There's a lot to like in the latest economic data, as Poloz considers his next move
Statistics Canada reported March 2 that gross domestic product grew three per cent in 2017, the most since 2011 and double the previous year’s mark.
Canada has been on a hiring binge for more than a year, but employers were reluctant to boost salaries. That’s starting to change. StatCan’s latest GDP figures show companies’ expenditures on what they pay their employees rose 4.9 per cent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, the biggest increase since 2011.
The Bank of Canada prefers its own composite measure of various pay indicators, but as Toronto-Dominion Bank economist Brian DePratto noted, the “wages and salaries” tally from the quarterly GDP report has the biggest influence on the Bank of Canada’s wage indicator. The economy is nearing full employment, if it isn’t there already, and that’s forcing employers to pay more to get the workers they need to keep up with demand.
Another key for Poloz is business investment.
That dial was disconcertingly dead in 2015 and 2016, as the collapse of oil prices prompted companies to bail on plans to develop new bitumen projects. Finally, ultra-low interest rates and stronger global economic growth stirred the animal spirits of Canadian executives last year. Business investment increased 2.3 per cent over the final three months of 2017, the biggest quarterly gain since 2012. Spending on machinery and equipment jumped three per cent, a decent move by historical standards, suggesting that companies are retooling to take advantage of the strongest global economic growth since the initial rebound from the Great Recession.
There’s a lot to like in the latest economic data, as Poloz considers his next move | Financial Post
Statistics Canada reported March 2 that gross domestic product grew three per cent in 2017, the most since 2011 and double the previous year’s mark.
Canada has been on a hiring binge for more than a year, but employers were reluctant to boost salaries. That’s starting to change. StatCan’s latest GDP figures show companies’ expenditures on what they pay their employees rose 4.9 per cent in the fourth quarter from a year earlier, the biggest increase since 2011.
The Bank of Canada prefers its own composite measure of various pay indicators, but as Toronto-Dominion Bank economist Brian DePratto noted, the “wages and salaries” tally from the quarterly GDP report has the biggest influence on the Bank of Canada’s wage indicator. The economy is nearing full employment, if it isn’t there already, and that’s forcing employers to pay more to get the workers they need to keep up with demand.
Another key for Poloz is business investment.
That dial was disconcertingly dead in 2015 and 2016, as the collapse of oil prices prompted companies to bail on plans to develop new bitumen projects. Finally, ultra-low interest rates and stronger global economic growth stirred the animal spirits of Canadian executives last year. Business investment increased 2.3 per cent over the final three months of 2017, the biggest quarterly gain since 2012. Spending on machinery and equipment jumped three per cent, a decent move by historical standards, suggesting that companies are retooling to take advantage of the strongest global economic growth since the initial rebound from the Great Recession.
There’s a lot to like in the latest economic data, as Poloz considers his next move | Financial Post