Iranically Iran, Middle East’s Karen…

Ron in Regina

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Yeah 3 embassies in a row. That's the same as hitting Tehran. Do you want your grandkids to fight Bibi's Israel ending war? 6 months and still can't even beat the equivalent of a 1980s biker gang.
Well, Canada does have those three guys with their combat canoe over there to help police the Houthis…so…???
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The head of Lebanon's armed group Hezbollah said on Friday that Israel's strike on Iran's consulate in Damascus this week marked a "turning point" since Oct. 7, when Palestinian group Hamas launched an attack on Israel that has led to escalating regional tensions.

Until now, Iran has avoided directly entering the fray, while supporting a slew of attacks on Israeli and U.S. targets by its allies across the region in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq.

Diplomats and analysts say Iran's clerical elite does not want an all-out war with Israel or the U.S. that might endanger its grip on power, and would prefer to keep using its proxies to carry out selective tactical attacks on its foes.

Hezbollah, as well as its ally Amal and Palestinian groups based in Lebanon, have been trading fire with Israel across Lebanon's southern border since Oct. 8 because on Oct. 7, when Iranian backed Palestinian group Hamas launched an attack on Israel that has led to escalating regional tensions? Damn Israeli’s & their claim to have a right to exist.
Round & round & round it goes…where it stops…etc…
 

petros

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Well, Canada does have those three guys with their combat canoe over there to help police the Houthis…so…???
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The head of Lebanon's armed group Hezbollah said on Friday that Israel's strike on Iran's consulate in Damascus this week marked a "turning point" since Oct. 7, when Palestinian group Hamas launched an attack on Israel that has led to escalating regional tensions.

Until now, Iran has avoided directly entering the fray, while supporting a slew of attacks on Israeli and U.S. targets by its allies across the region in Lebanon, Syria, Yemen and Iraq.

Diplomats and analysts say Iran's clerical elite does not want an all-out war with Israel or the U.S. that might endanger its grip on power, and would prefer to keep using its proxies to carry out selective tactical attacks on its foes.

Hezbollah, as well as its ally Amal and Palestinian groups based in Lebanon, have been trading fire with Israel across Lebanon's southern border since Oct. 8 because on Oct. 7, when Iranian backed Palestinian group Hamas launched an attack on Israel that has led to escalating regional tensions? Damn Israeli’s & their claim to have a right to exist.
Round & round & round it goes…where it stops…etc…
Nutlessyahud wants to drag us into his fantasies. He can't shoot the rats he has caged in and are being starved. How fuck can they beat Iran without the Samson option?
 

Blackleaf

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Sky News reporting that RAF planes have shot down some Iranian drones.
 

Ron in Regina

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Iran’s closest (& best funded) proxies to Israel would be Hezbollah I guess.
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Now keep in mind that the below is soooo hours ago, but this was the analysis:

“At this point, the two likeliest scenarios appear to be a missile barrage into Israeli territory, either from proxies in Lebanon or from Iran itself, or a swarming drone assault. A more remote possibility is that Iran could direct proxies to deploy militants on the ground from Syria or Lebanon.”

So from the uneducated outside, looking in, that might be what we’re seeing a reaction to??
 

Ron in Regina

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….& the next day after the fizzle.

Iran launched its first full-scale military attack against Israel on Saturday, unleashing a barrage of missiles and drones on dozens of targets across the country. Sirens filled the air well into Sunday morning as Israel’s Iron Dome air defence system picked off the incoming projectiles one by one.

While certainly dramatic, the weekend’s developments shouldn’t come as a surprise to anybody who has been watching the region’s politics closely since the Hamas-led Oct. 7 terror attacks in southern Israel.

The hostilities set off after the attack on southern Israel where Hamas killed 1,200 people over half-a-year ago were all but certain to culminate in a direct Iran-Israel confrontation. After all, the Islamic Republic’s fingerprints were all over the attacks themselves.

