Funny, im pretty sure he just won 2015 with the way he handled this situation.
Too early. In 1979 after the failed military action in Iran to rescue hostages, Jimmy Carter was riding high in the polls. Just like the current polls showing Justine ahead, the surge to Harper won't last until election day. However, they no doubt will use it and build on it in the upcoming campaign. It also may pressure Justine to do something and that is usually when he screws up which also plays into their hands.