Omnibus Russia Ukraine crisis

Ron in Regina

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Zelenskyy arrived in Florida on Saturday night with a Ukrainian delegation, before talks with the US president at his Mar-a-Lago (White House Two) residence. The two leaders are expected to discuss the latest iteration of a 20-point peace plan and the unresolved question of the future of Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region.

Vladimir Putin has demanded Ukraine hand over territory in the north of Donetsk oblast that his forces have been unable to capture. Zelenskyy’s counter-proposal envisages a demilitarised zone, with both sides withdrawing from the line of contact. The plan could be put to a referendum, providing Moscow first agrees to a ceasefire lasting from 60 to 90 days.

But fundamental problems remain, including the issue of security guarantees…
…to prevent Russia from attacking again…again.

Trump has made no military commitment to defend Ukraine. The original 28-point US plan was presented in November after talks with Russia and in effect demanded Ukraine’s capitulation. Ukraine’s capital was hit by more than 500 drones and ballistic missiles across Friday night and Saturday. The 12-hour onslaught killed two people and left half a million without power.

On Sunday, Russia’s defence ministry said its forces had seized five settlements in eastern and southern Ukraine, including Myrnohrad near the eastern city of Pokrovsk and Huliaipole in the Zaporizhzhia region. The announcement before the Florida talks appeared designed to send a message to Trump that Russia’s victory in Donbas is inevitable.
 

petros

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Zelenskyy arrived in Florida on Saturday night with a Ukrainian delegation, before talks with the US president at his Mar-a-Lago (White House Two) residence. The two leaders are expected to discuss the latest iteration of a 20-point peace plan and the unresolved question of the future of Ukraine’s eastern Donbas region.

Vladimir Putin has demanded Ukraine hand over territory in the north of Donetsk oblast that his forces have been unable to capture. Zelenskyy’s counter-proposal envisages a demilitarised zone, with both sides withdrawing from the line of contact. The plan could be put to a referendum, providing Moscow first agrees to a ceasefire lasting from 60 to 90 days.

But fundamental problems remain, including the issue of security guarantees…
…to prevent Russia from attacking again…again.

Trump has made no military commitment to defend Ukraine. The original 28-point US plan was presented in November after talks with Russia and in effect demanded Ukraine’s capitulation. Ukraine’s capital was hit by more than 500 drones and ballistic missiles across Friday night and Saturday. The 12-hour onslaught killed two people and left half a million without power.

On Sunday, Russia’s defence ministry said its forces had seized five settlements in eastern and southern Ukraine, including Myrnohrad near the eastern city of Pokrovsk and Huliaipole in the Zaporizhzhia region. The announcement before the Florida talks appeared designed to send a message to Trump that Russia’s victory in Donbas is inevitable.
Kabuki

The funding the US gave hinges on repatriation of Crimea, Kherson Donbass and Luhansk.
 

Ron in Regina

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The funding the US gave hinges on repatriation of Crimea, Kherson Donbass and Luhansk.
Did the hinge of US funding go to Russia who’s demanding Crimea, Kherson Donbass and Luhansk at this point in order for a cease-fire until they want more?
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Russia has moved very little from its maximalist position and has not reacted to the latest proposal. The U.S., meanwhile, has pushed Zelenskyy to move off his original demands and Trump has often seemed to lose patience with the haggling.

Zelenskyy’s meeting, in addition to security guarantees, will focus on management of the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant, and territorial control of Donbas, the eastern territories claimed by Moscow.

Zelenskyy’s plan, which Ukrainian officials have described as an attempt to show flexibility without conceding territory, has received little public reaction from Washington.

Zelenskyy’s offer of a demilitarized zone came with a key condition: Russia would have to withdraw its forces from a corresponding stretch of land in Donetsk.

Russia has given no indication that it is willing to accept anything short of full control over the region, underscoring the gulf that remains between the two sides.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
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Zelenskyy’s plan, which Ukrainian officials have described as an attempt to show flexibility without conceding territory, has received little public reaction from Washington.
Cuz Washington knows the war will end in 2 more years with a Ukrainian victory and a collapsed Russian Federation which is the real end game. Russia is nothing but 3 cities without the Federation.
 

Ron in Regina

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Cuz Washington knows the war will end in 2 more years with a Ukrainian victory and a collapsed Russian Federation which is the real end game. Russia is nothing but 3 cities without the Federation.
Washington also knows that if they arm Ukraine sufficiently to actually win, once Russia is out, they are stuck with a highly trained, extremely experienced, modernly equipped Ukrainian military…& that potentially becomes a threat. Better to not equip Ukraine to actually win, but to eventually a draw, like Afghanistan was to the Russians.

It’s four years in already, so what’s another two years (or four? Or six?) and hundreds of thousands of lives on both sides of that conflict? It’s the art of the deal, & both sides of that conflict will be ripe for the pillaging at that point.
 

petros

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Washington also knows that if they arm Ukraine sufficiently to actually win, once Russia is out, they are stuck with a highly trained, extremely experienced, modernly equipped Ukrainian military…& that potentially becomes a threat. Better to not equip Ukraine to actually win, but to eventually a draw, like Afghanistan was to the Russians.

