Latest Federal Polls

pgs

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 29, 2008
28,501
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IPSOs Poll this morning........taken before the latest resignation.


Read 'em and weep, Liberals.


Conservative: 40%

Liberals: 31%

NDP: 20%

https://globalnews.ca/news/5021267/trudeau-approval-rating-snc-lavalin-wilson-raybould/?fbclid=IwAR2auD2I6AU_6J3JR5eljv7JhvzYhaERtmxbt5fFZH-86tMuOe76Ag9KRAM
Hoid doesn’t believe in polls . Unless the conservatives numbers are down .
 

spaminator

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 26, 2009
38,781
3,549
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BATRA'S BATTLEGROUND: Is PM panicking over polling? Should he resign before election?
Craig Robertson
Published:
March 6, 2019
Updated:
March 6, 2019 4:34 PM EST
WATCH ABOVE as Toronto Sun’s Editor-in-Chief Adrienne Batra and Sun political columnist Brian Lilley take a look at the devastating new polling numbers of the Liberal party following the juicy Trudeau SNC-Lavalin scandal. Most shocking? Women have lost their trust in their ‘feminist’ leader! And most Canadians are fed up with Trudeau’s sunny ways!
What do YOU think?
Is Trudeau toast?
Tweet and Facebook us!
And don’t forget to subscribe to our YouTube Channel.
http://torontosun.com/news/national...over-polling-should-he-resign-before-election
 

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
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There is a large difference between defending the government and disagreeing with the white nattys.
I am not a fan of Mr Trudeau


And as HOID has shown us THERE IS A LARGE DIFFERENCE BETWEEN TRUTH..............


and the LIE-BERAL FAKE NEWS HOID PREFERS TO TALK ABOUT!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!







Here is a truly nasty article trying to defend the shameless two tier medicine policy beloved of greedy civil service union Hogs! With some comments of my own in brackets):

Two-tier health system would do wonders to reduce wait times

By DR. BRETT BELCHETZ, Guest Columnist

First posted: Tuesday, November 29, 2016 04:37 PM EST | Updated: Tuesday, November 29, 2016 04:41 PM EST

TORONTO - We need fundamental change to fix Canadian health-care wait times.

(Yes- and simply CUTTING SERVICES to ordinary people would be a great way of improving service for civil service union HOGS! Its just too bad for the suffering poor who would be abandoned!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

The Fraser Institute released its annual report last week on wait times for specialist physician care across Canada and. the results, which shocked many Canadians, showed waits in our country to be the longest ever recorded in the survey’s 23-year history.

The median wait time between seeing a family doctor to receiving needed care from a specialist was 20 weeks. In 1993, when the Fraser Institute survey was first conducted, median wait time was only 10 weeks.

In some of the most vital specialties, waits are even longer. For neurosurgery, the worst performer on the Fraser survey, Canadians waited a median of 46.9 weeks — almost a full year — for care.

I share Canadians’ surprise at these numbers, not because the waits are so long, but because in my experience as a frontline emergency room physician, the waits I see are often much worse. I’ve seen a patient with a new diagnosis of multiple sclerosis wait over six months to see a neurologist, patients with serious skin issues wait a year to see a dermatologist, and patients with chronic back pain wait well over a year to see a spinal surgeon. And my practice is in Toronto, with some of the most available specialist care in the country. I can only imagine what the suffering is like for patients in the more rural areas.

What is particularly heartbreaking is that these waits aren’t due to a lack of physicians. I know dozens of colleagues who can’t find jobs after training for more than a decade to learn their specialties.

(All of these issues come back to one simple problem- cash! LIE-beral govt refuses to spend on health care because it simply does not buy them the number of votes they require! Spending on social issues for special interest groups takes first- and virtually ONLY PRIORITY for LIE-berals!!!!!!)

(LIE-berals have let our roads rot away into pot holed tracks without getting needed maintenance because LIE-berals prefer to give pay raises to Dept of Transport civil service union Hogs!)

(Toronto council has neglected Gardiner Expressway for so long that it may have to
be suddenly dismantled on an emergency basis before it collapses and blocks Lakeshore Blvd!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

(Our sewer and water systems are collapsing - and flooding our roads during storms due to LIE-beral preference for pay raises to water dept instead of needed maintenance!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

(Lie-berals have given gravy to TTC workers instead of building new subways that are desperately needed!!!!!!!!!!!)

