Polls

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
18,326
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In our own riding

Nanaimo/Cowichan

the CPC incumbent will probably win. Both the Liberal and the NDP were out of it last year.
 

yballa09

Electoral Member
Sep 8, 2005
103
0
16
Rexburg, Idaho
Given the polls, I actually question the use of any strategic voting this time out anyway. The Liberals are creeping into majority territory and even if there's a complete turnaround all Harper can get is a minority government.

Better check the polls again. At least for now the liberals arent as safe as they thought they were.
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
18,326
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Actually, the polls have been comparatively steady.

The poll results for each party is moving up and down within what probably is the margin of error. I don't think we will see much significant movement until the first week in January.



 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
18,326
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We haven't actually voted here yet. We probably live in the Nanaimo/Alberni riding because our MP is definitely CPC.
 

no1important

Time Out
Jan 9, 2003
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members.shaw.ca
#juan said:
In our own riding

Nanaimo/Cowichan

the CPC incumbent will probably win. Both the Liberal and the NDP were out of it last year.

according to This site Nanaimo Cowichan is a NDP riding and will stay that way after next election. The NDP won Nanaimo/Cowichan by over 6000 votes in 2004. Jean Crowder won that riding for NDP in 2004. .

Maybe you meant Nanaimo/Alberni which went Conservative last time? and according to above link is too close to call. If it is too close to call vote NDP *nudge nudge wink wink* seriously though, vote for who you want to, just vote. :)
 

no1important

Time Out
Jan 9, 2003
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members.shaw.ca
#juan said:
New poll this morning has Cons. slipping while Liberals gain a bit. Nothing new here.


http://tinyurl.com/c38uo

from the link:

* In Ontario, the Liberals (47%) are up 6 points, while the Conservatives (28%) are down 6 points - the Liberals now have a 19-point lead on the Conservatives in this key province.
* In British Columbia, the Conservatives (33%, +6 points) have gained while both the Liberals (33%, -2 points) and the NDP (25%, -5 points) have slipped.
* The Conservatives (31%, -11 points) are down in Saskatchewan/Manitoba, as the NDP (34%, +12 points) have come on strong.

Seems Ontario is going to elect more Liberals this time, why the Con slip in Sask/Man? It will be tight in BC but that could change.


I thought this part was interesting as well:

When those who say they do not plan to vote for Stephen Harper and the Conservatives (those who plan to vote for Liberals, NDP, Bloc Quebecois, or Green Party) are asked why:

* 26% say "because they don't like Stephen Harper the Conservative leader";
* 48% say "because of the policies of the Conservative Party"; while
* 22% have some other reason for not voting for the Conservative Party.

Obviously people do not like Harpers policies or Harper themselves. The cons need fresh faces and fresh modern ideas to be seriously considered as an alternative to the liberals.

Lastly The Cons tv ads are not making much of an impact:

Among those who have seen the recent Conservative Party TV ads, most (58%) say that the ads have had no impact as to whether or not they are going to vote Conservative -- a further 25% say the ads made them "less likely" to vote Conservative. However, one in seven (15%) feel the ads will make them "more likely" to vote Conservative.

The Conservatives need better advisors and PR people, and a new leader as well.
 

#juan

Hall of Fame Member
Aug 30, 2005
18,326
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no1

If you read my last two posts, you will see that the Liberals have been in the lead since the election was called. Every party has moved up and down but the relative positions have pretty much remained the same. On the other hand the last poll you posted puts the NDP in the lead. That would be good. I don't know if that was a slip or if it is something we might see. We'll find out.

PS - I think it might have been a typo.... :wink:
 

Breakthrough2006

Electoral Member
Dec 2, 2005
172
0
16
Here are the national numbers from polling conducted between Dec. 10 and 12

Nationaly
Liberals: 33 per cent (-3)
Conservatives: 31 per cent (+3)
NDP: 17 per cent (+1)
Bloc Quebecois: 13 per cent (-1)
Green Party: 6 per cent (unchanged)

QUEBEC
Bloc Quebecois: 54 per cent (+1)
Liberals: 24 per cent (-8 )
Conservatives: 10 per cent (+6)
NDP: 7 per cent (+1)
Greens: 5 per cent (unchanged)

ONTARIO
Liberals: 44 per cent (-1)
Conservatives: 32 per cent (unchanged)
NDP: 18 per cent (+2)
Greens: 6 per cent (-1)
 

Papachongo

Nominee Member
Dec 6, 2005
71
0
6
nootaksas
Man I wish some of those fringe parties would get elected, and maybe the NDP and Greens get into power. It would make for some lively debates.
 

Reverend Blair

Council Member
Apr 3, 2004
1,238
1
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Winnipeg
It would make for some lively debates, Papachongo. It would also release us from the stranglehold of myopia and greed that the corporations have on this country.