Canada's Federal Election 2015: The Official Thread

JLM

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\


Not on one.

Glad to hear it! I think I'm just going to scrutinize the candidates in my riding and see if there's one that's half ways honest and competent & give him/her the vote - it's not going to make a hell of lot of difference which clown in Ottawa runs the ship.
 

pgs

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Glad to hear it! I think I'm just going to scrutinize the candidates in my riding and see if there's one that's half ways honest and competent & give him/her the vote - it's not going to make a hell of lot of difference which clown in Ottawa runs the ship.
My general rule of thumb . When in doubt vote for the one that is promising the least . It is sure to cost less .
 

JLM

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My general rule of thumb . When in doubt vote for the one that is promising the least . It is sure to cost less .

A good philosophy for sure. People who make a lot of promises aren't very good at making changes as the situation changes.
 

JLM

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Glad to hear it! I think I'm just going to scrutinize the candidates in my riding and see if there's one that's half ways honest and competent & give him/her the vote - it's not going to make a hell of lot of difference which clown in Ottawa runs the ship.

Jeez, didn't really think anyone could be opposed to that post, but the resident Red Negger has come through again.
 

tay

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Poilievre slammed for yet another “misleading” tweet promising Canadians “$1,000 in a single day”






Jobs minister Pierre Poilievre is facing a chorus of derision for promising Canadian families “$1,000 in a single day” under the Harper Government’s Universal Child Care Benefit (UCCB), coming in the heels of the Tory minister’s misleading tweet citing a satirical twitter account for job numbers and another claiming that “hundreds of millions of” Canadian families were at risk of not receiving tax benefits.


more


Poilievre slammed for yet another “misleading� tweet promising Canadians “$1,000 in a single day� | ThinkPol
 

DaSleeper

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Jeez, didn't really think anyone could be opposed to that post, but the resident Red Negger has come through again.

 

mentalfloss

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That was like the international survey, which found that people outside Canada like the country for many of the same tropes that have existed for decades.
 

mentalfloss

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Why the NDP Is Leading in the Polls | Gabriel Yiu
m.huffpost.com

In the past two months, the NDP was basically leading in all the national opinion polls. The Globe and Mail recently published an election forecast with the backup of polling numbers and other data. The national paper says if the election was held today, the NDP had a 49 per cent chance to form the next government, whereas the Conservative Party had 50 per cent and the Liberal Party only three per cent.

Last month, an EKOS poll result indicated that the NDP had a national support of 31.3 per cent, the Conservatives 29.2 per cent and the Liberal Party 23.9 per cent. The significant part of this survey is that the polling firm also asked the participants to name their second choice as a measurement of room for growth. After including the second choices, the NDP's support reached 51.2 per cent, enough to form a majority government, whereas the Conservative Party got merely 35.8 per cent. That means that while the NDP is leading, there is still room for their support to grow. As for the governing party, even with the second choice votes, it is not enough to even win the election.

So why did the NDP pull ahead in the recent months? Some said leading or peaking three months ahead of an election is not a good sign but I disagree.

The upcoming federal election is very much like the Toronto mayoral election last year. Like Rob Ford, Harper's Conservative Party is despised by the majority of voters. Since winning a majority government, the Conservatives' extreme policies, legislations and governance have shocked people of insight. Just to name a few examples: their new Citizenship Act turned all immigrants into second-class citizens; they have had over a dozen legislations struck down by Canada's Supreme Court because they are contrary to the constitution. Not only did such scrutiny waste taxpayers' resources, the valuable time of the court and the parliament, it also caused chaos in the government's operation and enforcement of the law. Prime Minister Harper and Justice Minister MacKay's unprecedented attacks on the Chief Justice of the Supreme Court last year undermined our justice system and were outrageous.

The cancellation of the census' long-form resulted in over 1,000 Canadian municipalities having no adequate and reliable data to make informed planning and govern. All these extreme measures have put the Conservative government in a league with the infamous Mayor Rob Ford.

In the beginning of the last Toronto mayoral election, Olivia Chow was viewed as the most likely candidate to beat Rob Ford. Thus those who hated Rob Ford flowed to Chow and gave her a lead in the opinion polls. Later Chow was surpassed by John Tory. Then we saw Chow's support drop and move over to the leading candidate. In the end, Tory won with 390,000 votes, Doug Ford got 330,000 votes and Chow was left with 220,000 votes.