Iran’s state media said in a statement on Saturday that the strikes were launched by the air division of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) in retaliation for a deadly airstrike on its embassy in Syria earlier this month.

The (so not proxies, but a nation practicing piracy) IRGC reportedly seized an Israel-affiliated container ship near the Strait of Hormuz earlier in the day.

As Iran-born lawyer and human rights activist Kaveh Shahrooz wrote just days after the attacks, it’s almost inconceivable that Hamas, an entity whose leadership is in regular communication with Iranian officials, would launch such a large-scale operation against Israel without first obtaining Tehran’s sign-off, especially when doing so might have jeopardized the reported US$100 million per year the terror organization gets from its longtime patron.

It’s also no coincidence that the southern Lebanon-based Hezbollah and Yemen’s Houthi movement, both known proxies of Iran, have each inserted themselves into the Israel-Hamas conflict at various points over the past six months.

So it shouldn’t have come as a shock to any informed observer when Iran revealed itself, over the weekend, as the true power behind Hamas’s bluster towards Israel. The irony, of course, is that the spate of woke leftists beating the drum for Palestinian liberation over the past six months have effectively been cheerleading a regime that brutalizes women for wearing headscarves too loosely and was recently named the most dangerous place in the world for gay travellers.

Although, in fairness, a love-in with the Islamic Republic of Iran is pretty on brand for the crowd that gave us such gems as “Queers for Palestine” and “Yemen, Yemen, make us proud! Turn another ship around!”
 
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Ron in Regina

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Iran told the United Nations Security Council on Thursday that Israel (but not Hamas, or Hezbollah, or the Houthi’s, or Iran itself) "must be compelled to stop any further military adventurism against our interests" as the U.N. secretary-general warned that the Middle East was in stranger-danger and those Jews just don’t belong in the neighborhood.

Israel has said it will retaliate against Iran's April 13 missile and drone attack, which Tehran says was carried out in response to a suspected Israeli strike on its embassy compound in Damascus earlier this month.

"In case of any use of force by the Israeli regime and violating our sovereignty, the Islamic Republic of Iran will not hesitate a bit to assert its inherent rights to give a decisive and proper response to it to make the regime regret its actions," said Iran's Foreign Minister Hossein Amirabdollahian Nahasapeemapetilon Supercalifragilisticexpialidocious.

His remarks came after an Iranian Revolutionary Guards commander said earlier on Thursday that Iran could review its "nuclear doctrine" following Israeli threats.

And there’s the nuclear threat like Putin in Russia. Go figure.
At a U.N. Security Council meeting on the Middle East, Secretary-General Antonio Guterres urged maximum restraint…now, but not on April 12th…or Oct 6th?

"It is high time to end the bloody cycle of retaliation. It is high time to stop," Guterres said. "The international community must work together to prevent any actions that could push the entire Middle East over the edge, with a devastating impact on civilians” like….like what happened April 13th there Skippy? Like what happened October 7th? Things like that?

Speaking earlier on Thursday in the Security Council, Israel's U.N. Ambassador Gilad Erdan criticized Amirabdollahian's presence at the world body.

"He is here to make a mockery of you. He is here to show you all – in your suits and with your diplomatic niceties – that his country can launch an attack on another member state on Saturday, and then he can come here on Thursday to lecture you all on human rights and international law," Erdan said.
 
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Ron in Regina

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Contrary to what many experts claim, Israel’s muted strike on Thursday in retaliation for the Islamic Republic of Iran’s unprecedented drone and missile attack last weekend actually makes all-out war between the two countries much less likely. This should suit the Islamic Republic’s interests, as it is facing an existential crisis brought on by decades of repressing its own people. Proxy wars — through Hamas, Hezbollah and the Houthis — allow the regime to project a veneer of strength without risking a crisis at home.

But a crisis has been long brewing. The government and people of Iran can no longer tolerate each other. The symbol of a young Iranian girl, Mahsa Amini, murdered by the “morality police” in 2022 reignited the revolutionary attitudes of many Iranians who no longer wish to live under a totalitarian theocracy. A few years before, in November 2019, the regime suppressed another country-wide uprising by killing thousands of civilians. And two years before that, a government crackdown on protesters killed hundreds more.

