Lots of standing water in the fields. Haven't seen any "yellow" ones yet. Our camper is next to a canola field & it's still green!
It's Climate Change I tell'ya!! IT'S CLIMATE CHANGE!!
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France records 300 excess deaths during May heatwave
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jun 30, 2026 • 1 minute read
'We recorded 300 excess deaths,' said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France. Photo by Thomas SAMSON /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — French health officials said on Tuesday that there were at least 300 more deaths than expected during a five-day heatwave in May, the country’s first of the year.
“We recorded 300 excess deaths, corresponding to an increase of nearly 14 percent,” said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France, adding that the deaths were due to all causes combined and were not necessarily linked to elevated temperatures.
The May heat episode, “characterized by its early timing and intensity compared with seasonal norms, exposed a population not yet accustomed at that time of year to high temperatures, during a period when school and work activities are still in full swing,” the public health agency said.
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
The latest episode of extreme temperatures disrupted life in France, where few homes are equipped with air-conditioning units, and most schools are not designed to cope with extreme heat.
Citing preliminary figures, health officials on Sunday said they registered around 1,000 more deaths than during the same period in previous months since Wednesday last week, when France was at its hottest since records began.
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Monday that more people had died in their homes during the latest heatwave than in previous episodes.
Heatwaves typically cause between 1,000 and 7,000 deaths per year, and “this summer we may be closer to 7,000 than to 1,000”, epidemiologist Basile Chaix of French research institute INSERM told AFP.
torontosun.com
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jun 30, 2026 • 1 minute read
'We recorded 300 excess deaths,' said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France. Photo by Thomas SAMSON /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — French health officials said on Tuesday that there were at least 300 more deaths than expected during a five-day heatwave in May, the country’s first of the year.
“We recorded 300 excess deaths, corresponding to an increase of nearly 14 percent,” said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France, adding that the deaths were due to all causes combined and were not necessarily linked to elevated temperatures.
The May heat episode, “characterized by its early timing and intensity compared with seasonal norms, exposed a population not yet accustomed at that time of year to high temperatures, during a period when school and work activities are still in full swing,” the public health agency said.
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
The latest episode of extreme temperatures disrupted life in France, where few homes are equipped with air-conditioning units, and most schools are not designed to cope with extreme heat.
Citing preliminary figures, health officials on Sunday said they registered around 1,000 more deaths than during the same period in previous months since Wednesday last week, when France was at its hottest since records began.
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Monday that more people had died in their homes during the latest heatwave than in previous episodes.
Heatwaves typically cause between 1,000 and 7,000 deaths per year, and “this summer we may be closer to 7,000 than to 1,000”, epidemiologist Basile Chaix of French research institute INSERM told AFP.
France records 300 excess deaths during May heatwave
"We recorded 300 excess deaths, corresponding to an increase of nearly 14 percent," said the director general of Public Health France.
Amatueures. THe last hot day, Vancouver managed to eliminate 612.France records 300 excess deaths during May heatwave
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jun 30, 2026 • 1 minute read
'We recorded 300 excess deaths,' said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France. Photo by Thomas SAMSON /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — French health officials said on Tuesday that there were at least 300 more deaths than expected during a five-day heatwave in May, the country’s first of the year.
“We recorded 300 excess deaths, corresponding to an increase of nearly 14 percent,” said Caroline Semaille, director general of Public Health France, adding that the deaths were due to all causes combined and were not necessarily linked to elevated temperatures.
The May heat episode, “characterized by its early timing and intensity compared with seasonal norms, exposed a population not yet accustomed at that time of year to high temperatures, during a period when school and work activities are still in full swing,” the public health agency said.
Apart from the May heatwave, France experienced a record-breaking heatwave of 11 days earlier this month that scientists link to climate change.
The latest episode of extreme temperatures disrupted life in France, where few homes are equipped with air-conditioning units, and most schools are not designed to cope with extreme heat.
Citing preliminary figures, health officials on Sunday said they registered around 1,000 more deaths than during the same period in previous months since Wednesday last week, when France was at its hottest since records began.
Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu said on Monday that more people had died in their homes during the latest heatwave than in previous episodes.
Heatwaves typically cause between 1,000 and 7,000 deaths per year, and “this summer we may be closer to 7,000 than to 1,000”, epidemiologist Basile Chaix of French research institute INSERM told AFP.
France records 300 excess deaths during May heatwave
"We recorded 300 excess deaths, corresponding to an increase of nearly 14 percent," said the director general of Public Health France.
France deaths rose by 30% during heatwave
The number of deaths increased by 62 percent in the Paris region over the same period, Public Health France said in a new report.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jul 03, 2026 • 2 minute read
The government of Sebastien Lecornu faces a no-confidence vote in parliament over its handling of June's heatwave. Photo by Kenzo TRIBOUILLARD /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — France endured a rise of nearly 30 percent in the number of deaths recorded during the week starting June 22, the peak of a record-breaking heatwave that battered the country, the public health authority said Friday.
The number of deaths increased by 62 percent in the Paris region over the same period, Public Health France said in a new report. A similar spike has been recorded in the western region of Pays de la Loire.
Officials expect the tally to rise further.
The government of Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu faces a no-confidence vote in parliament, possibly on Monday, over its handling of June’s heatwave, when temperatures climbed above 40C in many places. The extreme heat disrupted daily life, forcing schools to close and trains to be cancelled.
On Friday, Public Health France said there had been “an increase of 29.1 percent, corresponding to 2,025 additional deaths compared with the previous week” while noting that the figure was probably “an underestimate”.
The increase in deaths is concentrated almost entirely among people aged 45 and over.
“Although we are seeing a clear rise among 45–64-year-olds, people aged 65 and over account for the largest share of deaths,” Public Health France said.
The increase is particularly noticeable in deaths at home, which nearly doubled within a single week.
Lecornu has said more people died in their homes during the latest heatwave than in previous episodes.
Some politicians have said Frane has failed to put in place measures to deal with rising temperatures.
Around 15,000 people died in France during a severe heatwave in 2003, with many elderly people dying in nursing homes.
The June heatwave is considered more intense, but authorities say its consequences have been less severe.
“It will probably not be comparable,” Health Minister Stephanie Rist said on Friday.
Nicolas Revel, director general of the Paris public hospital system, has said he expects the death toll from the June heatwave to be lower than that of 2003, but “probably” higher than an episode last year that claimed 5,700 lives.
The Greens have claimed the June heatwave might have caused 10,000 deaths in France, prompting a strong rebuttal from Lecornu.
France also experienced an unusually early heatwave in May, with health officials saying there were at least 300 more deaths than expected during that period.
© 2026 AFP
torontosun.com
The number of deaths increased by 62 percent in the Paris region over the same period, Public Health France said in a new report.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jul 03, 2026 • 2 minute read
The government of Sebastien Lecornu faces a no-confidence vote in parliament over its handling of June's heatwave. Photo by Kenzo TRIBOUILLARD /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — France endured a rise of nearly 30 percent in the number of deaths recorded during the week starting June 22, the peak of a record-breaking heatwave that battered the country, the public health authority said Friday.
The number of deaths increased by 62 percent in the Paris region over the same period, Public Health France said in a new report. A similar spike has been recorded in the western region of Pays de la Loire.
Officials expect the tally to rise further.
The government of Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu faces a no-confidence vote in parliament, possibly on Monday, over its handling of June’s heatwave, when temperatures climbed above 40C in many places. The extreme heat disrupted daily life, forcing schools to close and trains to be cancelled.
On Friday, Public Health France said there had been “an increase of 29.1 percent, corresponding to 2,025 additional deaths compared with the previous week” while noting that the figure was probably “an underestimate”.
The increase in deaths is concentrated almost entirely among people aged 45 and over.
“Although we are seeing a clear rise among 45–64-year-olds, people aged 65 and over account for the largest share of deaths,” Public Health France said.
The increase is particularly noticeable in deaths at home, which nearly doubled within a single week.
Lecornu has said more people died in their homes during the latest heatwave than in previous episodes.
