Iran - Sanctions - Blockades - War - Treaties - to name a few possibilities
Iran - Many in the West believe that Iran is well on their way to building a Nuclear Weapon or having the ability to assemble such weapons quickly. With only a few options on the table a peaceful agreement could be made-
Failure to prevent Iran from having the ability to build and or assemble a Nuclear Weapon will guarantee a Nuclear Arms Race in the Mid East. Any one who thinks otherwise is like Chamberlain - A fool that will lead to an eventual War worse than if Iran has their Nuke Site taken out.
Bomb the facilities - Provides cover for the Iranian Thugocracy to blame traitors - other wise people known to not support the Govt - The Govt will arrest these so called traitors - and have numerous show trials, confessions obtained by torture and then large scale executions. A complete Purge would be the result of all that disagree with the Govt.
A complete shut down of any dissent will ensue - That along with increasing Govt support - As would occur in any country attacked.
The Iranian Thugocracy is rotting from the inside - unemployment - Rapid inflation - shortages and massive corruption by the ruling elites - And I mean even those that are against the Govt still made millions if not billions when they were with the Govt.
Sanctions
Under International law - a Blockade is a Causis Belli as I understand it - Which means the justification as an Act of War if War had not been declared.
Sanction do appear to be working in many cases but the Iranian Govt is still planning many enrichment facilities - well beyond what would be required for peaceful purposes. Unemployment is high - Inflation as well - many in Iran do not want a confrontation with the West.
Sanctions should be increased dramatically - If Russia and China Veto than NATO & Arab Countries should enforce them. No letting Arab countries off the hook - They are terrified of a Nuclear Iran. So it is useless to let them slip off quietly to condemn from the sidelines. Time to man up and pick where you stand.
Should the UN and if the UN fails by NATO including the Arab Countries - No hiding for them. Impose Stronger Sanctions including a Blockade by Land, Air, Sea if required - exceptions would be food, medicine, parts for water treatment and other critical infrastructure to prevent illness / disease, medical equipment and other such items so as to not cause needless deaths from disease, hunger etc.
Iran to be offered a number of high priorities for them. Listed below
On the other side of that coin firm conditions would have to be met by the West and Iran/Israel. In particular for Iran itself. Iran as a friend more than outweighs the problems that Iran causes /can cause as an enemy.
Security Guarantees for Iran and Israel. Including All Mid East countries to recognize the legitimacy Right of Existence of Israel as a Jewish Homeland and Palestine and that present Borders are Guaranteed. That would be clarified after Israel/Palestine have a peace Agreement
Iran & all Mid East Countries to cease all support of Hezbollah and Hamas - Any support for Palestine would go thru the UN and the UNHCR - Complete cooperation with Iran on upgrading their Infrastructure and the carrot of a Trade Agreement / Technology Transfers with the EU and North America. Based upon firm agreements & benchmarks that are met by both sides.
Israel would retain the Nuclear Weapons - Israel would never give those up - A Non Starter.
A settlement on the 2 States of Israel & Palestine - Imposed if required on Israel and that would probably be the case as Israel are the ones that are stalling and throwing up roadblocks- Palestine must be a viable and self contained State - It cannot be divided up piecemeal as Israel has done so far with the West Bank.
Israel to become part of NATO - 2nd Tier agreements equally applicable & open to all Countries in the Mid East that decide to join.
West Bank - A large number of settlements are illegal- They would have to be returned to the State of Palestine.
Golan Heights returned to Syria - Then the area becomes a permanent DMZ where Syria cannot station any Armed Military /Equipment including Air Defense /Artillery / Missile Sites - Armored Units / Infantry could but at a much reduced level - and cease support of Hamas /Hezbollah - Police and Border Guards would be permitted.
All Iranian Nuclear sites to be monitored on site by IAEA Staff - Permanent -
Time Line -3 months for an agreement on Nukes with Iran - Complete & Unrestricted access by IAEA Officials -
No agreement after 3 months – Blockade – 30 Days – No agreement after 30 days – Bomb their Oil gas facilities.
After another 30 Days – No agreement – Bomb their Nuke Facilities.