There is a basic rule that any dictatorship follows: do not arm the people you are oppressing. In recent years, with those regular mass uprisings, the regime may have realized that its biggest enemies are the Iranian youth, who, thanks to internet and satellite TV, along with years of witnessing corruption, incompetence and economic decline, do not buy the government’s narrative anymore.

The regime’s existential problem is that the biggest demographic of these anti-regime protesters, young men under 25, is the same group that is conscripted in the armed forces and the police. So the question becomes: in a direct war, would it make sense for the regime to put guns in their hands, knowing that many of those guns might be turned against the regime itself?
The April 13 attack on Israel from inside Iran was an act of terror from those in a state of fear themselves. The regime knows that its supporters around the world consider it the godfather of the Oct. 7 massacre in southern Israel and the new intefadeh, so it felt the need to save face and show strength. Not only did it fire a significant number of missiles and drones at Israel, dealing minimal damage, but it lost its number 1 propaganda lie: “Iran has never attacked another country in 200 years.”

Despite 99 per cent of the missiles and drones having failed or been intercepted, the regime’s media in Iran is currently claiming that all the intended targets in Israel have been hit. The real target of this attack, besides the government’s dwindling base of paid propagandists around the world, are the western countries, so they would start making more concessions to the regime for fear of a third world war.

The truth is, Israel has been at war with the Islamic Republic of Iran since its inception, and the two have been exchanging missile fire through Hezbollah and Hamas virtually every day since Oct. 7. Hezbollah’s leader, Hassan Nasrallah, proudly calls himself a loyal follower of Ali Khamenei and has publicly said: “Everything Hezbollah has, budget, food, clothes, weapons and missiles, all come from Iran. As long as Iran has money, we have money.”

Israel understands this perfectly. Israel knows that it is already waging a war with the Islamic Republic of Iran and its military forces in the form of Hamas and Hezbollah. Israel also knows the depth of the Iranian people’s hatred toward the regime and the regime’s inability to engage in a direct war. So the Israel Defence Force feels comfortable taking out IRGC forces, bases and even groups of generals in Iraq and Syria.

Israel knows that the Iranian people want the regime gone, and the regime sees a direct, all-out war as the final nail in its coffin. The Islamic Republic of Iran also knows that Israel knows these facts, and that is why it will always back down and capitulate and play the victim when Israel hits back.
 

Ron in Regina

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After bombing 3 Iranian generals on Iranian soil Iran It's a wonder why this is escalating.

Just wait until Hezbollah starts launching 500 rockets a day. Whose fault will that be?
An embassy is the "soil of a nation".
Ah yes, and Iran’s outrage:
Sorry, I meant…and Iran’s outrage:
And thus Iran’s response/retaliation:
…& Thus Biden’s “Take the Win Netty”:
Sorry, I meant Biden’s “Take the Win”:
But don’t escalate the situation Israel. Don’t do it. Don’t….don’t do it, I mean it. Don’t make Iran who’s funding Hezbollah & Hamas who are directly attacking you upset.
 
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petros

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Ah yes, and Iran’s outrage:
Sorry, I meant…and Iran’s outrage:
And thus Iran’s response/retaliation:
…& Thus Biden’s “Take the Win Netty”:
Sorry, I meant Biden’s “Take the Win”:
But don’t escalate the situation Israel. Don’t do it. Don’t….don’t do it, I mean it. Don’t make Iran who’s funding Hezbollah & Hamas who are directly attacking you upset.
Iran is probably under the Russian nuclear umbrella. "Take the win" was a dire warning.

Had US UK France Saudis and Jordan stood down, Iran would have levelled Israel.
 

Ron in Regina

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Iran is probably under the Russian nuclear umbrella. "Take the win" was a dire warning.