Some politicians have said Frane has failed to put in place measures to deal with rising temperatures.
Around 15,000 people died in France during a severe heatwave in 2003, with many elderly people dying in nursing homes.
The June heatwave is considered more intense, but authorities say its consequences have been less severe.
“It will probably not be comparable,” Health Minister Stephanie Rist said on Friday.
Nicolas Revel, director general of the Paris public hospital system, has said he expects the death toll from the June heatwave to be lower than that of 2003, but “probably” higher than an episode last year that claimed 5,700 lives.
The Greens have claimed the June heatwave might have caused 10,000 deaths in France, prompting a strong rebuttal from Lecornu.
France also experienced an unusually early heatwave in May, with health officials saying there were at least 300 more deaths than expected during that period.
© 2026 AFP
France deaths rose by 30% during heatwave
France endured a rise of nearly 30 percent in the number of deaths recorded during the week starting June 22.
What we know about the European heatwave
As the mercury starts to rise again in Europe, here's what we know so far about the impact of the early summer heatwave
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jul 03, 2026 • 3 minute read
Scientists say heatwaves are becoming stronger and longer due to climate change.
Scientists say heatwaves are becoming stronger and longer due to climate change. Photo by Roman PILIPEY /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — Europe is still taking stock of a powerful heatwave in late June but experts are already confident it ranks among the worst ever recorded — even rivalling a freak 2003 episode.
Temperature records were rewritten across Europe as hundreds of millions of people withered under extreme heat that closed schools, shut down transport and cost untold lives.
A heat dome trapped hot air from North Africa over the Iberian Peninsula in late June before spreading as far as the United Kingdom, eventually weakening over central and eastern parts of Europe in early July.
As the mercury starts to rise again in Europe, here’s what we know so far about the impact of the early summer heatwave:
– Memories of 2003 –
As the June episode intensified, comparisons were quickly made to August 2003, when a heatwave of unprecedented magnitude baked Europe for a fortnight, causing tens of thousands of excess deaths.
Alvaro Silva, from the World Meteorological Organization, said duration was one measure of heatwave severity — along with intensity and range — and this recent episode was not as long as 2003.
“But we got many temperature records during this heatwave and the most impressive thing, we were still in June. So this is a big difference,” the climate scientist told AFP.
France’s weather service said the 14-day heatwave was even “more intense” than the 2003 episode that claimed 15,000 lives in France — although it was two days shorter.
Meteo France said temperatures above 40C were registered 114 times between June 17 and June 29 — surpassing the previous record of 87 instances during August 2003.
The UK Met Office said “direct comparisons with historic events are not straightforward because each heatwave has different characteristics”.
The recent heatwave was “one of the most significant” the UK has experienced in recent decades and particularly notable for a combination of “sustained heat, exceptional humidity and very warm nights”, it added.
– Severe, historic –
World Weather Attribution, a network of climate scientists, said the heatwave was the “most severe ever recorded” based on a three-day forecast of average peak temperatures over the region studied.
Such a heatwave would have been “virtually impossible” without the influence of climate change, they said. A similar event in June 2003 would have been about 2C cooler.
In a preliminary assessment, Germany’s weather service said the heatwave “can without a doubt be described as historic”.
“Since weather records began, there has never before been such a long and intense heatwave so early in the summer, in Germany or in many other parts of Europe,” it said.
Radim Tolasz, a climatologist at the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, told AFP the heatwave smashed previous temperature highs and for June was the longest ever recorded.
In the Netherlands it was only the sixth most severe on record.
– 35C for 2/3rds of Europeans –
More than two-thirds of Europeans endured temperatures topping 35C during the June 15-30 heatwave, according to an AFP analysis.
Areas inhabited by some 410 million people on the continent were concerned by the hot spell, compared with 320 million during the record-setting heatwave of August 2003.
Almost the entire population of mainland France and more than three-quarters of the combined populations of Spain and Italy experienced temperatures exceeding 35C at some point in June.
– Death toll –
The heatwave has been linked to thousands of excess deaths in Europe.
