Two years into the Trudeau 2.0 Minority Term, which day will Justin call the election that only he wants?

B00Mer

Make Canada Great Again
Sep 6, 2008
46,861
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Rent Free in Your Head
www.canadianforums.ca
SINCE TRUDEAU WON’T NAME THE NAMES…

...I’LL FUCKING DO IT.

PROVE ME FUCKING WRONG

Justin Trudeau
Chrystia Freeland
Jimmy Singh
Anita Anand
Ahmed Hussen
Mélanie Joly
F.P. Champagne
Dom Leblanc
Harjit Sajjan
Arif Virani
Steve McKinnon
Steven Guilbeault
Mary Ng
Catherine McKenna


20240814_223038.jpg
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,141
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Regina, Saskatchewan
With speculation rising that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will shuffle his cabinet before MPs return from their summer break, a new poll finds that changing the Liberal government’s front bench could swing some voters’ intentions.

Of those surveyed, 43 per cent said a cabinet shuffle could make them more likely to consider voting Liberal (?), according to the poll conducted for CityNews by Maru Public Opinion. Younger voters, a key demographic the Liberals have focused on over the last year, were the most likely to say a shuffle would influence their support (?).

Trudeau has carried out three major cabinet shuffles: one in 2018, one in 2021, and another in 2023)

But a full 57 per cent said a cabinet revamp wouldn’t likely change their ballot box intentions.
A cabinet retreat scheduled for the end of August in Halifax, N.S., has stirred rumours that Trudeau will reconfigure the cabinet in the coming weeks, to better position his government for an election expected some time next year. In the past, Trudeau has made cabinet changes to ensure all his ministers are committed to running for the Liberals again.

“Doing a cabinet shuffle, in and of itself, doesn’t really create much of a motion among voters — they want to see the policies, they don’t want to see the wallpaper, they want to see the bread and butter on the table,” said Maru executive vice-president John Wright…to see how this government will be different than that last Trudeau government, or the previous Trudeau government, or the previous Trudeau government, etc…
 

IdRatherBeSkiing

Satelitte Radio Addict
May 28, 2007
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Shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic but I am disturbed that this would sway 43% of voters (although CityTV is a fairly Liberal news source so their sample may be of Liberal/NDP voters which may be looking for any excuse to come back to the fold).
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,141
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
Shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic but I am disturbed that this would sway 43% of voters (although CityTV is a fairly Liberal news source so their sample may be of Liberal/NDP voters which may be looking for any excuse to come back to the fold).
The next election has to be held by October (but they’re not say’n 20th or 27th now…) 2025 but could happen any time before then…but it won’t. The cabinet will get an update on the status of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's supply and confidence non-coalition coalition that’s definitely Not a coalition-type coalition agreement with NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh.

That deal has helped the Liberals survive ALL confidence votes since 2022 with the NDP's help, in exchange for the Liberals implementing NDP priorities including dental care and the start of a national pharmacare program.

That deal is supposed to last until next spring when Jagmeet’s Pension comes to fruition.
The NDP are under more pressure to walk away from it, but they won’t, particularly following the Liberal's move last week to ask the Canada Industrial Relations Board to begin binding arbitration between the Teamsters union and the country's two big national railway companies, etc…
1724623097051.jpeg
Canada's housing crisis — driven by high interest rates and rapid immigration that exceeds housing supply growth — has added to the affordability crisis with average home prices and rents rising sharply in the last five years.
1724623062723.jpeg
Sean Fraser made an announcement Sunday in Halifax just ahead of a three-day cabinet retreat intended to prepare for the upcoming fall sitting of Parliament.
1724623028879.jpeg
"Making public lands available for home construction is going to reduce the cost of construction and in turn reduce the cost of living," Fraser said.
1724622994474.jpeg
Former military bases, Canada Post sites and federal office buildings are among the properties currently included in the public lands bank, many of which were previously set aside for sale as they are no longer in use. Good on them for finally listening!!!
1724622972107.jpegThey haven’t said they’ll also include CBC buildings above, but that might have to wait until after the next election…but by stepping forward & using some of the policy ideas from the Conservative Party of Canada, it’s given the liberals more of a jump in the projection polls that I’ve seen for them in the last year!!
1724622947657.jpeg
 

Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,141
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
The Ontario numbers have slipped a lot. Cause for concern yet? Trend is in wrong direction.

On the other hand they flipped PEI 100%.
The Conservatives, & it took a full year, dropped from a greater than 99% chance of winning…to just a 98% odds of winning, & it’s still more than a year until the next election. I wouldn’t say it’s exactly touch & go…but it makes you wonder what happened?
 

pgs

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 29, 2008
27,700
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B.C.
The next election has to be held by October (but they’re not say’n 20th or 27th now…) 2025 but could happen any time before then…but it won’t. The cabinet will get an update on the status of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's supply and confidence non-coalition coalition that’s definitely Not a coalition-type coalition agreement with NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh.