Had US UK France Saudis and Jordan stood down, Iran would have levelled Israel.
Whole neighbourhood is a cesspool. Maybe Iran has nukes already, but there’s no maybe about Israel having them.

Putin threatened with nukes. Iran vaguely threatened with nukes. Israel didn’t threaten with nukes, & it took hours for the combined drones and missiles and what have you to get close to Israel from Iran & its other various launch points.

If Israel really was going to be levelled, Iran would have also been levelled and glowing.
 
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petros

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Whole neighbourhood is a cesspool. Maybe Iran has nukes already, but there’s no maybe about Israel having them.

Putin threatened with nukes. Iran vaguely threatened with nukes. Israel didn’t threaten with nukes, & it took hours for the combined drones and missiles and what have you to get close to Israel from Iran & its other various launch points.

If Israel really was going to be levelled, Iran would have also been levelled and glowing.
I heard rumour Israel was going to use an EMP nuke but it turned out to be a US launched "secret weapon".

Meet the CHAMP...


It explains why the whole defense/counter attack cost the US $1B.
 

Ron in Regina

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Oct 7th invasion into Israel by Iranian supported Hamas is a thing that happened.

Israel took out two Iranian masterminds behind the October 7 goat rodeo, at their clubhouse in Damascus.

Iran launched a barrage of missiles and drones at Israel on April 13 in what it said was retaliation for Israel's suspected deadly strike on its embassy compound in Damascus on April 1, but almost all were shot down.

On Friday, explosions were heard over the Iranian city of Isfahan in what sources said was an Israeli attack but Tehran played down the incident and said it had no plans for retaliation. An Israeli attack on Iranian territory could radically change dynamics and result in there being nothing left of the "Zionist regime", Iran's President Ebrahim Raisi was quoted as saying on Tuesday by the official IRNA news agency, etc…
 

Ron in Regina

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Details of the recent limited Israeli retaliatory strike against Iranian anti-aircraft missile batteries at Isfahan are still sketchy. But nonetheless, we can draw some conclusions.

Israel’s small volley of missiles hit their intended targets, to the point of zeroing in on the very launchers designed to stop such incoming ordnance.

The target was near the Natanz enrichment facility. That proximity was by design. Israel showed Iran it could take out the very anti-missile battery designed to thwart an attack on its nearby nuclear facility.

The larger message sent to the world was that Israel could send a retaliatory barrage at Iranian nuclear sites with reasonable assurances that the incoming attacks could not be stopped. By comparison, Iran’s earlier attack on Israel was much greater and more indiscriminate. It was also a huge flop, with an estimated 99 percent of the more than 320 drones, cruise missiles, and ballistic missiles failing to hit their planned targets.

Moreover, it was reported that more than 50% of Iran’s roughly 115-120 ballistic missiles failed at launch or malfunctioned in flight.

Collate these facts, and it presents a disturbing corrective to Iran’s non-stop boasts of soon possessing a nuclear arsenal that will obliterate the Jewish state.
(Consider further the following nightmarish scenarios: Were Iranian nuclear-tipped missiles ever launched at Israel, they could pass over, in addition to Syria and Iraq, either Saudi Arabia, Jordan, the West Bank, Gaza, or all four. In the cases of Jordan and Saudi Arabia, such trajectories would constitute an act of war, especially considering that some of Iran’s recent aerial barrages were intercepted and destroyed over Arab territory well before they reached Israel….but shhhh….)

Iran’s strike prompted Arab nations, the U.S., the U.K., and France to work in concert to destroy almost all of Iran’s drones. For Iran, that is a premonition of the sort of sophisticated aerial opposition it might face if it ever decided to stage a nuclear version.

Even if half of Iran’s ballistic missiles did launch successfully, only a handful apparently neared their intended targets — in sharp contrast to Israel’s successful attack on Iranian missile batteries. Is it thus conceivable that any Iranian-nuclear-tipped missile launched toward Israel might pose as great a threat to Iran itself or its neighbours as to Israel?