(Our hydro grid endures repeated transformer fires from being aged and neglected- in spite of the massive electricity price gouging LIE-berals have done for years!!!!)

(Cdns pay an aggregate total of the highest taxes in the western world and yet we are also HUGELY INDEBTED- with Ontari-owe being the most indebted sub national entity on the planet!!!!!!!!!!)

(LIE-beral spending priorities are SIMPLY WRONG- across the board!!!!!!!!!!)

Stunningly, as of last year, 178 fully trained orthopedic surgeons in Canada were unemployed, according to the Canadian Orthopedic Association and 78% of ear, nose and throat specialists who graduated failed to find a job. This is happening because our health-care system cannot afford to fund the operating rooms or hospital beds required for these badly needed physicians to provide care.

(That statement is WRONG! The truth is that LIE-berals REFUSE to fund the “operating rooms or hospital beds required”! LIE-berals have- as I said- OTHER spending priorities that win them more votes than health care spending!!!!!!!!!!!!)

But the lack of funding isn’t due to a lack of spending. At $4,522 (U.S.) per capita, we spend 33% more on health care than the United Kingdom, where 80% of patients see a specialist in under four weeks. In fact, our wait times are the longest among developed nations, according to the Washington, D.C-based Commonwealth Fund, which found that in the best European health-care systems, only 3% of patients wait more than two months to see a specialist.

(Yes- it is the administrative staff that gets a huge share of govt health care spending! LIE-berals simply cannot explain why the guy signing the cheques to pay the laundry service for clean sheets and pillow cases should ghet paid more than a brain surgeon!)

(IN their zeal to ensure all Cdns have a family doctor- LIE-berals are paying general practitioners a monthly fee to keep you on doctors record books- and yet when emergencies happen in evenings or weekends- most people end up at the hospital emergency room while the “family doctor” is in bed or on Sunday afternoon golf course - pocketing monthly fees for doing NOTHING- it equals double billing by muddled LIE-berals more focused on appearance than reality!!!!)

Europeans get a better bang for their buck because every country allows private care to flourish alongside their universal public health-care system and get at least 20% of their health care privately. In Ontario, with its $52-billion health-care budget, we could save $10 billion annually by emulating the ratio of 20% private care — enough to wipe out our deficit and still have $5 billion left over for public health care.

(Oh that is a NICE line of LIE-beral jiggery pokery! Only a HOG would suggest that it is acceptable that Cdns be so heavily taxed when healthy- and then ABANDONED when weak and ill!! LIE-berals talk so often about justice and fairness and equity- but clearly LIE-berals DO NOT OWN A DICTIONARY and do not recognize the quality of their HYPOCRITE SPEECH!!!!!!!!!!!!)

We are the only country in the developed world that prevents its citizens from purchasing care the government can’t provide in a timely manner. It’s clear our system needs a fundamental, top-to-bottom rethink, not just more of the same.

(It is fundamental LIE-beral bigotry and shameless vote buying that brought us to this point and now Belchetz wants to insist that only an EVEN MORE EXTREME SELFISH SCHEME will save us? HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!!!!)

(And most Cdns live within 100 miles of the Yankee border -and Yank doctors will sell us ANY medical procedure we can pay for! Yet Belchetz ignores Yankee medical opportunities- user pay health care IS readily available to Cdns with cash so why is Belchetz ignoring it- unless its because he is trying to set up a grossly dishonest sort of two tier medicine here!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

Albert Einstein said the definition of insanity is doing something over and over again and expecting a different result. When it comes to healthcare in Canada, we’ve done a phenomenal job of proving Einstein correct.

(And two tier health care would simply CONFIRM that definition of insanity! The cure for health care bigotry is NOT more bigotry! It is the pensions offered to our civil service and the gravy handed out to LIE-beral pals that prevents us from BUYING the better health care we need!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)

— Dr. Belchetz is an ER physician and a Senior Fellow with the Fraser Institute

(And apparently Belchetz is something of a blinkered and politically blinded LIE-beral bigot as well! Two tier medicine deserves to be publicly scorned- along with the selfish Hogs who are promoting it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!)
 

Hoid

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 15, 2017
20,408
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White nattys in love with polls again after hating them in the 2016 American election.
 

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
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White nattys in love with polls again after hating them in the 2016 American election.




