Reverend Blair said:
I know a lot of people from BC and Alberta and Separatism won't fly. It does not have the support. If the separtists weren't so far to the right, it might stand a chance.
They are far to the right though, as far as Stephen Harper and more. Especially on social issues. Harper's neo-conservatism and refusal to rein in the religious right in his party caused him to get less than 50% of the popular vote in BC and Alberta in an election where the general population was pissed off at the federal Liberals. He lost ground compared to the combined Alliance/PC vote the election before.
I agree with the first part of your statement, there is no way that the west will leave in my life time. That is all things being equal barring some type of crisis or event of monumental proportions. Like it or lump in virtually everywhere in BC but the GVA and in Alberta the predominant political culture is a clearly right wing conservatism. This predominant conservatism is fruther to the right than your typical canadian brand.
Its not like that in Manitoba and its not like that in Ontario but it is like that there....One need only look at the rightist monopoly in Alberta throughout its entire history and the extremely polar nature of BC politics to see this. Alberta especially, and BC to a lesser degree feels as if they have been getting the shaft from central Canada and both were traditionally "have" provinces (though BC not so much). They send money east and get no respect back either for their predominant beliefs or their regional concerns, and with Trudeau they felt as if they had a genuine enemy.
I would be surprised since you are clearly on the left had you not yourself reffered to Albertans in general terms as "rednecks" or "hicks". If you haven't you are about the only one I know.
I disagree with your reasoning to why you think that that separatism will not fly in the west because it has taken on a right wing nature. While your assessment is absolutely correct in a lot of the overall picture across the country...
Lets put things in perspective here:
#1 You're wrong. The conservatives numbers were impressive as always in Alberta (well above 50%), the liberals didn't get this type of support anywhere in Canada.
In BC the results were not as impressive, but I would have liked to have seen a breakdown of results outside of greater Vancouver. Suffice it to say that in a quick assessment I have not seen a single conservative seat in greater Vancouver and definately none in Vancouver proper (conservatives were often 3rd place and never got more than 26% of the popular vote an any riding) :
ALBERTA
CON 26 783929 61.64%
LIB 2 279562 21.98%
NDP 0 121361 9.54%
BRITISH COLUMBIA
CON 22 626034 36.25%
LIB 8 493356 28.57%
NDP 5 458377 26.54%
NA 1 17174 0.99%
#2 Social conservatives in this region vote massively for the Liberals as well, if a Liberal is not a social conservative in said region (which they often are) they often waffle massively (even by liberal standards) on social issues.
#3 The west is ALWAYS pissed off at the liberals, this particular Liberal PM has been notoriously associated with the right of center and more "west friendly". I would say the west was actually less pissed off at the libs than usual while in Quebec and Ontario this was not the case.
#4 The Conservative party dispite having a western leader is not a separatist party. Also, this is no longer viewed by the west as a regional party as much as the federal liberals eastern canadians would like to think/suggest, a comparison of western separatist sentiment is doomed to fail looking at it in those terms.
I would submit that any western separatist movement would
have to take on a very right wing face to have any chance of suceeding. Like I mentioned in a past post, western separatism is useless to talk about anyway because of the polar differences betwen greater Vancouver and the rest of BC.