electoral Member
Aug 2, 2018
429
0
16
Trump gets nothing done with his current majority.

Cannot pass repeal/replace, cannot pass immigration, cannot build wall

the mid terms are probably irrelevant in terms of what this sad sack president gets done.
Didn't you hear? Trump is hoping for another meeting with Kim Jong Un before the mid terms LOL! Talk about giving leverage to your opponent.
 

justducky

Electoral Member
Aug 2, 2018
429
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https://politicalwire.com/2018/08/07/study-finds-trumps-base-is-weaker-than-it-seems/

Trump’s Base Is Weaker Than It Seems

August 7, 2018 at 9:47 am EDT*By*Taegan Goddard*144 Comments

Peter Enns, Jonathon Schuldt and Adrienne Scott: “The key to our analysis was to divide Republicans into three groups: those who say they identify strongly with the Republican Party; those who identify as Republicans but not strongly; and those who call themselves independents but say they lean toward the Republican Party. These distinctions, often obscured in media coverage, are important because research shows that the strength of a voter’s partisan identity has an important effect on their political attitudes.”

“Among strong Republicans, Trump’s overall approval rating is 93%, with 78% ‘strongly’ approving of the president. The problem for Trump, however, is that these voters make up less than half of the Republican electorate — and 18% of likely voters.”

“Among the larger number of Republicans who identify less strongly with their party, Trump is much less popular. For example, Trump’s overall approval rating among not-so-strong Republicans is 72%, with 38% saying they strongly approve. Thirty-four percent say they only ‘somewhat’ approve of Trump. Those numbers are similar among independent-leaning Republicans.”

“To be sure, having reservations about the president doesn’t mean Republican voters will abandon their party and vote for Democrats in the autumn. But it does raise the question of how much Republican congressional candidates can count on those who ‘somewhat approve’ of Trump.”
 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
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The article says the independent leaning Republicans still favour Trump by 72%, holy crap, that’s a big margin of victory.
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Red Deer AB
This is like watching a soccer game with the nets turned around. Doubly boring as the thingy a couple of years ago.
 

EagleSmack

Hall of Fame Member
Feb 16, 2005
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It is so enjoyable to see the Alt-Left racists raging helplessly. I enjoy their nurturing tears.

Tax Breaks, 2 SCOTUS appointees, More 9th Circuit vacancies to be filled, Immigration Laws being enforced, lowest unemployment numbers in decades, Booming stock market... the list goes on and on.

And if the Democrats take either or both houses back in November... anything that is detrimental will be all their fault.

That's the way it works.


*snicker*
 

Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
44,850
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Nakusp, BC