POOR HOID!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Grasping at political straws!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Yankee polls kept showing Clinton WINNING..........................


and oh dear me..................that is NOT WHAT actually HAPPENED!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


There are now a couple of things wrong with polls.................


Firstly- a lot of people do NOT ANSWER their cell phones for unknown callers which means pollsters are increasingly limited in who they can actually reach!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Secondly- pollsters HAVE NO WAY of finding out the mood of the 55 percent of Cdns who do not normally vote in any election!!!!!!!!!!


LIE-berals are now being kept awake at night as they mull over just how many Cdns they may have TRULY PISSED OFF!!!!!!!!!!!!!


With the result that the silent majority may ROAR in the next election.......................



Thirdly- there ARE some civil servants and others from normally LIE-beral friendly special interest grouops who are becoming ANGRY with LIE-berals!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Either because LIE-berals are displaying such arrogance and corruption...........................


or because LIE-berals have failed to provide the GRAVY that special interest groups DEMAND in exchange for their votes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


A fine example would be ETFO- the Elementary Teachers union of Ontari-owe that PUBLICLY ANNOUNCED the union would no longer support Wynne-bag LIE-berals!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


The LIE-beral political house IS BURNING!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


And there is no fire truck in sight!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


LIE-berals COULD MAYBE smother the flames in gravy but they have RUN OUT OF THAT GOOD STUFF!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

Colpy

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 5, 2005
21,887
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Popular Vote Projection



The Conservatives Party of Canada increases its lead once again this week with an average of 35.2% of voting intentions Canada wide.


For the fifth consecutive week, the Liberal Party of Canada lost ground to its main rival with a drop of 1.1 point, and is now down to 32.9% of average support. On average, the Liberals shed points in every region of the country (yes, including Quebec), with the notable exception of British Columbia.

Here are the popular vote projections with 95% confidence intervals:






Seat Projection



With this level of support. the Conservative Party of Canada takes an average lead of 14 seats over the Liberals. The CPC's seat average this week climbs to 155 seats.





https://blog.338canada.com/2019/03/338-projection-update-conservatives_10.html


Conservatives get 155 seats, Liberals get 140, NDP get 25.
Liberals get first crack at forming gov't, NDP will support them, pulling them to the left, Trudeau and his Merry Band of Morons stay in power. Only they are now beholden to the NDP.
The worst possible scenario.
I am so pissed at the PPC and Max Bernier.
Add their 2.8% to the CPC's 35.3%, and the CPC wind up with an excellent chance at majority gov't.........the only way to get rid of Trudeau.
Eyes on the ball, Max supporters. CPC is the only way. Otherwise you are just a passing breeze in the desert..........while Trudeau wrecks the country.
 

pgs

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 29, 2008
28,501
8,104
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B.C.
Popular Vote Projection



The Conservatives Party of Canada increases its lead once again this week with an average of 35.2% of voting intentions Canada wide.


For the fifth consecutive week, the Liberal Party of Canada lost ground to its main rival with a drop of 1.1 point, and is now down to 32.9% of average support. On average, the Liberals shed points in every region of the country (yes, including Quebec), with the notable exception of British Columbia.

Here are the popular vote projections with 95% confidence intervals:






Seat Projection



With this level of support. the Conservative Party of Canada takes an average lead of 14 seats over the Liberals. The CPC's seat average this week climbs to 155 seats.





https://blog.338canada.com/2019/03/338-projection-update-conservatives_10.html


Conservatives get 155 seats, Liberals get 140, NDP get 25.
Liberals get first crack at forming gov't, NDP will support them, pulling them to the left, Trudeau and his Merry Band of Morons stay in power. Only they are now beholden to the NDP.
The worst possible scenario.
I am so pissed at the PPC and Max Bernier.
Add their 2.8% to the CPC's 35.3%, and the CPC wind up with an excellent chance at majority gov't.........the only way to get rid of Trudeau.
Eyes on the ball, Max supporters. CPC is the only way. Otherwise you are just a passing breeze in the desert..........while Trudeau wrecks the country.
Yes but if you remember back to the start up of the Reform Party they had the same hurdles to overcome . Max may be a liberal kingmaker but it may allow his party to grow in the interim . Not saying that they will get my support, but you have to start somewhere .
 

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
4
36
Popular Vote Projection



The Conservatives Party of Canada increases its lead once again this week with an average of 35.2% of voting intentions Canada wide.


