My bet: it'll be one of 115 men, he will be very conservative and orthodox, he will wear red shoes and a pointy hat, the church will make no progress under his guidance on matters like homosexuality, ordination of women, married priests, contraception, divorce, and remarriage after divorce, and it will continue to lose membership. The church equates modernization with moral decay, as Coldstream often reminds us, because it knows that full modernization would render it largely irrelevant, so that's not going to happen. Nothing will change.