The situation of the coming federal election is similar. When Justin Trudeau became leader of the Liberal Party, he became the nation's favorite son and led in the polls. It was not until early this year that his continuous missteps ended his long honeymoon period. His recent vote to support the Conservative government's Anti-Terror Bill made the public realize that the Liberal Party is in fact not much different from the Conservatives, especially in such a major matter of principle. Basically Trudeau Junior is tearing apart the Charter of Rights and Freedom established by his father. When Bill C-51 went to the senate, the Liberal senators voted against the bill and their leader.

With the NDP, the Alberta provincial election result has stunned the country. Not only did the NDP beat the Progressive Conservatives and won a majority government, they even defeated the Conservatives in the prime minister's Calgary riding. Canadians now realize that the most likely party that could defeat the federal Conservatives and bring real change is the NDP. As a result, we could see from the recent polls that support for the Liberals is withering whereas that for the Conservatives is stagnant, and that for the NDP is rising.

Indeed, there are still three months before the election and in politics, the sky and the earth could turn upside down in a week's time. What we can expect is this: with Tom Mulcair leading in the polls, the Conservatives and the Liberals will change their tactics and turn their big guns to the NDP. Thus, we saw recently the Maclean magazine's "breaking news" of Tom Mulcair being exposed for his willingness to serve the Conservative government in 2006/07 and this not coming about because Mulcair asked for too much money. Later, the media revealed that Conservative insiders verified that was not the case. The "news" was allegedly made up by Harper's former press secretary Dimitri Soudas, who was the boyfriend of the infamous Conservative MP Eve Adams who crossed the floor to join the Liberal Party.

Actually, journalists with a little common sense could easily see through the trick. Mulcair was the cabinet minister of Jean Charest's Quebec government. If he was an opportunist, he certainly would not run for the NDP in the 2007 by-election. At that time, the NDP was the fourth party in parliament and had never won any seats in Quebec.

Can the NDP build an even bigger legacy and make history by winning the upcoming federal election? The next three months will be very interesting to watch.

Why the NDP Is Leading in the Polls | Gabriel Yiu
 

JLM

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Nov 27, 2008
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Why the NDP Is Leading in the Polls | Gabriel Yiu
m.huffpost.com

In the past two months, the NDP was basically leading in all the national opinion polls. The Globe and Mail recently published an election forecast with the backup of polling numbers and other data. The national paper says if the election was held today, the NDP had a 49 per cent chance to form the next government, whereas the Conservative Party had 50 per cent and the Liberal Party only three per cent.



Why the NDP Is Leading in the PollsÂ*|Â*Gabriel Yiu

Two things 50 + 49 + 3 don't add up to 100. Upcoming Federal election can't be compared to Alberta or Toronto election. N.D.P. success in AB was due to two things, deep seated corruption in the P.C. party and the economy landing in the dumpster. In Toronto, Ford's corruption was evident, he was becoming widely disliked and his competence was widely questioned and his health is precarious to say the least on several fronts.
 

DaSleeper

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In American Politics, Presidential elections last almost two years....
Canadian elections (would) last one day.... except for Flossy's spamming!
 

Locutus

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Jun 18, 2007
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now that pony has been dispatched, the cons will go to work on angry tom.

or, maybe they've been saving a juicy detail about him from us.

we'll see.



related:

Charles AdlerVerified account ‏@charlesadler

Minister of Obituaries on the imminent political demise of #Justin

Team Trudeau: the news is in…
July 21st, 2015, 7:21 am
…and the news is not good.
From just the past few days:

And so on, and so on. Increasingly, stories and opinion columns reflect three themes: (i) the Tories are up, (ii) the Dippers are up, and/or (iii) the Grits are down.

From the lofty heights of top spot – from an unchallenged lead in the polls for month after month – to now, a rapidly-diminishing third place. As the Globe guy writes, they are starting to look desperate, too.
My barber in Ottawa used to have a wonderful aphorism: when you have a problem and a solution, you have no more problem. When you have a problem and no solution, you have a way of life.

Trudeau’s problems are starting to look permanent. Per my barber, he needs to find solutions, fast. His problems, in no particular order, are:

  • An arrogant, insular inner circle
  • Lousy, ineffective advertising
  • Zero policy coherence
  • A decidedly unhappy caucus and collection of candidates
  • A strategy that is all over the map
  • A leader whose motivations – whose passions – remain a mystery wrapped in an enigma


The last two are the big ones. As I’ve predicted for some time, at the end-of-Summer caucus, there’ll be angry demands that Trudeau get better advisors, there’ll be demands that he get some advertising that finally goes after the shortcomings of Messrs. Harper and Trudeau, there’ll be demands he come up with two or three policy priorities and not a Martinesque laundry list, and there’ll be demands that he start listening to his caucus and candidates. Based on past behaviour, I predict he won’t do any of those things.

