The US is heading for a Recession?

Cannuck

Time Out
Feb 2, 2006
30,245
99
48
Alberta
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/s...-2007-should-raise-recession-fears-2019-09-18

“Since last year real GDP growth in the U.S. has been slowing. The chair of the Federal Reserve has been signaling that while growth is slowing, there is no recession risk and the Fed is forecasting continued positive growth. Warning signs in the economy, including an inverted yield curve, have been ignored and stock markets continued to make new highs in July. In August a correction took a place and subsequently a rally ensued into early September. On September 18 the Fed cut rates.

Sound familiar? It fairly describes market and economic conditions in the U.S. over the past couple of months. Except that this paragraph would be as true for the U.S. economy and stock market in September 2007 as it is today. Consider that 12 years ago the yield curve was inverted and U.S. economic growth was markedly slower than it had been in 2006. Yet the Standard & Poor’s 500 SPX, +0.77% made a new high in July 2007 (same as 2019), there was an August correction (same as 2019), and then the Fed cut rates on September 18 (ditto — same day even).”


It’s funny how little JLM and Wally understand economics. That’s probably why they’re Trumpites
 

pgs

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 29, 2008
28,578
8,164
113
B.C.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/s...-2007-should-raise-recession-fears-2019-09-18

“Since last year real GDP growth in the U.S. has been slowing. The chair of the Federal Reserve has been signaling that while growth is slowing, there is no recession risk and the Fed is forecasting continued positive growth. Warning signs in the economy, including an inverted yield curve, have been ignored and stock markets continued to make new highs in July. In August a correction took a place and subsequently a rally ensued into early September. On September 18 the Fed cut rates.

Sound familiar? It fairly describes market and economic conditions in the U.S. over the past couple of months. Except that this paragraph would be as true for the U.S. economy and stock market in September 2007 as it is today. Consider that 12 years ago the yield curve was inverted and U.S. economic growth was markedly slower than it had been in 2006. Yet the Standard & Poor’s 500 SPX, +0.77% made a new high in July 2007 (same as 2019), there was an August correction (same as 2019), and then the Fed cut rates on September 18 (ditto — same day even).”


It’s funny how little JLM and Wally understand economics. That’s probably why they’re Trumpites
Have you taken a short position in your portfolio ?
 

AnnaEmber

Council Member
Aug 31, 2019
1,931
0
36
Kootenays BC
"The Federal Reserve (not Trump) has cut interest rates three times this year on worries that weakness in trade, business investment and manufacturing could derail U.S. growth by triggering cutbacks in spending and hiring. The central bank, which meets next week to discuss interest rates, has signaled it was done lowering rates unless it sees a significant slowdown in economic activity." - WSJ
But still, I think it's a good thing. There was some nervousness. "U.S. stocks and government-bond yields rose after the upbeat jobs report, offsetting some of the jitters about trade from earlier this week." - WSJ
 

pgs

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 29, 2008
28,578
8,164
113
B.C.
"The Federal Reserve (not Trump) has cut interest rates three times this year on worries that weakness in trade, business investment and manufacturing could derail U.S. growth by triggering cutbacks in spending and hiring. The central bank, which meets next week to discuss interest rates, has signaled it was done lowering rates unless it sees a significant slowdown in economic activity." - WSJ
But still, I think it's a good thing. There was some nervousness. "U.S. stocks and government-bond yields rose after the upbeat jobs report, offsetting some of the jitters about trade from earlier this week." - WSJ
Yes notice the latest Canadian numbers , we are shedding jobs , while our next door neighbour and largest trading partner is booming . Orange man bad .