France recorded a 29.1 percent increase in the number of recorded deaths during the week starting June 22. That corresponded to 2,025 additional deaths compared to the previous week.
In Spain, at least 1,028 people died of heat-related issues in June, more than double the figure from the same month last year.
Belgium reported 39 percent more deaths than normal between June 18 and 29, amounting to 1,222 excess fatalities.
In the Netherlands, provisional estimates of mortality figures for June 22-28 indicated approximately 480 more deaths than expected.
– Temperature records –
Temperature records tumbled across Europe, with the thermometer topping 40C in many locations during the hot spell.
Germany, Poland, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Hungary recorded their hottest ever temperatures, while the United Kingdom, France and Switzerland hit new highs for June.
torontosun.com
As the mercury starts to rise again in Europe, here's what we know so far about the impact of the early summer heatwave
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
Published Jul 03, 2026 • 3 minute read
Scientists say heatwaves are becoming stronger and longer due to climate change.
Scientists say heatwaves are becoming stronger and longer due to climate change. Photo by Roman PILIPEY /AFP
Paris (France) (AFP) — Europe is still taking stock of a powerful heatwave in late June but experts are already confident it ranks among the worst ever recorded — even rivalling a freak 2003 episode.
Temperature records were rewritten across Europe as hundreds of millions of people withered under extreme heat that closed schools, shut down transport and cost untold lives.
A heat dome trapped hot air from North Africa over the Iberian Peninsula in late June before spreading as far as the United Kingdom, eventually weakening over central and eastern parts of Europe in early July.
As the mercury starts to rise again in Europe, here’s what we know so far about the impact of the early summer heatwave:
– Memories of 2003 –
As the June episode intensified, comparisons were quickly made to August 2003, when a heatwave of unprecedented magnitude baked Europe for a fortnight, causing tens of thousands of excess deaths.
Alvaro Silva, from the World Meteorological Organization, said duration was one measure of heatwave severity — along with intensity and range — and this recent episode was not as long as 2003.
“But we got many temperature records during this heatwave and the most impressive thing, we were still in June. So this is a big difference,” the climate scientist told AFP.
France’s weather service said the 14-day heatwave was even “more intense” than the 2003 episode that claimed 15,000 lives in France — although it was two days shorter.
Meteo France said temperatures above 40C were registered 114 times between June 17 and June 29 — surpassing the previous record of 87 instances during August 2003.
The UK Met Office said “direct comparisons with historic events are not straightforward because each heatwave has different characteristics”.
The recent heatwave was “one of the most significant” the UK has experienced in recent decades and particularly notable for a combination of “sustained heat, exceptional humidity and very warm nights”, it added.
– Severe, historic –
World Weather Attribution, a network of climate scientists, said the heatwave was the “most severe ever recorded” based on a three-day forecast of average peak temperatures over the region studied.
Such a heatwave would have been “virtually impossible” without the influence of climate change, they said. A similar event in June 2003 would have been about 2C cooler.
In a preliminary assessment, Germany’s weather service said the heatwave “can without a doubt be described as historic”.
“Since weather records began, there has never before been such a long and intense heatwave so early in the summer, in Germany or in many other parts of Europe,” it said.
Radim Tolasz, a climatologist at the Czech Hydrometeorological Institute, told AFP the heatwave smashed previous temperature highs and for June was the longest ever recorded.
In the Netherlands it was only the sixth most severe on record.
– 35C for 2/3rds of Europeans –
More than two-thirds of Europeans endured temperatures topping 35C during the June 15-30 heatwave, according to an AFP analysis.
Areas inhabited by some 410 million people on the continent were concerned by the hot spell, compared with 320 million during the record-setting heatwave of August 2003.
Almost the entire population of mainland France and more than three-quarters of the combined populations of Spain and Italy experienced temperatures exceeding 35C at some point in June.
– Death toll –
The heatwave has been linked to thousands of excess deaths in Europe.
France recorded a 29.1 percent increase in the number of recorded deaths during the week starting June 22. That corresponded to 2,025 additional deaths compared to the previous week.
In Spain, at least 1,028 people died of heat-related issues in June, more than double the figure from the same month last year.