To me, the last two are the big ones. What is the strategy? What is the plan? To attack Harper? To attack Mulcair? To attack neither? Talk about tax cuts? Champion the middle class? Advocate for change? Who knows. In just the past few weeks, all of those things, and more, have been tried and discarded.

A former Liberal MP put his finger on the big problem. “What is Justin’s passion? What is the thing he wants to do?” the ex-MP said to me a couple weeks ago. “We simply don’t know.”

We don’t. With his father and Chretien, it was unity and a strong central government. With Harper, it’s economy and security. With Mulroney, it was free trade. With Pearson, it was internationalism. You may not like some of those guys, or any of their priorities, but you at least knew where they stood.

With Justin Trudeau’s Liberals, we don’t. And that, more than anything else, is why the headlines keep getting worse, with time running out.

http://warrenkinsella.com/2015/07/team-trudeau-the-news-is-in/
 

mentalfloss

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Tom wouldn't hurt a fly.

He's like the snuggles bear.

You just want to hug the guy to bits.


Excerpt: The enchantment of Tom Mulcair | Ottawa Citizen
ottawacitizen.com

NDP leader Tom Mulcair’s autobiography, Strength of Conviction, hits bookstores Aug. 1. In this excerpt, he describes how, as a young law student, he wooed his future wife, Catherine, despite the initial alarm of her well-to-do parents. Over the years, she would also become his most trusted adviser.

In the summer of 1974 I was nineteen years old and I had just completed my first year at law school. A dear friend’s sister got married that summer. The families gathered on a beautiful July day in the Laurentians. At the reception after the ceremony my best friend Wayne Hellstrom and I were put in charge of the bar by the lake. At one point there appeared a girl I had never seen before. She was very striking, very beautiful, with a sensitive, thoughtful face, eyes that shone brightly, and a radiant smile. Her name was Catherine Pinhas, and she was a cousin of the groom. She told me that she’d just arrived from Paris and was representing the French side of the family. I loved the way she spoke, the music of her French. She was a real beauty who stood out amongst all the guests.

That evening a group of the younger attendees wound up hanging out together. There were other cousins in, too, from France and Sweden. We all concocted a plan to go to Old Montréal together. I had spent much of the evening speaking with Catherine and looked forward to the outing. Our trip to Old Montréal with Catherine, her cousins, and other friends (we were seven in a Mazda) turned out to be Catherine’s and my first date. It was a road show. We spent all of our free time together for the next few weeks, and Catherine pushed back the date of her return to France. I soon introduced her to my family. Our life was so different from anything she’d experienced. She’d grown up with one sister in a very straight-laced, tony neighbourhood of Paris. My family was rough-and-tumble, with children all over the place and people who made four sandwiches out of one chicken wing, and who said “I love you” all day. Dad was a big, imposing man who often shouted to be heard in our noisy household. To Catherine at first he seemed a bear, until she realized he was really just a lovable teddy bear. Catherine and my mom hit it off right away. Catherine has always said that my mom is a saint.

As I took her around the Laurentians, the beauty of the landscape, the wide-open spaces, and even my family enchanted her. We became inseparable. By the end of her stay we had fallen deeply in love. To me, being a logical, practical kind of guy, her returning a continent away left a huge question mark. Pursuing a relationship with her across five thousand kilometres of ocean just seemed so difficult. But Catherine, who believes that with a little effort, will, and imagination you can overcome any obstacle, reassured me. She would simply announce to her parents that she’d met the man she was going to marry and that she was going right back to him.

Of course, when she got there and informed them of her plans – showing them a picture of me with hair halfway down to my elbows and a beard, dressed in white overalls and a white Indian tunic – they were appalled. After all, aside from the fact she was just nineteen and they didn’t know me from Adam, the original purpose of sending their daughter to that wedding had been to stop her from going off to Greece to celebrate passing her French baccalauréat with friends they disapproved of. Add to that the fact that we were from totally different backgrounds and her parents had good reason to feel worried. Their family was well to do and lived in Neuilly, a wealthy upper-middle-class suburb of Paris. Culturally, too, we couldn’t have been more different. I was from a devout Catholic family, while her parents were Sephardic Jews, originally from Turkey, who had been very young during the German Occupation and had survived the Holocaust, while many of their relatives had not. Catherine and her sister Brigitte were kept in the dark about that part of their parents’ lives while they were growing up. It was never mentioned, a place of immense pain that they never spoke of and didn’t want their daughters to ever have to know about.

