Study: Stimulus plan failed to do its job

Praxius

Mass'Debater
Dec 18, 2007
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Halifax, NS & Melbourne, VIC
Study: Stimulus plan failed to do its job - Canada - TheChronicleHerald.ca

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OTTAWA — The only major attempt to assess the impact of the multibillion-dollar federal stimulus program suggests it’s been a flop when it comes to creating jobs.

The Conservatives have long boasted that the Economic Action Plan helped save hundreds of thousands of jobs during the recession. But the parliamentary budget officer has found that the recipients of the money don’t see it that way.

In a survey of municipalities that received Infrastructure Stimulus Fund (ISF) money, 33 per cent said they saw an increase in employment as a result of the funding. Twenty-one per cent said there were fewer jobs, and 43 per cent said they saw no net impact whatsoever.

The responses are part of a survey the parliamentary budget officer commissioned in the summer.

"The results pertaining to perceived unemployment impacts are particularly worthy of note here, given some of the goals underlying ISF," said Scott Bennett, a Carleton University expert in polling who analyzed the results.

The survey also shows little evidence of job spinoffs as a result of the stimulus spending.

The federal government ran up the deficit to finance its stimulus spending with the expectation that the money would immediately create construction jobs, then trickle through the economy to buoy up the private sector and create jobs elsewhere.

"The stimulus money was necessary to protect our country, to protect our jobs," Finance Minister Jim Flaherty said Wednesday.

But municipalities said they don’t expect to see higher employment after the stimulus money stops flowing. Rather, eight per cent said they expect lower employment, and 69 per cent said there will be no change.

Respondents in New Brunswick and Northwest Territories were more likely to perceive significant employment benefits from the stimulus spending than other provinces. Municipalities in Alberta, Manitoba and Quebec were far less enthusiastic.

According to Bennett’s analysis, the municipalities’ responses are thoughtful and thorough. But they are perceptions of job creation, and not an actual job count.

What is clear, according to the survey results, is that some types of infrastructure projects were far better at creating jobs than others.

Public transit projects were "very effective," the survey findings show. And jobs at building airports, highways and ports were especially lucrative.

The survey involved 644 completed questionnaires out of 1,129 sent out.

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Avro

Time Out
Feb 12, 2007
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Oshawa
This isn't proof that the stimulus did not have an impact.

What would have been the unemployment rate without the spending?