For the fifth consecutive week, the Liberal Party of Canada lost ground to its main rival with a drop of 1.1 point, and is now down to 32.9% of average support. On average, the Liberals shed points in every region of the country (yes, including Quebec), with the notable exception of British Columbia.

Here are the popular vote projections with 95% confidence intervals:






Seat Projection



With this level of support. the Conservative Party of Canada takes an average lead of 14 seats over the Liberals. The CPC's seat average this week climbs to 155 seats.





https://blog.338canada.com/2019/03/338-projection-update-conservatives_10.html


Conservatives get 155 seats, Liberals get 140, NDP get 25.
Liberals get first crack at forming gov't, NDP will support them, pulling them to the left, Trudeau and his Merry Band of Morons stay in power. Only they are now beholden to the NDP.
The worst possible scenario.
I am so pissed at the PPC and Max Bernier.
Add their 2.8% to the CPC's 35.3%, and the CPC wind up with an excellent chance at majority gov't.........the only way to get rid of Trudeau.
Eyes on the ball, Max supporters. CPC is the only way. Otherwise you are just a passing breeze in the desert..........while Trudeau wrecks the country.






Oh there are two things wrong with that calculation!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Firstly- if Jagmeet Singh throws in his lot with LIE-berals then he gets to wear the same CORRUPT label as LIE-berals!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


And Ontari-owe NDP leader Andrea Horvath took some serious hits in around 2015 for propping up Wynne-bag LIE-berals!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Will Jagmeet Deadmeat be willing to taint his party with LIE-beral scandal???????????????????


Might be better for him to keep his party clean and simply stand off as critics offering alternatives- after all a minority gfovt does not generally live long and then Singh can get another kick at the election cat???????????????


And Polls do not reveal how the 55 percent of Cdns who do not normally votes in elections will feel come election day!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


And of course there is good reason to suspect that many provincial Hogs WILL NOT want a federal LIE-beral party in power since that will, mean a federally imposed carbon tax scam on Hogs whose wages are frozen by provincial govts!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Many Hogs WILL be stuck in a dilemma................they want a carbon tax.................but they also want the LIE-beral gravy that will render them IMMUNE to the life changing hit a carbon tax is intended to deliver!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!



There is reason to believe that LIE-beral support is WEAKER than pollsters think............after all........ETFO- our elementary teachers happily took the pay raises offered by Wynne-bag LIE-berals and then PUBLICLY gave their support to Horvath and NDP at election time!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 

JLM

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 27, 2008
75,301
548
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Vernon, B.C.
There is a large difference between defending the government and disagreeing with the white nattys.
I am not a fan of Mr Trudeau


Have you thought of using language normal people can understand, instead of using the same ignorant phrase ad infinitum?
 

White_Unifier

Senate Member
Feb 21, 2017
7,300
2
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I'd like to know what kind of coalition government we'll see in the next federal election. If the Conservative Party, the People's Party (and maybe even the Bloc Quebecois), the NDP, and especially the Green Party all take votes away from the Liberal Party, and the People's Party takes votes away from the Conservative Party, acoalition government then becomes a strong possibility. I can envision a CPC-PPC coalition forming.
 

Curious Cdn

Hall of Fame Member
Feb 22, 2015
37,070
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I'd like to know what kind of coalition government we'll see in the next federal election. If the Conservative Party, the People's Party (and maybe even the Bloc Quebecois), the NDP, and especially the Green Party all take votes away from the Liberal Party, and the People's Party takes votes away from the Conservative Party, acoalition government then becomes a strong possibility. I can envision a CPC-PPC coalition forming.
The Aboriginal Party may form a coalition with the minority Liberals in exchange for more autonomy and money.
 

Twin_Moose

Hall of Fame Member
Apr 17, 2017
22,041
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Twin Moose Creek
How to follow the polls in a tumultuous election year

