Break up=seasonal, ARIMA statistics means the seasonal cycle is removed.
RCS may not have known that. Suffice it to say, it's not a factor in these changes.
Canadian unemployment rate rises to 7% in May
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Break up=seasonal, ARIMA statistics means the seasonal cycle is removed.
RCS may not have known that. Suffice it to say, it's not a factor in these changes.
Yes, spring break-up did start early this year *hah* ...but that doesn't answer why you can't use seasonal adjustment to adjust for seasonal and predictable changes in employment, which I don't think you understand.
Who said that? I responded to two posts, one about Saskatchewan unemployment growth, and one about seasonal adjustments in the oil patch.
Lay off the shrooms and I won't be zooming over your head old man.
Presto chango....your original link. Early spring breakup brings drilling slowdown
*hah*
And this still isn't Alberta
*hah*
And this still isn't Alberta
I know more than one topic at a time confuses you, sorry Derpy. I won't quote multiple posts anymore including you. It appears to confuse you terribly...
Grudge against people who don't understand moving averages? No...just amazement that people cling to ideas which can be shown to be wrong. Spring break up happens every year (May according to RCS) and crews are laid off, the numbers reported by Stats Canada are seasonally adjusted. The changes in unemployment would change far more if Stats Canada didn't report seasonally adjusted averages. That's what a moving average does, it flattens the curve. Like I said, it's clear you don't understand this.
Look kid. You don't mean to pretend to understand but your book says I'm wrong?
You have no idea what "spring break up means". To you it means oil but the rest of the world it includes construction, ag, logistics, forestry, maintenance the money behind it all and a lot f-cking more all running late.
After a 7 foot frost everything is late. Running rigs on dry surfaces means f-ck all and it's not the end all be all of our economy. Not even close.
Goddam kids.
You have no idea what "spring break up means". To you it means oil but the rest of the world it includes construction, ag, logistics, forestry, maintenance the money behind it all and a lot f-cking more all running late.
After a 7 foot frost everything is late. Running rigs on dry surfaces means f-ck all and it's not the end all be all of our economy. Not even close.
Goddam kids.
You can't admit there is a seasonal signal and then say that you can't adjust for it, that's ignorant.
Sure I do, but because you're probably into the booze already, you seem to be forgetting that this post is what started it all:
The Canadian Association of Oilwell Drilling Contractors recognizes there is a strong seasonal cycle which has an effect on employment, just like RCS mentioned:
The point is, and this keeps flying over your head, that the way the statistics are reported accounts for exactly these kinds of strong seasonal cycles.
Yes, resort to a straw man argument. I never said anything about the end of our economy.
Lay off the booze or shrooms, whichever it is...
Because oil was the example. Of course seasonal adjustment happens for many other sectors of the job market, but oil was the example brought up in the thread before your second flat of beer. Have a nice day Derpy :smile:
An example. Nothing more but you had to fixate on it and ignore everything else a slow spring brings. You even went as far as lying about your outdated link. WTF was that all about?
I mop up the floor with you so I'm drunk eh? Sweet.
I mop up the floor with you so I'm drunk eh? Sweet.
right here:The sorry lessons of green-power subsidies - The Globe and Mail
If you post a link to tax credits you're be laughed at again.
If you post a link to tax credits you're be laughed at again.