Conservatives lead Liberals, NDP among both eligible and likely voters

[Retired_Can_Soldier]

Some of us use purple... and some even understand it

I look terrible in purple. SEE!

Because the margin of error is 3.4% and the "difference" between the two results falls within that margin of error.

%32 vs %30 with a margin of error of +/- 3.4% is not a statistically significant difference. They are saying that for all they know, the Conservative support could actually be 28.6% and the Liberal support 33.4%, or any other possible combination within the margin of error.

Trying to predict likely voter turnout is something that is nice to try, but there is no evidence that these guys can do that with any degree of accuracy. Turnout for each party is mostly a function of each party's ability to get out the vote, and that varies from election to election.

Yep, look at that we agree.

 

[Cliffy]

Another Con government?

 

[Retired_Can_Soldier]

Another Con government?

It's going to be fun!

 

[QuebecCanadian]

I like to use this guy for sarcasm :/

Not that I'm ever sarcastic :/

 

[Cliffy]

It's going to be fun!

What will be fun - watching me stick a knife in my eye or another 4 years of those azzhats screwing up the country?

 

[Retired_Can_Soldier]

What will be fun - watching me stick a knife in my eye or another 4 years of those azzhats screwing up the country?

The preamble to you doing it. I bet you can't do it in one stroke.

 

[damngrumpy]

Actually its a disaster for the Tories at 32% they have fallen to a new never comeback
position. Two years ago they were in a better spot with 38% plus ratings and now they
are dipping. Each time they go down they never make it back to the place they had
after the last election.
Numbers are right they will be luck to hold a minority government.
Also figure in the election call and if they are in the same range the Tories will lose or
at best hang on to a razor thin minority

 

[Retired_Can_Soldier]

Actually its a disaster for the Tories at 32% they have fallen to a new never comeback
position. Two years ago they were in a better spot with 38% plus ratings and now they
are dipping. Each time they go down they never make it back to the place they had
after the last election.
Numbers are right they will be luck to hold a minority government.
Also figure in the election call and if they are in the same range the Tories will lose or
at best hang on to a razor thin minority

I disagree. Things will change quite a bit when the Demented Child King actually has to stand his ground in a debate. I bet Mulcair could wipe his sphincter with Trudeau. And if the NDP rebounds the Liberals will be where they've been for some time. In the doldrums.

 

[BornRuff]

I disagree. Things will change quite a bit when the Demented Child King actually has to stand his ground in a debate. I bet Mulcair could wipe his sphincter with Trudeau. And if the NDP rebounds the Liberals will be where they've been for some time. In the doldrums.

Mulcair is a great prosecutor. Unfortunately for him, in a debate, his opponents are under no obligation to actually answer his questions, so that style doesn't necessarily get you very far.

I'm sure he will ask lots of great questions and make lots of great points, but Harper and Trudeau will just stick to his talking points. Tommy may as well use the time to start moving out of Stornoway.