More nukes: Brexit Britain to reshape its foreign policy

Blackleaf

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Post-Brexit UK to reshape its foreign policy​

BBC News
Tuesday 16th March 2021

HMS Queen Elizabeth


The government is pledging to reshape an "outdated international system" to better protect the UK's interests and values, in a year-long review of post-Brexit foreign and defence policy.

New alliances should be formed as the UK shifts focus towards Indo-Pacific countries such as India, Japan and Australia, it says.

The review also paves the way for an increase in nuclear warheads.

Labour says the strategy will leave the UK "woefully unprepared".

Prime Minister Boris Johnson will later detail the results of the Integrated Review of security, defence, development and foreign policy, which the government says will address "the challenges and opportunities the UK faces in a more competitive world".

They will include a White House-style situation room built in the Cabinet Office as well as a new counter-terrorism operations centre intended to improve the speed of response to terrorist incidents.

Sir Alex Younger, a former head of MI6, told BBC Radio 4's Today programme the gap between western nations and China had closed in important ways during the coronavirus pandemic, and a new approach was now needed.

While he said there was "no sense declaring a new Cold War", Sir Alex admitted both China and the Russian government presented "generational" threats to Britain.

Asked hypothetically whether one solution could be for the UK to finance a real-world version of "Q", the fictional equipment expert in the James Bond film series, Sir Alex agreed, saying Britain can "generate strength by maintaining mastery" of new technologies.

Challenged about the potential increase in the number of nuclear warheads, Foreign Secretary Dominic Raab told BBC Radio Scotland the government wanted to maintain "a minimal credible deterrent against the very worst threats that we face".

Setting out the conclusions of the 100-page document, titled Global Britain in a Competitive Age, the prime minister is expected to say that he is "profoundly optimistic" about the UK's place in the world and its "ability to seize the opportunities ahead".

"The ingenuity of our citizens and the strength of our Union will combine with our international partnerships, modernised Armed Forces and a new green agenda, enabling us to look forward with confidence as we shape the world of the future," he will say.

The government says the Indo-Pacific is "increasingly the geopolitical centre of the world" and the prime minister will visit India at the end of April in his first major international visit since the UK's withdrawal from the European Union.

To underline the policy shift, the HMS Queen Elizabeth aircraft carrier will undertake its first deployment to the Indo-Pacific region.

President Donald Trump in the White House Situation Room
Plans include building a White House-style situation room in the Cabinet Office

While the government says NATO remains the bedrock of defence and security in the Euro-Atlantic, it wants to work alongside allies to "shape a more open international order in which democracies flourish".

It says "new powers are using all the tools at their disposal to redefine the international order and - in some cases - undermine the open and liberal international system that emerged in the wake of the Cold War".

BBC security correspondent Gordon Corera said the aim of the review would be to showcase offensive as well as defensive capabilities, suggesting high-tech investment in fields like artificial intelligence will help modernise the military, maintain Britain's power and bring economic growth at home.

But he said becoming a technology "superpower" and competing with the likes of China was no easy task.

Labour's shadow foreign secretary Lisa Nandy said there was a "yawning chasm" between the government's words and actions and said government policy had "left our defences down in our own backyard".

'Black hole'​

The publication of the review comes months after Boris Johnson announced a £16.5bn increase in defence spending over the next four years.

At the time, he said the funding would allow for investment in an agency dedicated to artificial intelligence and a "space command" capable of launching the UK's first rocket by 2022, as well as a cyber corridor across the north of England which would include headquarters for the new National Cyber Force.

But MPs on the Commons Public Accounts Committee have warned the extra funding could be swallowed up by a "black hole" in department finances, with the Ministry of Defence (MoD) facing a potential £17bn shortfall in its current equipment programme.

The committee said a further £20bn the military wanted to invest has not been included in the budget and the MPs also accused the MoD of making unrealistic claims about future efficiency savings.

Its chair, Meg Hillier, said it was crucial that the extra money for defence was not eaten up by the "constant debilitating" budget overruns that "have been eroding our national defence and security for years".

The MoD said the increased funding would "restore financial sustainability".

Military chiefs have said the investment in new technologies will mean cuts to some "industrial age" capabilities, with the army expected to slash troop numbers as well as reduce its fleet of Challenger 2 tanks.

Tobias Ellwood, Conservative chair of the Defence Committee, said on Monday that the country was about to witness a "shocking reduction" in conventional hard power in favour of "niche capabilities".

He said the UK must adapt to new threats but this "does not mean that the old threats have disappeared", adding that severe cuts to the armed forces would "worry our closest allies and delight our competitors".

 

Blackleaf

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Integrated review: UK to lift cap on nuclear stockpile​

Tuesday 16th March 2021
BBC News

1615914664305.png

The UK is set to reverse plans to reduce its stockpile of nuclear weapons by the middle of the decade, as part of a foreign policy overhaul.

The overall cap on the number of warheads will now increase to 260, having been due to drop to 180 under previous plans from 2010.

The UK will shift focus towards Indo-Pacific countries, described as the world's "growth engine".

And it pledges the UK will do more on the "systemic challenge" of China.

Outlining the strategy to MPs, Boris Johnson said the UK would have to "relearn the art" of competing against countries with "opposing values".

But he added the UK would remain "unswervingly committed" to the Nato defence alliance and preserving peace and security in Europe.

Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer accused the Conservatives of overseeing an "era of retreat," with armed forces cuts "every year for the last decade".

The integrated review of foreign and defence policies, which runs to over 100 pages, has taken over a year and sets out UK priorities until 2030.

The UK nuclear stockpile is estimated to comprise 195 warheads, and had been due to fall to 180 by the mid-2020s under a 2010 defence review.

But the latest assessment says this ambition is "no longer possible" given the "evolving security environment" over the last decade.

It adds that the UK will no longer publish figures on the size of its operational stockpile, to maintain "deliberate ambiguity" for adversaries.

However, it pledges the UK will maintain the "minimum destructive power needed to guarantee that the UK's nuclear deterrent remains credible".

BBC graphic comparing nuclear arsenals worldwide


The review, which identifies Russia as the "most acute threat" to UK security, also says:
  • It is "likely" that a terrorist group will launch a successful chemical, biological or nuclear attack by 2030
  • The UK will set up a new counter-terrorism operations centre to improve the response to terror attacks
  • The government wants the UK to become a "science and tech superpower" by the end of the decade
The review also pledged to reverse cuts on foreign aid, from 0.7% of national income down to 0.5%, when "the fiscal situation allows".

The government has previously faced criticism for the cuts, which it said were necessary in the wake of financial challenges posed by the Covid pandemic.

The review argues the UK should refocus its foreign policy towards countries such as India, Japan and Australia in the "Indo-Pacific" region.

It said the region's shipping lanes were vital to maintain UK trade with Asia, whilst the region is also on the "frontline of new security challenges".

 

Blackleaf

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Oct 9, 2004
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Meet the Dreadnought-class submarines, the largest submarines ever built for the Royal Navy. They will carry nuclear warheads.

HMS Dreadnought, HMS Valiant, HMS Warspite and HMS King George VI...