In this day and age it should be easy to 'find the truth'. Unfortunately many events are influenced by hidden agendas and behind the scenes developments. Unless I'm have indepth first hand knowledge I'm playing the guessing game and it is a matter of whittling down the theories promoted. I try to start from a position of nothing political happens by accident and on the world stage the death of civilians (foreign and domestic) doesn't mean a great deal to the host nation as long as the 'elite' aren't getting their feathers ruffled. Now if the elite and the power brokers and the generals were all getting their hands dirty by being on the front-lines, but they aren't, the ones they make sure are just above survival position are the ones who end up doing the real labor when it costs them lots but does not have an 'equal payback'.
If the bus was the target military or civilian, we have school-buses painted bright colors, the little bit the photo shows looks to be olive-green, a military color. The first article I read had the bus, the injuries, the accepting responsibility for the shot by Hamas, the reprisal from the IDF. My first impression was 'that was a stupid thing to do' for several reasons. It was not a defensive move, it did not target a military vehicle (that we know of as it may have been a bus carrying cadets who are technically 'students' and the teddy bear is a plant to suggest it was a kindergarten bus. Something Bear saw and recognized before I brought it up but he simply chose not to say anything even though when it was Hamas, then it was worth mentioning. Hopefully, for the morality of the fifgters on both sides, the 'additions to the crime-scene' are the work of the photographer (and their bosses) than by the soldiers posing in the photos.
The latest news is Israel has the ability to take out the rockets that do get used in Gaza (unguided and without a warhead), in place as an untested system, just a 'few hours' after the bus was taken out by a 'shell' that would have the same capabilities. That creates a ??? for me that gives me the desire to find out more, but it is unlikey to produce any results. Was the bus there at a 'normal time', etc because the chain of events plays right into Israel's hands, the attack on the bus with a new and improved weapon, the retalliation that was strong enough that Hamas would launch some of those regular rockets (first in a few years) just moments after the 'dome' was activated. Add in some other odds and ends, like Israel having agents inside Gaza that can complete an assassination in a busy location and still be able to get away. Obviously they would be capable of a false flag operation that would give Israel 'the right' to attack and (the real goal) test out the 'dome' for there new 'darts'. Do a follow-up on just what weapon took out that car in Sudan was like (same as the bomb in Libya below) or much smaller so it was equal to the 'tank shell' damage. The theory may not lead to the truth, that doesn't mean it shouldn't be followed as far as possible. If no path to explore exists that might be an indication all by itself.
YouTube - Terrifying Air Strike in Brega Libya