I never put any real stock in polls, we saw similar polls this time last election and they were supposedly "deadlocked" in the polls on election night.
My personal baseless predictions:
I think the Bloc will do better in Quebec.
The Conservatives will gain in the West.
Vote-rich Ontario is still predominently Liberal.
I think the NDP is in danger of loosing votes due to the Lib v. Cons fearmongering.
I think the Green Party is in danger of loosing vote % due to the same thing.
I think it will be really interesting to see how low voter turn out is this time.
I perfer a minority government. We elect politicians to lead this country and unity (not just on Quebec) is a huge issue. Minority governments force the politicans to actually negotiate and reconcile with each other rather than ram their own agenda through. I'd rather see them have to earn the wages by producing legislation that has been agreed on by as many viewpoints as possible than ramrodding one party line.
That being said, has this board ever held disussion on changing the voting system? We're one of the last countries in the world clinging to a first-past-the-post, winner-take all majoritarian system.