Financial Post: Alberta to bleed 31,800 jobs by end of year in oil price carnage

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,778
454
83
Alberta to bleed 31,800 jobs by end of year in oil price carnage

Alberta, the Canadian province holding the world’s third-largest oil reserves, expects 31,800 jobs to be lost for the remainder of the year as a crude price crash forces producers to cut costs.

Suncor Energy Inc., Cenovus Energy Inc. and other oil producers have already shed thousands of jobs this year as they cut spending on new projects. The energy industry accounts for about a quarter of Alberta’s economy, making the province the most reliant on crude in Canada, and previously fueling a boom that saw real estate prices and the number of millionaires in Calgary surge.

West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark crude, will likely average $62 a barrel this year, Premier Jim Prentice said in an interview on Feb. 6 at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. The finance ministry declined to provide an update on its forecast for oil prices.

Alberta’s finance mininstry said on Tuesday it still expects to end the current fiscal year with a budget surplus but warned the full impact of lower crude prices won’t be felt until the next fiscal year.

For the current fiscal year ending March 31, the government will post a surplus of $465 million , down from an earlier forecast of $1.1 billion. The slump in crude prices has erased about $7 billion of government revenues, Prentice has said.

Alberta’s economy will expand 0.6% this year, the finance ministry said. That compares with 3.5% growth estimated for 2014. Consumer spending and exports of oil will keep Alberta from falling into a recession, the government said.

“Alberta is clinging to a surplus in FY14/15, but a much tougher fiscal challenge lies ahead. Exactly how the province chooses to handle it remains to be seen, and will make the 2015 budget one of the most anticipated in years,” said BMO economist Robert Kavcic.

The province in the early part of 2014 accounted for more than half of the jobs created in Canada before the price of oil began to tumble from a June high of more than $100 a barrel.

Alberta to bleed 31,800 jobs by end of year in oil price carnage | Financial Post
 

Locutus

Adorable Deplorable
Jun 18, 2007
32,230
45
48
65
Alberta to bleed 31,800 jobs by end of year in oil price carnage

Alberta, the Canadian province holding the world’s third-largest oil reserves, expects 31,800 jobs to be lost for the remainder of the year as a crude price crash forces producers to cut costs.

Suncor Energy Inc., Cenovus Energy Inc. and other oil producers have already shed thousands of jobs this year as they cut spending on new projects. The energy industry accounts for about a quarter of Alberta’s economy, making the province the most reliant on crude in Canada, and previously fueling a boom that saw real estate prices and the number of millionaires in Calgary surge.

West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark crude, will likely average $62 a barrel this year, Premier Jim Prentice said in an interview on Feb. 6 at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. The finance ministry declined to provide an update on its forecast for oil prices.

Alberta’s finance mininstry said on Tuesday it still expects to end the current fiscal year with a budget surplus but warned the full impact of lower crude prices won’t be felt until the next fiscal year.

For the current fiscal year ending March 31, the government will post a surplus of $465 million , down from an earlier forecast of $1.1 billion. The slump in crude prices has erased about $7 billion of government revenues, Prentice has said.

Alberta’s economy will expand 0.6% this year, the finance ministry said. That compares with 3.5% growth estimated for 2014. Consumer spending and exports of oil will keep Alberta from falling into a recession, the government said.

“Alberta is clinging to a surplus in FY14/15, but a much tougher fiscal challenge lies ahead. Exactly how the province chooses to handle it remains to be seen, and will make the 2015 budget one of the most anticipated in years,” said BMO economist Robert Kavcic.

The province in the early part of 2014 accounted for more than half of the jobs created in Canada before the price of oil began to tumble from a June high of more than $100 a barrel.

Alberta to bleed 31,800 jobs by end of year in oil price carnage | Financial Post

funny how you edited this second paragraph out of your c&p eh bud.

Even with the job losses, overall employment will rise 1% in 2015 because of gains carried over from December, the provincial finance ministry said Tuesday in a statement to reporters in Calgary. That compares with a 2.2% increase in employment last year. It would take a loss of 80,000 jobs before year-end to prevent employment from growing, the government said.

but anyway.
 

