I believe it is fair to say that we will never completely understand all variables and interactions. In fact it's a red herring. We don't need to identify or understand all variables to be able to reach conclusions.
What do you have against models anyways? The scientific method is a model...statistics is very important for scientific analysis. Engineers use statistical models to identify inefficiencies in processes. Biologists use models to study energy flow. Chemists use models to study protein folding. Immunologists use models to test vaccine efficacy. Statistics is needed to analyze data. If it wasn't, then scientists could make one measurement and proceed. It's statistics which explains quantitatively why a sample size of one is insufficient.
Models are useful tools in a scientist's tool kit.
I'm unaware of which comments you're referring to. Water vapour is included in the IPCC reviews. Just not on the list of forcings. It's a feedback responding to those forcings.
Editorializing. The most abundant does not mean the most important.
Well, it seems petros is coming along.
He believes the planet is warming.
He believes it isn't natural.
He believes one of the causes is AGW.
Good boy.
Why won't you reply to what you SEE and the implications of such atmoshperic structures?
And what? What would you show me?
Thats stating the obvious.
The red herring is that it is plausible to dismiss the lack of knowledge, understanding (let alone capacity to identify all of the variables & interactions) and claim to make conclusive statements regarding causation.
I have no problem with models or with statistics for that matter.
The "editorial" was from the IPCC... I did not make those statements.
Come on Tonnington what do you see in that satellite image?
Do you see a heat trap that isn't CO2?
Is that not a problem? Is NASA lieing about the direct effect?
Come on Tonnington what do you see in that satellite image? Do you see a heat trap that isn't CO2? Would you like to see more? They are worldwide and turning clear skies white daily.
Is that not a problem? Is NASA lieing about the direct effect?
NASA is chopped liver to what the IPCC decides to include and publish? Are the NASA stats invaild? They were provided. NASA is a major contributor to IPCC are they not? NASA has data so why doesn't the IPCC use their data? Something wrong with it? Doesn't fit the CO2 monetization scheme?I have no idea what the direct effect is, and if you actually read the IPCC stuff, you'd see that it's an active area of research.
Yes it does show contrails. Contrails that make a heat trap over an already very warm part of the US and over the ocean between the mainland and Bermuda. What does that do to the normal weather and climate stats for that region or any region for that matter? heat traps like that over water create some nasty storms do they not? Has there been an increase in nasty storms? CO2 isn't pushing anything up. Aircraft now fly 10,000ft higher than they used to 20-30 years ago and they have better engine designs and wing designs which create far more compression and decompression of gasses which make them far more efficient and create far more vapor which makes heat traps all over the globe everyday, 365 days a year.That satellite image shows a lot of contrails. Contrails that wouldn't be at that altitude if the temperature wasn't so high. A temperature that wouldn't be so high if there weren't any C02 driving it up. C02 that NASA says is actually the driver for climate change. And around the ferris wheel of logic we go!
NASA has data so why doesn't the IPCC use their data?
Couldn't you find anything more current? I've posted all sorts of NASA papers that makes some very hefty claims and are 10 years more recent.Here's some more NASA data, aircraft pollution responsible for 0.03°K at the surface, and 0.06°K in the upper troposphere. That seems consistent with the IPCC data.
Couldn't you find anything more current?
More blah blah ignorant ranting about how science works...
Except for your compelling ignorance about the use of both...
Well, I found this in the AR4, Chapter 2, section 2.1, page 133:
Why won't you reply to what you SEE and the implications of such atmoshperic structures?