Might the death toll from covid-19 be higher than the official fatalities attributed to it so far? Data emerging from the worst-hit places in Europe suggest so.
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A common way to quantify deaths in a severe health crisis is to look at “excess mortality”: the total number of people who have passed away in an area, compared to usual. Journalists in Italy, Spain and France have started doing this.
EuroMOMO, a group of researchers from 24 countries, gives national weekly estimates of all deaths. But, for various reasons, that data cannot yet be directly compared to regional covid-19 fatalities. (For Italy, it aggregates a selection of cities.)
So local researchers and reporters are gathering data. In Italy
foresti
and Inve
have worked with mayors of small comunes in Bergamo province. They have found that, so far, “excess mortality” is double the official covid-19 death toll.
An article in El País showed a similar discrepancy in total deaths and covid-19 deaths for several regions in Spain, based on figures from the government’s health research centre.
And in France manach
has noticed that the covid-19 death toll in Haut-Rhin, the most affected department, is growing less quickly than the number of obituaries published in local newspapers.
There are many reasons why these discrepancies could exist. Data on total deaths and covid-19 deaths often come from different sources. Sometimes it takes a few days to establish the cause of death.
But the gap between official covid-19 deaths and total deaths could also represent people who died outside of hospitals (as seems likely in Bergamo), or who were killed by other diseases that might normally have been treated.
It may take several months before we know what explains this pattern. But at the very least, it seems like the grim death tolls we receive each day understate the damage that has already occurred.
Courtesy of James Tozer.
John Tory just said there 1,374 deaths in Canada
The latest numbers of confirmed and presumptive COVID-19 cases in Canada as of 4 a.m. on April 3, 2020:
There are 11,283 confirmed and presumptive cases in Canada.
_ Quebec: 5,518 confirmed (including 36 deaths, 224 resolved)
_ Ontario: 2,793 confirmed (including 53 deaths, 831 resolved)
_ British Columbia: 1,121 confirmed (including 31 deaths, 641 resolved)
_ Alberta: 968 confirmed (including 13 deaths, 174 resolved)
_ Saskatchewan: 206 confirmed (including 3 deaths, 36 resolved)
_ Nova Scotia: 193 confirmed (including 16 resolved)
_ Newfoundland and Labrador: 183 confirmed (including 1 death, 10 resolved)
_ Manitoba: 152 confirmed (including 1 death, 11 resolved), 15 presumptive
_ New Brunswick: 91 confirmed (including 22 resolved)
_ Prince Edward Island: 22 confirmed (including 3 resolved)
_ Repatriated Canadians: 13 confirmed
_ Yukon: 6 confirmed
_ Northwest Territories: 2 confirmed
_ Nunavut: No confirmed cases
_ Total: 11,283 (15 presumptive, 11,268 confirmed including 138 deaths, 1,968 resolved)
Navy dismisses aircraft carrier captain who spoke out about coronavirus response
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...l_news__alert-politics--alert-national&wpmk=1
NO.....this is not in CHINA.......it is in the USA :-(
Not sure that those laid off feel that way.
and wHO's "grater good" are we talking about??
So it was OK to skip the chain of command and leak his letter to the newspaper?
Do you have the first shred of evidence Capt. Crozier did that?So it was OK to skip the chain of command and leak his letter to the newspaper?
The captain of the aircraft carrier USS Theodore Roosevelt has been relieved of duty for exercising "poor judgment" in not safeguarding information in a letter to Navy leadership that was leaked to a newspaper. The letter requested that most of the ship’s crew of 5,000 be taken off the ship to contain the spread of novel coronavirus.
Thomas Modly, the acting secretary of the Navy, said Thursday at a hastily called Pentagon briefing that Crozier was being relieved for a loss of confidence and poor judgment.
Modly made clear he did not fault Crozier for wanting to protect his crew but took issue with how he did not express his concerns with his immediate supervisor, the rear admiral aboard the ship who was in charge of the Roosevelt carrier strike group.
"He's being relieved because to me that demonstrated extremely poor judgment in the middle of a crisis," said Modly. "Because of what it's done, it's has created a firestorm. Ii's created doubts about the ship's ability to go to sea if it needs to. It's created doubt among the families about the health of their sailors."
Modly said he had no information to indicate that Capt. Brett Crozier personally leaked the letter but noted that in emailing it to 20-30 people he provided an opportunity for the letter to be leaked.
"He did not safeguard that information and to keep it from being beat anywhere," said Modly.
MORE: Captain of aircraft carrier struck by coronavirus wants sailors off ship
"That was a completely unnecessary thing to do in the midst of a crisis," said Modly who added that he expects more from a commander responsible for an aircraft carrier .
According to Modly, by the time Crozier had written his letter the Navy already had plans to move 2,700 sailors off the carrier and was looking for hotel rooms so they could quarantine and isolate properly. The Navy said Wednesday that it would achieve that goal by the end of the week.
However, he left the door open for discipline if it was proven that Crozier had leaked the letter himself.
That’s funny. Apparently Xi is compared to Winnie the poo in China and he finds it a great insult.
U.S. economy lost over 700,000 jobs in March, ending decadelong streak of employment gains
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/bu...ss-701-000-jobs-n1175726?cid=eml_nbn_20200403
Navy dismisses aircraft carrier captain who spoke out about coronavirus response
https://www.washingtonpost.com/nati...l_news__alert-politics--alert-national&wpmk=1
NO.....this is not in CHINA.......it is in the USA :-(
And yet their unemployment rate is still LOWER than ours. US unemployment rate at of end of March- 4.4%. Canadian unemployment rate at end of March- 5.9%U.S. economy lost over 700,000 jobs in March, ending decadelong streak of employment gains
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/bu...ss-701-000-jobs-n1175726?cid=eml_nbn_20200403
That’s what happens when governors tell you that you can’t go to werk.U.S. economy lost over 700,000 jobs in March, ending decadelong streak of employment gains
https://www.nbcnews.com/business/bu...ss-701-000-jobs-n1175726?cid=eml_nbn_20200403
Good.European leaders warn coronavirus could lead to the breakup of their union
It’s called TDS.I don't get you OB. Why the hell do you ONLY post about American shit in a Canadian forum. Do you think that Canada is somehow sailing through this? I hate to break it to you, but Canada is in a really shitty position right now. When this pandemic finally goes into hibernation, unlike the US, Canada is NOT in much of a position to recover well or quickly from this. In fact before this is all over, the "experts" are predicting WW2 levels of unemployment in Canada. That's 13.5%.
Yep, speculation = actionable evidence.They are speculating that he did
And yet their unemployment rate is still LOWER than ours. US unemployment rate at of end of March- 4.4%. Canadian unemployment rate at end of March- 5.9%
44% of Canadian households have suffered job losses or reduced income.
I don't get you OB. Why the hell do you ONLY post about American shit in a Canadian forum. Do you think that Canada is somehow sailing through this? I hate to break it to you, but Canada is in a really shitty position right now. When this pandemic finally goes into hibernation, unlike the US, Canada is NOT in much of a position to recover well or quickly from this. In fact before this is all over, the "experts" are predicting WW2 levels of unemployment in Canada. That's 13.5%.