Belgium reported 39 percent more deaths than normal between June 18 and 29, amounting to 1,222 excess fatalities.
In the Netherlands, provisional estimates of mortality figures for June 22-28 indicated approximately 480 more deaths than expected.
– Temperature records –
Temperature records tumbled across Europe, with the thermometer topping 40C in many locations during the hot spell.
Germany, Poland, Slovakia, the Czech Republic and Hungary recorded their hottest ever temperatures, while the United Kingdom, France and Switzerland hit new highs for June.
One for the history books: What we know about the European heatwave
Europe is still taking stock of a powerful heatwave in late June but experts are already confident it ranks among the worst ever recorded.
El Nino set to be strong, UN warns
The World Meteorological Organization said El Nino had already set in, and would quickly gain strength, as it warned countries to brace for impact.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
by Robin MILLARD
Published Jul 03, 2026 • Last updated 17 hours ago • 3 minute read
El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. Photo by MARTIN BERNETTI /AFP
Geneva (AFP) — El Nino will quickly develop into a strong event between July and September, fuelling the likelihood of extreme weather, the United Nations’ weather and climate agency warned Friday.
The World Meteorological Organization said El Nino had already set in, and would quickly gain strength, as it warned countries to brace for impact.
The effects of El Nino. (Nicholas SHEARMAN/AFP)
El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.
It typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.
Conditions oscillate between El Nino and its opposite La Nina, with neutral conditions in between.
The WMO’s monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update points towards “a rapid development into a strong El Nino event during July-September”.
The UN agency classifies El Nino events as weak, moderate, strong or very strong, meaning it is set to reach the third-highest level out of four.
“El Nino conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are forecast to strengthen rapidly over the coming months, increasing the likelihood of… extreme weather events in many parts of the world,” the WMO said.
– Heatwave risks –
The Geneva-based agency said that forecasts produced by leading global climate centres, using different models, indicate a consistent and significant warming of ocean temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
The World Meteorological Organization has its headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland. (Fabrice COFFRINI/AFP)
“Seasonal-average sea-surface temperature anomalies expected to exceed 2C in key monitoring regions,” it said.
The models show “remarkable agreement, providing high confidence in the outlook”, the WMO said.
“El Nino is expected to continue strengthening during the Northern Hemisphere autumn, with its influence extending across many regions of the globe.
“Meanwhile, the equatorial Atlantic basin is expected to remain generally warmer than average.”
The last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the all-time high at around 1.55C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.
While El Nino usually peaks between November and February, the resulting spike in temperatures typically comes later down the line.
“El Nino conditions are already under way and are forecast to strengthen rapidly into a strong event,” said WMO chief Celeste Saulo.
WMO climate prediction chief Wilfran Moufouma Okia said temperatures typically spike up to 12 months after an El Nino event. (Fabrice COFFRINI/AFP)
“This will intensify the chances of drought and heavy rainfall and the risk of heatwaves on land and marine heatwaves in many regions.”
The WMO said it was stepping up early warning support to help guide preparedness, especially in climate-sensitive sectors like agriculture and health.
“Advanced seasonal forecasts and early warnings are vital to save lives and cushion the impact on our economies and our communities,” said Saulo.
– Temperature impact –
The update predicts an overwhelming likelihood of above-average temperatures across most land areas between 60 degrees south and 60 degrees north — covering nearly all populated areas outside the polar regions.
And the July to September rainfall outlook is consistent with a strengthening El Nino, with above-normal rainfall forecast in some areas such as portions of the southwestern United States, and below normal forecast across the Indian subcontinent and much of Australia.
Tegucigalpa, the capital of Honduras, and its surrounding areas have already faced a severe drought. (JOHNY MAGALLANES/AFP)
The WMO says there is no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Nino events.
However, the agency believes it can amplify the associated effects, because a warmer ocean and atmosphere increase the availability of energy and moisture for extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall.
During the northern hemisphere summer, warm waters associated with El Nino can fuel hurricanes in the central and eastern Pacific, while hindering their development in the Atlantic Ocean.
torontosun.com
The World Meteorological Organization said El Nino had already set in, and would quickly gain strength, as it warned countries to brace for impact.