B00Mer

Keep Calm and Carry On
Sep 6, 2008
44,800
7,297
113
Rent Free in Your Head
www.getafteritmedia.com
funny how you edited this second paragraph out of your c&p eh bud.

Even with the job losses, overall employment will rise 1% in 2015 because of gains carried over from December, the provincial finance ministry said Tuesday in a statement to reporters in Calgary. That compares with a 2.2% increase in employment last year. It would take a loss of 80,000 jobs before year-end to prevent employment from growing, the government said.

but anyway.

 

damngrumpy

Executive Branch Member
Mar 16, 2005
9,949
21
38
kelowna bc
I have family caught up in this thing they work in the oil industry and the jobs are
drying up It seems every time there is a boom no one thinks this will happen. It
does. I hear very little boasting these days, for a couple of reasons one things are
not so good and secondly in the early years governments prepared for downturn
this time they didn't. Third the impact will be even worse they didn't watch out for
the social safety net and more will be on assistance because of it
 

DaSleeper

Trolling Hypocrites
May 27, 2007
33,676
1,665
113
Northern Ontario,
funny how you edited this second paragraph out of your c&p eh bud.

Even with the job losses, overall employment will rise 1% in 2015 because of gains carried over from December, the provincial finance ministry said Tuesday in a statement to reporters in Calgary. That compares with a 2.2% increase in employment last year. It would take a loss of 80,000 jobs before year-end to prevent employment from growing, the government said.

but anyway.

A gotcha moment heh?
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,778
454
83
A gotcha moment heh?

I copy pasta'd the whole thing and then edited out some headings but that one paragraph must've come out as well.

Still doesn't change the fact that betting on oil severely ****ed up our economy.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
109,406
11,455
113
Low Earth Orbit
I copy pasta'd the whole thing and then edited out some headings but that one paragraph must've come out as well.

Still doesn't change the fact that betting on oil severely ****ed up our economy.

Why is it ****ed up? Will SK have to carry the load now?
 

Locutus

Adorable Deplorable
Jun 18, 2007
32,230
45
48
65
I copy pasta'd the whole thing and then edited out some headings but that one paragraph must've come out as well.

yes, yes of course.




Alberta, the Canadian province holding the world’s third-largest oil reserves, expects 31,800 jobs to be lost for the remainder of the year as a crude price crash forces producers to cut costs.

Even with the job losses, overall employment will rise 1% in 2015 because of gains carried over from December, the provincial finance ministry said Tuesday in a statement to reporters in Calgary. That compares with a 2.2% increase in employment last year. It would take a loss of 80,000 jobs before year-end to prevent employment from growing, the government said.


Suncor Energy Inc., Cenovus Energy Inc. and other oil producers have already shed thousands of jobs this year as they cut spending on new projects. The energy industry accounts for about a quarter of Alberta’s economy, making the province the most reliant on crude in Canada, and previously fueling a boom that saw real estate prices and the number of millionaires in Calgary surge.


Related



West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark crude, will likely average $62 a barrel this year, Premier Jim Prentice said in an interview on Feb. 6 at Bloomberg headquarters in New York. The finance ministry declined to provide an update on its forecast for oil prices.

Alberta’s finance mininstry said on Tuesday it still expects to end the current fiscal year with a budget surplus but warned the full impact of lower crude prices won’t be felt until the next fiscal year.

For the current fiscal year ending March 31, the government will post a surplus of $465 million , down from an earlier forecast of $1.1 billion. The slump in crude prices has erased about $7 billion of government revenues, Prentice has said.
Alberta’s economy will expand 0.6% this year, the finance ministry said. That compares with 3.5% growth estimated for 2014. Consumer spending and exports of oil will keep Alberta from falling into a recession, the government said.

“Alberta is clinging to a surplus in FY14/15, but a much tougher fiscal challenge lies ahead. Exactly how the province chooses to handle it remains to be seen, and will make the 2015 budget one of the most anticipated in years,” said BMO economist Robert Kavcic.