Catherine and Brigitte had had very little religious upbringing beyond tradition. That, I was to learn, was all too common with people who had suffered that indescribable fear and trauma. Her parents, just like the father of her Canadian cousin, seemed far more open to talking with me about it. The stories came out slowly. Stories of courage. Of survival: how Catherine’s mom, Lydia, had escaped in the night with her parents, just before her eleventh birthday, to what was then still the unoccupied part of France. In a town called Aurillac she would spend three years with her parents, living in an attic. How her dad, Raphaël, had seen his father, Nissim, and then his sister, Ida, taken by the French to the Drancy internment camp for deportation. Another part of the history is that Generalissimo Franco was issuing Spanish passports to Sephardic Jews, the descendants of Jews who had been expelled from Spain by Queen Isabella, four hundred and fifty years earlier in 1492. Thanks to that gesture, that part of Catherine’s family went to Spain and were able to survive the war. In the summer of 2014, Catherine and I took Lydia back to Aurillac for the first time since the war. She was able to show us around with the eyes of the young girl that she had been during those years. We even went to the house where she had lived.

Catherine’s parents were quite understandably alarmed that their otherwise reasonable daughter had somehow decided, over a summer holiday in Canada, that she was going to spend the rest of her life with the guy in that picture. When Catherine couldn’t be dissuaded from carrying out our crazy plan, her parents convinced her to at least wait until Christmas, so that I could come to Paris to meet them. At the end of the fall term I cut my hair to shoulder length, trimmed my beard, and flew to Paris. Arriving from the airport with Catherine, I remember walking through the entranceway to the magnificent building where her family lived and feeling slightly intimidated. By pure chance we bumped into her parents in the courtyard, and it was a bit of luck that allowed us to break the ice. Her mom, still in her early forties, was the incarnation of Paris chic. Her dad, who I was soon to learn had a delightful sense of humour, cracked a joke or two, clearly intending to put me at ease. It worked. They went off to do an errand while Catherine and I breathed a sigh of relief that it had gone so well. The trip allowed us both to realize that this was real.

We’d written to each other every single day, and after my return to Canada we continued doing so. We still have the hundreds of letters that we each wrote over the two-year period from our meeting in 1974 to our wedding two years later. The following summer, in 1975, Catherine came to Canada and lived with my brother Peter and me in the apartment the two of us shared in N.D.G. There might have been a slightly different version told to her parents about Catherine staying at the apartment of my sisters Colleen and Jeannie in Westmount, but I’m not sure anyone was fooling anyone else.

That time together was magical. I would bike to work in the morning to Atwater Roofing in Ville Saint-Pierre, the same company where I’d worked for several summers. Exceptions were the days when it was raining. You cannot work with hot tar on those days. So Catherine and I were probably the only two people in Montréal who were thrilled if it was raining in the morning, because it meant we’d be together for the day.

This was to be a short summer in terms of work, however, as Catherine and I had decided we were going to get married. We were both twenty. We informed my parents of our plan and had their blessing – they were both in love with Catherine. She then returned to France a bit before me and gave her own parents enough of a hint so that it was now up to me to formally ask her dad for her hand in marriage. Here the reactions of both our dads are worth retelling.

After Catherine and I spoke to my parents, my dad pulled me aside, and in one of those serious moments where you know you’d better listen, he simply said, “I’m thrilled for both of you, but you’d better understand that this is not like having a girlfriend, then moving on.” He was speaking from the heart, and his heart had a serious place for Catherine, and he was making sure that I understood how important this was.

Catherine’s dad, predictably, played it both ways. When I asked for Catherine’s hand he agreed with tears in his eyes to let me marry his daughter. Then, when we returned to the living room where Catherine and her mom were waiting, he couldn’t resist; he told Lydia that he’d given me permission to have their daughter’s hand in marriage, but added – laughing – “But I also told him ‘no returns.’” That was Rapha. Our parents spoke to each other over the phone and, even though they had never met, they were all thrilled.

– Excerpted from Strength of Conviction by Tom Mulcair

©2015, Tom Mulcair. All rights reserved. Published by Dundurn Press


Excerpt: The enchantment of Tom Mulcair | Ottawa Citizen
 

Walter

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Mulecare has poor policies which would diminish our standard of living drastically.