2 Sets of Negotiations as outlined below
Iranian Officials to be briefed that if negotiations fail - War will be the result - NATO will attack Nuclear & Military Sites & Bases. This stance Not to be made public - Position is West doing and offering basically what Iranian officials have stated they wanted for the past 30 years. Guarantees of Security from US attack – Same as Cuba has.
Israeli Officials to be briefed that if Peace Negotiations with Palestinian fail due to Israel's intransigence - Europe - North America will impose immediate and complete Sanctions off all goods and cease all Trade and commerce with Israel.
Countries & UN Orgs participating in Negotiations would be - Russia - China - US - France -Germany - Turkey -Swiss - Denmark - Saudi Arabia - UAE - Qatar - UN Orgs -UNHCR & IAEA
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/10/opinion/the-truth-about-iran.html?ref=opinion
Map of Iran
map of iran - Google Maps
Iran Military & Nuclear Sites
Iran - Middle East Maps
IAEA Reports on Iran
http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2010/gov2010-62.pdf
Strategic Targets in Iran
US Plan of Attack for Iran «
Underground facilities - Impossible to destroy.
Iran Shielding Its Nuclear Efforts in Maze of Tunnels - NYTimes.com
Below are a number of links - some for - some against - some with what blowback can be expected. Hopefully you will read these as there are clear reasons for bombing and for not starting another War.
Jonathan Kay: Imagining an Iranian ICBM | Full Comment | National Post
Jonathan Kay: The case against bombing Iran | Full Comment | National Post
Who Wants to Bomb Iran? | Foreign Policy
Pentagon Officials on Consequences of Bombing Iran « LobeLog.com
Read the links within this link above
Across the Aisle: The PSA Blog » Are We Ready: The Consequences of ‘Bomb Iran’
Across the Aisle: The PSA Blog » Are We Ready: The Consequences of ‘Bomb Iran’
War game shows how attacking Iran could backfire | McClatchy
Iran Attack May Backfire: War Games Show Unintended Consequences
Why bombing Iran would be a disaster | Prospect Magazine
Foundation For Defense of Democracies Washington Forum
Iran - Many in the West believe that Iran is well on their way to building a Nuclear Weapon or having the ability to assemble such weapons quickly. With only a few options on the table a peaceful agreement could be made-
Failure to prevent Iran from having the ability to build and or assemble a Nuclear Weapon will guarantee a Nuclear Arms Race in the Mid East. Any one who thinks otherwise is like Chamberlain - A fool that will lead to an eventual War worse than if Iran has their Nuke Site taken out.
Bomb the facilities - Provides cover for the Iranian Thugocracy to blame traitors - other wise people known to not support the Govt - The Govt will arrest these so called traitors - and have numerous show trials, confessions obtained by torture and then large scale executions. A complete Purge would be the result of all that disagree with the Govt.
A complete shut down of any dissent will ensue - That along with increasing Govt support - As would occur in any country attacked.
The Iranian Thugocracy is rotting from the inside - unemployment - Rapid inflation - shortages and massive corruption by the ruling elites - And I mean even those that are against the Govt still made millions if not billions when they were with the Govt.
Sanctions
Under International law - a Blockade is a Causis Belli as I understand it - Which means the justification as an Act of War if War had not been declared.
Sanction do appear to be working in many cases but the Iranian Govt is still planning many enrichment facilities - well beyond what would be required for peaceful purposes. Unemployment is high - Inflation as well - many in Iran do not want a confrontation with the West.
Sanctions should be increased dramatically - If Russia and China Veto than NATO & Arab Countries should enforce them. No letting Arab countries off the hook - They are terrified of a Nuclear Iran. So it is useless to let them slip off quietly to condemn from the sidelines. Time to man up and pick where you stand.
Should the UN and if the UN fails by NATO including the Arab Countries - No hiding for them. Impose Stronger Sanctions including a Blockade by Land, Air, Sea if required - exceptions would be food, medicine, parts for water treatment and other critical infrastructure to prevent illness / disease, medical equipment and other such items so as to not cause needless deaths from disease, hunger etc.