The province in the early part of 2014 accounted for more than half of the jobs created in Canada before the price of oil began to tumble from a June high of more than $100 a barrel.


Bloomberg.com





as we can all see, that section is one full paragraph north of where any offensive 'headers' are in the article. if anything on a c&p delete, it would be the third paragraph to bite the dust. that or the one below the headers. pretty strange how that happened. pretty strange indeed. but thanks for playing.
 

taxslave

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 25, 2008
36,362
4,337
113
Vancouver Island
funny how you edited this second paragraph out of your c&p eh bud.

Even with the job losses, overall employment will rise 1% in 2015 because of gains carried over from December, the provincial finance ministry said Tuesday in a statement to reporters in Calgary. That compares with a 2.2% increase in employment last year. It would take a loss of 80,000 jobs before year-end to prevent employment from growing, the government said.

but anyway.

But that wouldn't convey the right message. You know, how Harper is so bad for the economy.
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
41,030
43
48
Red Deer AB
I hope Putin appreciates how much effort Canada is going into punishing him for letting Crimea join them..
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,778
454
83
So much denial.

Is OK.

Just makes you guys look even more foolish.


Alberta's oil woes spread beyond the energy industry

It's no secret the steep decline in oil prices are having a significant impact on Canada's energy industry.

But the drop in the commodity price is affecting those outside the sector, who rely on resource revenues to help fund new schools, transit and other projects and services.

Tomoko Vishnu wakes before 6 a.m. each weekday to make a lunch and pack a school bag for her 10-year-old son, before he catches the bus for a 40-minute ride to school. A trip she had hoped her kids would never have to make.

"We bought this house because it said a school was going to be built in this neighbourhood. That's why we bought this house here," she says.

That school was supposed to be built just a five-minute walk from Vishnu's house in southeast Calgary. It is supposed to open next year, although she says there is still no sign of it.

Adding to her concerns, the provincial government is reviewing all capital projects, including hospitals, schools and highways.

"Nothing is happening right now and I am just hoping that it's not going to affect anything like a budget cut for the school because it has already been a lot of stuff cut," she said.

The price of oil has plummeted from highs of more than $100 less than a year ago to around $50 today. That has had a huge impact on Alberta's energy industry, which has seen companies slash spending and shed employees. But it also hurts the provincial government, which counts on energy royalties for about 20 per cent of its revenue.

"The fact of the matter is, when you have a $7-billion hole in your budget some decisions are going to have to be made and it's going to affect decisions across the board," says Alberta's Finance Minister Robin Campbell, who has put all capital projects in the province under scrutiny.

That includes a proposed cancer treatment centre in Calgary. The facility was approved by former premier Alison Redford to be built by 2020. That timeline no longer seems plausible.

"Why in a matter of months do we go from the 'have' province that everyone admires to a province that has these incredible budget challenges that means we can't be a modern, progressive province that can look after its citizens," says cancer survivor John Osler, who is part of a group pushing to have the centre built.

The answer is simple, according to University of Calgary political scientist David Stewart, Albertans have chosen a government that relies too heavily on energy royalties and too little on tax revenue.

"If Alberta taxed at the level of the next lowest province, not the provincial average, it would bring in $11.6 billion in additional revenue and that would make all of this go away," he says.

Of course that is easier said than done.

Many Albertans cringe at the possibility of higher taxes, proud to be the only province without a sales tax. But some people would be open to the idea.

"I have got no problem with a sales tax, but I understand that is a hard sell for Albertans," says Adam Johnson, who spends 90 minutes a day taking a crowded bus between a Calgary suburb and his downtown oil and gas job.

"Calgarians are demanding a train, now we are demanding someone to pay for it," he says.

Johnson would like to see a proposed light rail line project become a reality. The city would need significant provincial funding before ever breaking ground.

When the province could be in a position to pay for that train, or any other infrastructure, will become a little clearer next month when Alberta's budget is released.

But in Canada's energy capital, the fate of many projects will likely continue to hinge on the price of a barrel of oil.

http://www.cbc.ca/m/news/business/alberta-s-oil-woes-spread-beyond-the-energy-industry-1.2972589