Extrafire said:
Careful, you’ve just put forth one of the arguments for design... The conditions are so delicately balanced as to be impossible.
No I haven't, and no they're not. I presume you mean impossible without divine intervention. They're obviously possible, because here we all are. Your arguments consistently look to me like some version of one or more of the following, substituting the Creator or the Designer or whatever you conceive of this postulated being to be, for God:
1. Cosmological Argument
(1) If I say something must have a cause, it has a cause.
(2) I say the universe must have a cause.
(3) Therefore, the universe has a cause.
(4) Therefore, God exists.
2. Teleological Argument (Argument from Design)
(1) Check out this universe. Isn't it nice?
(2) Therefore, God exists.
3. Argument from Intervention
(1) I say God causes certain things to happen.
(2) Those things happen.
(3) Therefore, God exists.
4. Argument From Possible Worlds (the Fine Tuning Argument)
(1) If things had been different, then things would be different.
(2) That would be bad.
(3) Therefore, God exists.
5.. Argument From Ignorance
(1) Things happen that we can’t explain.
(2) I can imagine only one reason these things occur.
(3) Therefore, God exists.
The argument from design, which appears to be the essence of your position, in every version of it I’ve ever encountered, including yours, begs the question. It assumes the universe was designed in order to demonstrate it was designed. The conclusion is embedded in the assumptions, which is a logical fallacy. Design is a logical possibility, but it is not the only or the most parsimonious conclusion possible from the evidence, and in fact violates at least three of the six rules for clear thinking I posted at www.canadiancontent.net/forums/about4489.html: falsifiability, logic, and completeness. It also ranks as an extraordinary claim, and thus requires extraordinary evidence in support of it, which has not been provided.
...Carl Sagan (and someone else who’s name I have forgotten)...
probably Frank Drake
...once calculated that there should be at least 1 million planets in our galaxy with advanced life forms, but as more and more information became available, they downgraded their estimate to the point where they said that it now appears there should be no life forms, not even us. Sounds like an argument for divine intervention.
You're misrepresenting their conclusions. It depends entirely on what assumptions you put into what's called the Drake Equation, and it is not an argument for divine intervention. All it says is that we don't have enough information to form a definitive conclusion. Divine intervention remains an assumption, not a conclusion or an argument.