- Baring some successful last minute Hail Mary pass by Obama's Chicago Mafia (which is unlikely not because the Catholic Church is suing the Obama crowd for being forced to sanction and subsidize birth control so that Mary won't be receptive to their Hail Mary pass but because the administration's colossal failures both domestic and foreign are finally registering in the public's mind as for the first time the GOP is spending at least as much as the Democrats in TV advertising and because the phony demonization of Romney was discredited by his sterling debate performance with all but the true believer left wing morons), Mitt Romney has the momentum to not just win but to win big next Tuesday.
- Currently, RealClearPolitics gives Romney a one point lead in averaging the recent polls of likely voters while in 2008 Obama had a more than six point lead over McCain. But the two polls that have been historically the most accurate because they encompass a large number of likely voters over a rolling average of several days, the Rasmussen and the Gallop polls, have Romney up by 2 and 5 points respectively. More significantly, these two polls have shown Romney with a lead of between 2 and 6 points every day for the past three weeks. And historically when a challenger leads this late in the game he has always maintained and usually lengthened his lead on voting day.
- Also telling is the new "vote election model" released today by the bipartisan Battleground Poll. This poll actually gives Obama a one point lead if the vote were held yesterday but projects Romney winning by five points (52%-47%) on November 6th.
- This is a brief explanation of the aforementioned battleground Poll:
The poll’s election model takes into account variables including voter intensity, age, and education, and voters who are certain in their vote. The race “remains very close in the surface,” Goeas said, “but the political environment and the composition of the likely electorate favor Governor Romney.”
The projected outcome by the Battleground Poll is close to that of the Gallup Poll. Last week, Gallup said Romney leads Obama 49 percent to 46 percent in its model of the electorate’s composition on November 6.
The Battleground Poll is conducted by Goeas of the Tarrance Group and Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners. Goeas is a Republican, Lake a Democrat. The survey is affiliated with Politico and George Washington University.
- Bottom line is a decisive Romney victory on November 6th with Obama winning that famous 47% of the vote cited by Romney is a private discussion of campaign strategy as being solid supporters of BO because they pay no income taxes and so don't care about Mitt's lower taxes policy and/or because they want more and bigger entitlements from an even bigger government and so are opposed to smaller government as promised by Romney.
- Currently, RealClearPolitics gives Romney a one point lead in averaging the recent polls of likely voters while in 2008 Obama had a more than six point lead over McCain. But the two polls that have been historically the most accurate because they encompass a large number of likely voters over a rolling average of several days, the Rasmussen and the Gallop polls, have Romney up by 2 and 5 points respectively. More significantly, these two polls have shown Romney with a lead of between 2 and 6 points every day for the past three weeks. And historically when a challenger leads this late in the game he has always maintained and usually lengthened his lead on voting day.
- Also telling is the new "vote election model" released today by the bipartisan Battleground Poll. This poll actually gives Obama a one point lead if the vote were held yesterday but projects Romney winning by five points (52%-47%) on November 6th.
- This is a brief explanation of the aforementioned battleground Poll:
The poll’s election model takes into account variables including voter intensity, age, and education, and voters who are certain in their vote. The race “remains very close in the surface,” Goeas said, “but the political environment and the composition of the likely electorate favor Governor Romney.”
The projected outcome by the Battleground Poll is close to that of the Gallup Poll. Last week, Gallup said Romney leads Obama 49 percent to 46 percent in its model of the electorate’s composition on November 6.
The Battleground Poll is conducted by Goeas of the Tarrance Group and Celinda Lake of Lake Research Partners. Goeas is a Republican, Lake a Democrat. The survey is affiliated with Politico and George Washington University.
- Bottom line is a decisive Romney victory on November 6th with Obama winning that famous 47% of the vote cited by Romney is a private discussion of campaign strategy as being solid supporters of BO because they pay no income taxes and so don't care about Mitt's lower taxes policy and/or because they want more and bigger entitlements from an even bigger government and so are opposed to smaller government as promised by Romney.