That deal has helped the Liberals survive ALL confidence votes since 2022 with the NDP's help, in exchange for the Liberals implementing NDP priorities including dental care and the start of a national pharmacare program.

That deal is supposed to last until next spring when Jagmeet’s Pension comes to fruition.
The NDP are under more pressure to walk away from it, but they won’t, particularly following the Liberal's move last week to ask the Canada Industrial Relations Board to begin binding arbitration between the Teamsters union and the country's two big national railway companies, etc…
View attachment 24316
Canada's housing crisis — driven by high interest rates and rapid immigration that exceeds housing supply growth — has added to the affordability crisis with average home prices and rents rising sharply in the last five years.
View attachment 24315
Sean Fraser made an announcement Sunday in Halifax just ahead of a three-day cabinet retreat intended to prepare for the upcoming fall sitting of Parliament.
View attachment 24314
"Making public lands available for home construction is going to reduce the cost of construction and in turn reduce the cost of living," Fraser said.
View attachment 24313
Former military bases, Canada Post sites and federal office buildings are among the properties currently included in the public lands bank, many of which were previously set aside for sale as they are no longer in use. Good on them for finally listening!!!
View attachment 24312They haven’t said they’ll also include CBC buildings above, but that might have to wait until after the next election…but by stepping forward & using some of the policy ideas from the Conservative Party of Canada, it’s given the liberals more of a jump in the projection polls that I’ve seen for them in the last year!!
View attachment 24311
The liberal insiders are all presently preparing offers on possible properties prior to public auction . Great being an insider .
 
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Ron in Regina

"Voice of the West" Party
Apr 9, 2008
26,141
9,550
113
Regina, Saskatchewan
A cabinet retreat scheduled for the end of August in Halifax, N.S., has stirred rumours that Trudeau will reconfigure the cabinet (again) in the coming weeks, to better position his government for an election expected some time next year (about Oct. In the past, Trudeau has made cabinet changes to ensure all his ministers are committed to running for the Liberals again.

The last major shuffle came in July 2023, when Trudeau named seven new faces to cabinet and moved 23 ministers into new portfolios.

“Doing a cabinet shuffle, in and of itself, doesn’t really create much of a motion among voters — they want to see the policies, they don’t want to see the wallpaper, they want to see the bread and butter on the table,” said Maru executive vice-president John Wright.

Wright noted those who said they are more likely to be moved by a shuffle may already be Liberal supporters.

“There is a narrow scope of people who are going to take a look at this but not many are going to be swayed from it because they want to see what is going to happen to the other members of cabinet and the prime minister himself.”

Transport Minister Pablo Rodriguez is among those who could be on the way out of cabinet. He is reportedly considering a bid for the leadership of the provincial Quebec Liberal Party and may not run in the next federal race, which could come any time after the NDP’s non-coalition coalition that’s definitely not a coalition-type coalition deal to support the Liberals on confidence votes in Parliament expires in June 2025.
Some also speculate that Trudeau’s office is unhappy with Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s promotion of the federal budget and its measures to address the affordability crisis.

(She could be moved to a different portfolio, possibly taking on more responsibilities for U.S.-Canada relations)

Since Pierre Poilievre won the Conservative leadership in 2022, public opinion polling has shown the Liberals trailing the Conservatives by margins fluctuating between 15 and 20 percentage points.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
113,238
12,775
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Low Earth Orbit
A cabinet retreat scheduled for the end of August in Halifax, N.S., has stirred rumours that Trudeau will reconfigure the cabinet (again) in the coming weeks, to better position his government for an election expected some time next year (about Oct. In the past, Trudeau has made cabinet changes to ensure all his ministers are committed to running for the Liberals again.

The last major shuffle came in July 2023, when Trudeau named seven new faces to cabinet and moved 23 ministers into new portfolios.

“Doing a cabinet shuffle, in and of itself, doesn’t really create much of a motion among voters — they want to see the policies, they don’t want to see the wallpaper, they want to see the bread and butter on the table,” said Maru executive vice-president John Wright.

Wright noted those who said they are more likely to be moved by a shuffle may already be Liberal supporters.

“There is a narrow scope of people who are going to take a look at this but not many are going to be swayed from it because they want to see what is going to happen to the other members of cabinet and the prime minister himself.”

Transport Minister Pablo Rodriguez is among those who could be on the way out of cabinet. He is reportedly considering a bid for the leadership of the provincial Quebec Liberal Party and may not run in the next federal race, which could come any time after the NDP’s non-coalition coalition that’s definitely not a coalition-type coalition deal to support the Liberals on confidence votes in Parliament expires in June 2025.
Some also speculate that Trudeau’s office is unhappy with Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland’s promotion of the federal budget and its measures to address the affordability crisis.

(She could be moved to a different portfolio, possibly taking on more responsibilities for U.S.-Canada relations)

Since Pierre Poilievre won the Conservative leadership in 2022, public opinion polling has shown the Liberals trailing the Conservatives by margins fluctuating between 15 and 20 percentage points.
Sounds like a good time.