Economists agree the budget surplus is of no economic value.
Doug Porter, chief economist with BMO Financial Group:
“First, it’s not a huge shock, as the preliminary figures were pointing to a similar outcome. Second, the size of the improvement versus initial estimates is quite modest;
a surplus of 0.1 per cent of GDP versus a deficit of 0.1 per cent – that’s almost rounding error from a financial market standpoint.
Jim Stanford, economist with Canada’s largest private sector:
“While the existence or disappearance of a small deficit is economically irrelevant, the means by which the budget was balanced is important. In the Conservative government’s case,
this was accomplished through a sustained, premature, and damaging fiscal tightening that began shortly after the government received its majority mandate in 2011. Real, crucial public services have been damaged by this austerity: services ranging from Coast Guard bases to veterans’ offices to Statistics Canada to food and railway safety inspections.
“This small surplus does not represent a ‘triumph.’ It represents the extent to which Canadian economic policy has been subverted to short-term political calculus.”
Craig Alexander, vice-president, economic analysis with the C.D. Howe Institute:
“From an economic point of view, it really didn’t matter whether Canada balanced in 2014 or 2015 or 2016 because the size of the projected deficit was very, very small relative to the size of the economy, so it wasn’t dramatic … It was in fiscal year 2014 and what really matters now is 2015.
Three economists on balancing the federal budget | Ottawa Citizen