Re: Kyoto
Rev,
No, what you are doing is perpetuating a fallacy based in 19 century thought and 20th century technology because you are afraid you will be negatively impacted.
As long as you continue to deny reality, you’ll not be able to make any progress. I will not be negatively impacted whatsoever by new tech. Quite the opposite. What will impact me is an increase in taxes to pay penalties for a treaty that has no hope of achieving it’s goals.
New technology creates wealth. Period.
Now you’re talking economics, and you’re somewhat stymied by your leftist viewpoint. (Socialist economist = oxymoron)
What good is TV? Not much, but it creates wealth.
Interesting you should mention TV. That’s the example I love to use when explaining just how technology creates wealth. You aren’t old enough to remember when colour TV came on the market, but I am. It was invented in the ‘30’s but didn’t come on the market till ’67. I cost the average working man an entire month’s wages. Now you can buy a much better colour TV for 1 day’s pay of the average working man. That’s how wealth is created, when the consumer can buy more for less because technology makes it better and less expensive.
A few years ago, an economist came up with a good formula for just how wealth is created in this way, involving the technology gap (technology developed but not yet implemented), the technology by which resources are manufactured, and the technology by which they are used. He was able to show how wealth is virtually limitless. But just developing and implementing new technology won’t do it. It has to reduce the cost of goods or services in order to do that. The TV only creates wealth by being much cheaper than before, and is only affordable in the first place because other previous technological developments have created wealth that gives the consumer a disposable income in excess of his needs.
The lack of implementation is because the old technologies are being protected. Do you electric companies want people using solar and wind generators instead of buying electricity from them? Do you think the oil companies like the idea of alternative fuels?
When there's profit to be made, there will be a company putting it on the market. You cannot long keep technology suppressed. It's virtually impossible to corner any market in todays economy.
Canada has gotten rich by being a trading nation and part of what we have always traded is technology. There is no reason to think that tradition would not continue.
Canada has gotten rich because of entrepreneurs who were able to take advantage of things like property rights, capitalism and free enterprise. Any time our government gets involved in economic ventures, it’s generally a disaster. (Remember Canadair?)
We have the Ballard fuel cell. It's running some buses right here in Winnipeg as a matter of fact. Those same buses can, in times of emergency, also be used as electrical generators. There is also a company here in Winnipeg that has designed and built a hydrogen dispensing unit that looks very much like a self-serve gas pump.
Hydrogen is a viable fuel right now. Not only that, but the two things needed to produce hydrogen...water and electricity...are two things that we have in abundance. Manitoba, Quebec, and BC stand to become as rich as Alberta in a hydrogen economy.
What is keeping it from becoming a viable fuel? A lack of infrastructure...there is no place to buy hydrogen...and a lack of interest from the automakers...there is no reason why fuel cells cannot be placed in vehicles.
There’s a town in the central States somewhere that has had busses running on hydrogen for decades now, but as a fuel it’s still not viable because at present it takes more energy to produce the hydrogen than it can then produce, making it an energy negative fuel. As for the Ballard fuel cell, one of those automakers (Daimler-Chrysler) is a partner and has contributed millions to it’s development (along with the Canadian taxpayer). Once it becomes truly viable in every sense, they’ll have it on the market in a big way because they know the massive profits that will accrue to them.
Most of what keeps the prices high is that, because they are not in general usage, manufacturing prices are still very high. If more were being produced the prices would come down in a hurry.
When they can be manufactured cost effectively, and operated cost effectively, they will be on the market in a big way. That’s always the way with free enterprise.
There was hardly any public pressure before Kyoto. The agreement served to get people interested. It also served to make the naysayers look like a bunch nattering nabobs of negatism, if I might steal a phrase from Spiro Agnew's speechwriters.
Whoever would have thought that Spiro would still be remembered so long? But I guess you just can’t remember the earlier pressure. It was there from environmentalists and the public long before Kyoto regarding all things to do with pollution and environmental concerns. All kinds of predictions of doom from the time you were born. Kyoto’s biggest accomplishment was to get a lot of people brainwashed.
US corporations, especially those involved in the energy and auto industries, show absolutely no signs of being inventive or innovative. They have fought advancement every step of the way.
There are a lot of big corps who will first try to protect their position, but it’s practically impossible to corner any market in today’s economy, and eventually they will yield to competition. Many technological advances come from the States, but have a hard time getting implemented there and are then exported to countries like Japan and even Canada (I know of one local example) before being adopted back in the US in order to compete.