Despite Terrorism, Violence Is on the Decline, Pinker Says

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
471
83
In a week when the terrorist attacks in Paris dominated the news, Harvard psychology professor Steven A. Pinker’s remarks Thursday may have surprised some of his listeners. Violence, he said, has been declining continuously over the course of human history and will continue to fall in the future.

“The news is a systematically misleading way to understand the current state of the world,” said Pinker, a professor of Psychology, during a talk to about 100 people. He referenced the “if it bleeds, it leads” principle of news coverage and how it can lead to an excessive focus on violent events.

“Over the course of history, our institutions and societal norms have brought about our better angels,” said Pinker, citing both a famous Abraham Lincoln quote and the title of his 2010 book The Better Angels of Our Nature.

Pinker theorized that our “better angels” include facets of human emotion such as self-control, empathy, moral sense and reason. These feelings, according to Pinker, have led to global decreases in war, slavery, the death penalty, and homicide.

Organized by student group Harvard College Effective Altruism, the lecture packed dozens of students and community members into Emerson Hall 210. Some were drawn by the name of one of Harvard’s most famous professors.

“I loved it. I thought he was amazing,” Ashley D. Anderson ‘19 said. “I wanted to hear him speak because I’m really interested in psychology.”

Harvard Effective Altruism, one of Harvard’s newer student organizations, promotes the use of data and reasoning in decision-making.

“[Effective altruism] is a widespread and growing movement, particularly on a lot of college campuses,” said Lily H. Zhang ’17, an organizer of the event. “We do a lot with holding lectures like this with people like Stephen Pinker” who believe in the principles the group espouses, she said.

Pinker began the lecture discussing the brutal and often deadly violence that occurred in the prehistoric period and early portions of recorded history. “Our species has what you may call a history of violence,” he said.

Pinker zoomed through thousands of years, outlining six major declines in violence. He called one of the events “the Civilization Process," in which early kings and emperors "tried to stamp out endemic feuding in the territories that they pacified,” he said.

Current events, according to Pinker, are a mix of good news and bad news. “In the past year, we have seen the violence perpetrated by [the Islamic State of Iraq and Syria], wars in Ukraine, and riots and violence in the streets of the United States,” he said.

However, he urged the audience to look past the 24-hour news cycle when making judgments about the world.

Ending on a positive note, Pinker asserted that the global decline in violence will continue. “Some forms of violence, once abolished, stay abolished,” he said. “The world has become more democratic than ever.”

http://www.thecrimson.com/article/2015/11/20/pinker-violence-decline-lecture/
 

CDNBear

Custom Troll
Sep 24, 2006
43,839
207
63
Ontario
In a week when the terrorist attacks in Paris dominated the news, Harvard psychology professor Steven A. Pinker’s remarks Thursday may have surprised some of his listeners. Violence, he said, has been declining continuously over the course of human history and will continue to fall in the future.

“The news is a systematically misleading way to understand the current state of the world,” said Pinker, a professor of Psychology, during a talk to about 100 people. He referenced the “if it bleeds, it leads” principle of news coverage and how it can lead to an excessive focus on violent events.
You've posted his opinions before.

They were as disingenuous to the situation then, are as they are now.
 

mentalfloss

Prickly Curmudgeon Smiter
Jun 28, 2010
39,817
471
83
We Worry Too Much About Terrorism

The chance that extremist violence will touch any of us directly was minuscule before the latest attacks, and it still is.

Each of the attacks in Paris that killed 17 people last week was an atrocity, a threat to freedom and an act of terrorism. On those points, most people agree, and they're right. Most people also fear this marks the beginning of a rash of extremist violence in the West. On that, they're probably wrong.

If we have learned anything from the experience since 9/11, it's that the public and its leaders chronically overestimate the danger posed by Islamic militants. This latest episode fits that pattern.

"In the face of rogue jihadists living in the West and urged to attack their homeland, the threat 'is the new normal,' one U.S. government official explained," according to The Daily Beast. "There are thousands more jihadists living in the West than security forces to keep an eye on them. And with the war in Syria raging, there is the potential for that to grow as fighters return from the front lines, potentially radicalized."

Former Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman echoes that concern, warning in The Wall Street Journal that "the enemy is stronger today in more places than it was on 9/11 and is gaining more ground than ever." He fears that "the number and frequency of attacks like those in France will increase."

But he and others have a history of sounding alarms that are false or greatly overstated. In 2011, Lieberman expected that the killing of Osama bin Laden would prompt someone to "attempt an attack within the United States in the coming days or weeks." It didn't happen.

In 2003, notes Ohio State University political scientist John Mueller, U.S. intelligence officials expected a flurry of attacks here after the Iraq invasion. Wrong again. Last summer, Defense Secretary Chuck Hagel called the Islamic State "an imminent threat." Nothing came of it.

The biggest terrorist attack on American soil since 9/11 is the 2013 Boston Marathon bombing—which the soothsayers missed.

Two phenomena are at work. One is our habitual human tendency to worry too much about dramatic, unusual dangers, like terrorism and Ebola, and too little about commonplace ones, like car wrecks and falls, that are far more likely to kill us. When we hear about terrorists shooting innocents, we get cold chills wondering whether we'll be next. When we hear that someone died of a stroke, we yawn.

https://reason.com/archives/2015/01/15/we-worry-too-much-about-terrorism