Iran to be offered a number of high priorities for them. Listed below
On the other side of that coin firm conditions would have to be met by the West and Iran/Israel. In particular for Iran itself. Iran as a friend more than outweighs the problems that Iran causes /can cause as an enemy.
Security Guarantees for Iran and Israel. Including All Mid East countries to recognize the legitimacy Right of Existence of Israel as a Jewish Homeland and Palestine and that present Borders are Guaranteed. That would be clarified after Israel/Palestine have a peace Agreement
Iran & all Mid East Countries to cease all support of Hezbollah and Hamas - Any support for Palestine would go thru the UN and the UNHCR - Complete cooperation with Iran on upgrading their Infrastructure and the carrot of a Trade Agreement / Technology Transfers with the EU and North America. Based upon firm agreements & benchmarks that are met by both sides.
Israel would retain the Nuclear Weapons - Israel would never give those up - A Non Starter.
A settlement on the 2 States of Israel & Palestine - Imposed if required on Israel and that would probably be the case as Israel are the ones that are stalling and throwing up roadblocks- Palestine must be a viable and self contained State - It cannot be divided up piecemeal as Israel has done so far with the West Bank.
Israel to become part of NATO - 2nd Tier agreements equally applicable & open to all Countries in the Mid East that decide to join.
West Bank - A large number of settlements are illegal- They would have to be returned to the State of Palestine.
Golan Heights returned to Syria - Then the area becomes a permanent DMZ where Syria cannot station any Armed Military /Equipment including Air Defense /Artillery / Missile Sites - Armored Units / Infantry could but at a much reduced level - and cease support of Hamas /Hezbollah - Police and Border Guards would be permitted.
All Iranian Nuclear sites to be monitored on site by IAEA Staff - Permanent -
Time Line -3 months for an agreement on Nukes with Iran - Complete & Unrestricted access by IAEA Officials -
No agreement after 3 months – Blockade – 30 Days – No agreement after 30 days – Bomb their Oil gas facilities.
After another 30 Days – No agreement – Bomb their Nuke Facilities.
2 Sets of Negotiations as outlined below
Iranian Officials to be briefed that if negotiations fail - War will be the result - NATO will attack Nuclear & Military Sites & Bases. This stance Not to be made public - Position is West doing and offering basically what Iranian officials have stated they wanted for the past 30 years. Guarantees of Security from US attack – Same as Cuba has.
Israeli Officials to be briefed that if Peace Negotiations with Palestinian fail due to Israel's intransigence - Europe - North America will impose immediate and complete Sanctions off all goods and cease all Trade and commerce with Israel.
Countries & UN Orgs participating in Negotiations would be - Russia - China - US - France -Germany - Turkey -Swiss - Denmark - Saudi Arabia - UAE - Qatar - UN Orgs -UNHCR & IAEA
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/11/10/opinion/the-truth-about-iran.html?ref=opinion
Map of Iran
map of iran - Google Maps
Iran Military & Nuclear Sites
Iran - Middle East Maps
IAEA Reports on Iran
http://www.iaea.org/Publications/Documents/Board/2010/gov2010-62.pdf
Strategic Targets in Iran
US Plan of Attack for Iran «
Underground facilities - Impossible to destroy.
Iran Shielding Its Nuclear Efforts in Maze of Tunnels - NYTimes.com
Below are a number of links - some for - some against - some with what blowback can be expected. Hopefully you will read these as there are clear reasons for bombing and for not starting another War.
Jonathan Kay: Imagining an Iranian ICBM | Full Comment | National Post
Jonathan Kay: The case against bombing Iran | Full Comment | National Post
Who Wants to Bomb Iran? | Foreign Policy
Pentagon Officials on Consequences of Bombing Iran « LobeLog.com
Read the links within this link above
Across the Aisle: The PSA Blog » Are We Ready: The Consequences of ‘Bomb Iran’
Across the Aisle: The PSA Blog » Are We Ready: The Consequences of ‘Bomb Iran’
War game shows how attacking Iran could backfire | McClatchy
Iran Attack May Backfire: War Games Show Unintended Consequences
Why bombing Iran would be a disaster | Prospect Magazine
Foundation For Defense of Democracies Washington Forum
