CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten said current polling suggests there’s a 67% chance Democrats will win both the House and Senate in the 2026 midterm elections. On the latest episode of “The Enten Scale,” released Sunday, Enten noted that the figure has jumped 15 percentage points in just two months, with three weeks to go yet.
He highlighted strong Democratic polling in states such as Iowa, Alaska, Kansas and Michigan, while pointing to Republican candidates struggling with voters. Texas GOP Senate candidate Ken Paxton, for example, has a net popularity rating of minus 16 points. Enten attributed much of the GOP’s difficulties to Donald Trump, highlighting the president’s underwater net approval ratings on immigration, trade and tariffs, Iran, the economy and inflation, but other than that, the GOP is doing just swell.
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If the results match current polling, Enten said, he expects Democrats to hold 54 seats in the U.S. Senate, compared with 46 for Republicans
. Accusing someone of "Trump Derangement Syndrome" (TDS) is often considered a sign of lazy debating because it functions as an ad hominem fallacy and an ad absurdum shortcut, rather than an engagement with the actual facts or logic of an argument. Instead of disproving a specific point, it attempts to discredit the person making it by labeling them as inherently biased or irrational
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Using a catchphrase like TDS allows someone to completely bypass the burden of proof. When faced with a complex or difficult counterargument and serves as an intellectual shortcut to escape defending a position. The grim outlook gripping the GOP follows weeks of polling showing Republicans on track to lose the House amid intense voter anger over the Iran war and rising cost of living — and at grave risk of losing their once-solid majority in the Senate as well.
He highlighted strong Democratic polling in states such as Iowa, Alaska, Kansas and Michigan, while pointing to Republican candidates struggling with voters. Texas GOP Senate candidate Ken Paxton, for example, has a net popularity rating of minus 16 points. Enten attributed much of the GOP’s difficulties to Donald Trump, highlighting the president’s underwater net approval ratings on immigration, trade and tariffs, Iran, the economy and inflation, but other than that, the GOP is doing just swell.
Harry Enten Predicts Exactly How The Midterms Will Play Out — HuffPost
And Donald Trump is a key reason, said CNN’s chief data analyst.
. Accusing someone of "Trump Derangement Syndrome" (TDS) is often considered a sign of lazy debating because it functions as an ad hominem fallacy and an ad absurdum shortcut, rather than an engagement with the actual facts or logic of an argument. Instead of disproving a specific point, it attempts to discredit the person making it by labeling them as inherently biased or irrational.Using a catchphrase like TDS allows someone to completely bypass the burden of proof. When faced with a complex or difficult counterargument and serves as an intellectual shortcut to escape defending a position. The grim outlook gripping the GOP follows weeks of polling showing Republicans on track to lose the House amid intense voter anger over the Iran war and rising cost of living — and at grave risk of losing their once-solid majority in the Senate as well.