It’s four years in already, so what’s another two years (or four? Or six?) and hundreds of thousands of lives on both sides of that conflict? It’s the art of the deal, & both sides of that conflict will be ripe for the pillaging at that point.
How is Russia going to defeat Ukraine when Russian troops are riding horses and camels? Debil.
 

Ron in Regina

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How is Russia going to defeat Ukraine when Russian troops are riding horses and camels? Debil.
Are they (both sides?) not using horses and camels. I hear that horses are not big fans of drones.
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These measures are generally seen as a sign of desperation following the loss of over 15,000 armored vehicles, forcing the military to revert to 15th-century tactics to bypass drone-detected supply lines.
President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday took steps toward agreeing on a proposal to end Russia’s invasion, but difficult sticking points remain to be resolved and it’s unclear if Russia would agree to their recommendations.

The leaders, who met Sunday at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, said talks involving the three countries would continue in January. Trump, Zelensky and European leaders all praised Sunday’s progress, despite the absence of a clear breakthrough.

“This is not a one-day-process deal. This is very complicated stuff,” Trump said of the negotiations, which earlier on Sunday he called “pretty complex, but not that complex.”

He later said that the two “made a lot of progress” on ending the war, and that he believes they’re “far closer than ever before.”

During a joint news conference with Zelensky, Trump cited “one or two” unresolved problems that he didn’t specify.

One appeared to be the future of the Donbas region of Ukraine, which is largely occupied by Russian forces. Last month, Ukraine rejected Russia’s demand to pull troops from parts of the region to create a demilitarized zone. Now, Zelensky is proposing that both sides withdraw from the area to create an economic free zone with international troops and monitors.

“The word ‘agreement’ is too strong,” Trump said in response to a reporter’s question about the zone. “I would say not ‘agreed,’ but we’re getting closer to an agreement on that. And that’s a big issue.”

“If things don’t happen, they keep fighting and they keep dying,” Trump said. “In a few weeks, we will know one way or the other, I think.”

Trump said he would be willing to address Ukraine’s parliament, acknowledging that either it or a popular referendum would be needed before any peace plan ceding territory could be concluded.
Before the meeting, Trump on Sunday brushed off concerns that Putin, who started the “three day” war by invading Ukraine in 2022, wasn’t serious about peace as his forces pounded the Ukrainian capital this weekend. Trump called Putin ahead of his meeting with Zelensky on Sunday and said he planned to speak with him again afterward.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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Are they (both sides?) not using horses and camels. I hear that horses are not big fans of drones.
View attachment 32480
These measures are generally seen as a sign of desperation following the loss of over 15,000 armored vehicles, forcing the military to revert to 15th-century tactics to bypass drone-detected supply lines.
President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday took steps toward agreeing on a proposal to end Russia’s invasion, but difficult sticking points remain to be resolved and it’s unclear if Russia would agree to their recommendations.

The leaders, who met Sunday at Trump’s Mar-a-Lago Club in Palm Beach, Florida, said talks involving the three countries would continue in January. Trump, Zelensky and European leaders all praised Sunday’s progress, despite the absence of a clear breakthrough.

“This is not a one-day-process deal. This is very complicated stuff,” Trump said of the negotiations, which earlier on Sunday he called “pretty complex, but not that complex.”

He later said that the two “made a lot of progress” on ending the war, and that he believes they’re “far closer than ever before.”

During a joint news conference with Zelensky, Trump cited “one or two” unresolved problems that he didn’t specify.

One appeared to be the future of the Donbas region of Ukraine, which is largely occupied by Russian forces. Last month, Ukraine rejected Russia’s demand to pull troops from parts of the region to create a demilitarized zone. Now, Zelensky is proposing that both sides withdraw from the area to create an economic free zone with international troops and monitors.

“The word ‘agreement’ is too strong,” Trump said in response to a reporter’s question about the zone. “I would say not ‘agreed,’ but we’re getting closer to an agreement on that. And that’s a big issue.”

“If things don’t happen, they keep fighting and they keep dying,” Trump said. “In a few weeks, we will know one way or the other, I think.”

Trump said he would be willing to address Ukraine’s parliament, acknowledging that either it or a popular referendum would be needed before any peace plan ceding territory could be concluded.
Before the meeting, Trump on Sunday brushed off concerns that Putin, who started the “three day” war by invading Ukraine in 2022, wasn’t serious about peace as his forces pounded the Ukrainian capital this weekend. Trump called Putin ahead of his meeting with Zelensky on Sunday and said he planned to speak with him again afterward.
Russia like Israel has broken every ceasefire they supposedly entered.

What are the security guarantees when Russia breaks the ceasefire? Holy Hell?
 

Ron in Regina

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What are the security guarantees when Russia breaks the ceasefire? Holy Hell?
Like in the Budapest memorandum? That kind of security non-guarantee? Russia isn’t gonna break the cease-fire, because they want for Ukraine to succeed.
(YouTube & 'Russia wants to see Ukraine succeed')
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After a reporter questioned Trump over whether he is “prepared to sign a security agreement today” for Ukraine’s protection, the right-wing leader chastised him over his inquiry.

“Well, it depends on what the security agreements — ” Trump began before pausing mid-sentence to slam the reporter. “What a stupid question. Nobody even knows what the security agreement is going to say.”

The president continued, “But there will be a security agreement, it’ll be a strong agreement, and the European nations are very much involved in that. They’ll be very much involved in protection, etc.”