With little more than seven months to go before the October election, Justin Trudeau's Liberals are trailing Andrew Scheer's Conservatives in the polls. Their chances of winning re-election are no better than a coin-flip.
But a month ago, the Liberals were in a strong position to secure a second term in office.
Things can change quickly in public opinion, particularly when a controversy like the SNC-Lavalin affair blows up in an election year. Between now and Oct. 21, when Canadians are scheduled to go to the polls, voting intentions are likely to change again. And again.
The CBC's Canada Poll Tracker will follow the ups and downs of public opinion straight through to election day. The Poll Tracker is an aggregation of all publicly available polls which weights each survey by date, sample size and pollster track record. (Full methodology here.)
Over 150 national polls were published in the run-up to the 2015 federal election. The Poll Tracker boils those different surveys down into one set of numbers that can be tracked over time, providing a consensus view of all the data out there.
That consensus currently gives the Conservatives the lead — their first lead in the polls since the prime minister's disastrous trip to India over a year ago.
The Conservatives have made a modest gain at the expense of the Liberals, as have the New Democrats under Jagmeet Singh. But Scheer's Conservatives haven't yet reaped significant rewards from the Liberal Party's struggles. Their lead is primarily due to a drop in Liberal support, rather than a surge for the Conservatives.
For the NDP, its polling increase still leaves the party in a precarious position; indeed, it's only now recovering from what was a new floor in its support.
But the national numbers only tell part of the story.
Liberals lead in Quebec and Atlantic, Conservatives everywhere else
The Poll Tracker takes all of the regional data in national polling — as well as polls conducted in only one part of the country — to estimate where each party has its strength and weaknesses.
The Liberals have taken a hit throughout the country. They still lead in Quebec and Atlantic Canada — though their margins over the Conservatives have shrunk in both regions. They've lost their edge in both Ontario and British Columbia.
The Bloc Québécois and Conservatives have made progress in Quebec, while the New Democrats remain in danger of losing all of the seats they won in that province in 2015.
The Poll Tracker's seat projection model makes it possible to draw reasonable conclusions about what current support levels in the polls would produce in seats. These estimates are made by shifting previous election results in each of Canada's 338 ridings by changes in regional voting intentions.
With a narrow lead nationwide, the Conservatives are in the best position to win the most seats. But the Conservatives' seat advantage over the Liberals looks narrow due to the regional breakdown of that support; both parties are in minority government territory. The New Democrats (who could lose nearly half of their seats) and to a lesser extent the Bloc could hold the balance of power in such a minority legislature.
In fact, the Poll Tracker currently considers a minority government of one stripe or another the most likely outcome. On the question of which party would win the most seats in an election held today, the Poll Tracker sees a virtual toss-up between the Conservatives and the Liberals. It all depends on how the votes are distributed at the riding level — and how accurate the polls turn out to be.
Expecting the unexpected
One of the benefits of aggregating polls is that it reduces the odds of drawing misleading conclusions from individual surveys that are subject to multiple potential sources of error. In previous provincial and federal elections, the Poll Tracker aggregate has out-performed most individual polls.
Normal sampling error makes it inevitable that some polls will be closer to the mark than others, even if they're done correctly and are drawn from representative samples. But it's impossible to know for certain which of these polls will hit the bull's-eye beforehand — and which ones will prove to be outliers.
The Poll Tracker tries to emphasize this degree of uncertainty. The polling aggregates and seat projections are expressed with 'confidence ranges' to indicate that a number of outcomes are possible based on the information available. The probability of each party winning is calculated in order to show which outcomes are more likely than others.
Of course, the fact that a particular outcome is unlikely doesn't mean it won't happen. The Ontario Poll Tracker gave Doug Ford's Progressive Conservatives a 94 per cent chance of winning the most seats in June's provincial election, as turned out to be the case.
In New Brunswick, however, the Poll Tracker accurately gave the Liberals a sizeable lead in the popular vote over the PCs, but just a 14 per cent chance that the PCs would emerge with the most seats. The PCs ended September's provincial election with 22 seats — one more than the Liberals. The unexpected can happen.
Advertisement

Polls are an inescapable part of modern election campaigns. There are lots of them out there and they can contradict each other. The Poll Tracker is designed to help cut through the noise and make some sense of the numbers in order to understand where Canadians stand — and why political parties do what they do.
It's the kind of information parties use to draw up their electoral strategies. The Canada Poll Tracker tries to even the playing field in what could be a tumultuous election year.
 

spilledthebeer

Executive Branch Member
Jan 26, 2017
9,296
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Have you thought of using language normal people can understand, instead of using the same ignorant phrase ad infinitum?




HOID spends his days trying to mitigate the damage LIE-berals are doing to their brand!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


That is why HOID can make so many outrageous statements with a clear conscience and no worries about HYPOCRISY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Just like Stalin and POl Pot and other dictators.........HOID BELIEVES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!


Therefore he is immune to logic and reason and factual argument!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!