Author of the article:AFP
AFP
by Robin MILLARD
Published Jul 03, 2026 • Last updated 17 hours ago • 3 minute read
El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean.
El Nino warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean. Photo by MARTIN BERNETTI /AFP
Geneva (AFP) — El Nino will quickly develop into a strong event between July and September, fuelling the likelihood of extreme weather, the United Nations’ weather and climate agency warned Friday.
The World Meteorological Organization said El Nino had already set in, and would quickly gain strength, as it warned countries to brace for impact.
The effects of El Nino. (Nicholas SHEARMAN/AFP)
El Nino is a natural climate phenomenon that warms surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, bringing worldwide changes in winds, pressure and rainfall patterns.
It typically takes place every two to seven years and lasts around nine to 12 months.
Conditions oscillate between El Nino and its opposite La Nina, with neutral conditions in between.
The WMO’s monthly Global Seasonal Climate Update points towards “a rapid development into a strong El Nino event during July-September”.
The UN agency classifies El Nino events as weak, moderate, strong or very strong, meaning it is set to reach the third-highest level out of four.
“El Nino conditions have developed in the tropical Pacific and are forecast to strengthen rapidly over the coming months, increasing the likelihood of… extreme weather events in many parts of the world,” the WMO said.
– Heatwave risks –
The Geneva-based agency said that forecasts produced by leading global climate centres, using different models, indicate a consistent and significant warming of ocean temperatures across the central and eastern equatorial Pacific.
The World Meteorological Organization has its headquarters in Geneva, Switzerland. (Fabrice COFFRINI/AFP)
“Seasonal-average sea-surface temperature anomalies expected to exceed 2C in key monitoring regions,” it said.
The models show “remarkable agreement, providing high confidence in the outlook”, the WMO said.
“El Nino is expected to continue strengthening during the Northern Hemisphere autumn, with its influence extending across many regions of the globe.
“Meanwhile, the equatorial Atlantic basin is expected to remain generally warmer than average.”
The last El Nino contributed to making 2023 the second-hottest year on record and 2024 the all-time high at around 1.55C above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial average.
While El Nino usually peaks between November and February, the resulting spike in temperatures typically comes later down the line.
“El Nino conditions are already under way and are forecast to strengthen rapidly into a strong event,” said WMO chief Celeste Saulo.
WMO climate prediction chief Wilfran Moufouma Okia said temperatures typically spike up to 12 months after an El Nino event. (Fabrice COFFRINI/AFP)
“This will intensify the chances of drought and heavy rainfall and the risk of heatwaves on land and marine heatwaves in many regions.”
The WMO said it was stepping up early warning support to help guide preparedness, especially in climate-sensitive sectors like agriculture and health.
“Advanced seasonal forecasts and early warnings are vital to save lives and cushion the impact on our economies and our communities,” said Saulo.
– Temperature impact –
The update predicts an overwhelming likelihood of above-average temperatures across most land areas between 60 degrees south and 60 degrees north — covering nearly all populated areas outside the polar regions.
And the July to September rainfall outlook is consistent with a strengthening El Nino, with above-normal rainfall forecast in some areas such as portions of the southwestern United States, and below normal forecast across the Indian subcontinent and much of Australia.
Tegucigalpa, the capital of Honduras, and its surrounding areas have already faced a severe drought. (JOHNY MAGALLANES/AFP)
The WMO says there is no evidence that climate change increases the frequency or intensity of El Nino events.
However, the agency believes it can amplify the associated effects, because a warmer ocean and atmosphere increase the availability of energy and moisture for extreme weather events, such as heatwaves and heavy rainfall.
During the northern hemisphere summer, warm waters associated with El Nino can fuel hurricanes in the central and eastern Pacific, while hindering their development in the Atlantic Ocean.
El Nino set to be strong, UN warns
El Nino will quickly develop into a strong event between July and September, fuelling the likelihood of extreme weather.
Gotta love that. Make a computer model that backs your predictions.