Have You Been Polled?
- Thread starter petros
- Start date
Not at the house yet. But we are rural, and it is a big riding, so I expect wannabe politicians to hit the high volume areas first.
I have a Conservative membership, so I do get the in-house polls. Always wondered about the usefulness of in house polls. I just don't see party members voting for someone else.
I have a Conservative membership, so I do get the in-house polls. Always wondered about the usefulness of in house polls. I just don't see party members voting for someone else.
It's Saturday, I wouldn't be shocked if they came by today.
I've had zero phone calls or emails from the like of Axios, legere or Ekos or Ipso or Nano Nanos.
I was signed up years ago to answer surveys & polls & at that point it happened often, but when I bowed out of that (I ended up working out of town for several years & having constant phone calls while trying to operate a payloader in a gravel pit was an inconvenience), I haven’t had one since.
…& eventually it’ll be Saturday night (the Netflix and chill evening hopefully), so for those that misunderstand the title to this thread…the odds are good!
I plan on doing the polling though.
Do you believe election polls or crowds seen on campaign trail?
There's a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events
Author of the article:Joe Warmington
Published Mar 28, 2025 • Last updated 17 hours ago • 4 minute read
Do you believe your eyes? Or do you believe the polls?
Many polls are online surveys from companies that have as few as 200 unnamed participants and up to 2,400. So, it’s just a few deciding for the many how an election campaign is going.
As for what your eyes see?
In many cases this week they saw thousands packing rooms across the country – with people waiting in the cold and even being turned away because of a lack of space.
Another indicator to look out for are the candidates’ election signs. Sometimes there are more representing one party than another, which can also be deceiving as Tristan Anderson showed with signs for Liberal Ya’ara Saks in York Centre, blocking out Conservative Roman Baber’s signs at Keele St. and Wilson Ave.
Neither party commented and we are told there is nothing legally wrong with this. But how does one really know who’s winning during a campaign?
Not even a week in, surveys presented as polls not only show Liberal Leader Mark Carney leading but running away with it.
So how do people square that circle? Are these polls reporting trends or shaping them?
For example, live events offer a different perspective where Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s appearances are like rock concerts – three times the size of his opponent’s rallies combined.
In the air, Carney is surging. On the ground, Poilievre is creating excitement.
Which do you believe?
While Kory Teneycke, Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s campaign manager for three majority governments, said Poilievre is falling behind because of being too “Trumpy.”
And while Carney has had high-profile photo-ops with Blue Rodeo, Mike Myers and the Edmonton Oilers, he has also had blunders such as admitting he did in fact know about his company Brookfield Assets moving to New York, or not knowing the name of the college where 14 women were murdered in Montreal, skipping a French language debate, having testy exchanges with female reporters and even being questioned about alleged plagiarism on his university thesis.
Yet, somehow, Carney’s campaign is rocketing while Poilievre’s is in flames? Seems off.
Yet, most of the media attention was on what Poilievre wasn’t doing, with advice coming in from people trying to make him lose on how to not lose. Some are suggesting it’s already over when this campaign still has 31 days remaining and is actually just getting started.
For the most part, it’s polling company data media use to keep score. Media cover polls as if what they say is verifiable while often not reporting who paid for the poll, what questions were asked, who the people are who participated, their age or demographic.
They get reported as fact and receive little scrutiny. But how does anybody really know if these online polls are accurate or even answered by eligible Canadian voters?
Not suggesting anything untoward with this, but here’s an example of what a poll press release looks like.
Angus Reid’s latest offering starts off with a headline, “What’s with the Liberal surge? Recent Grit switchers say it’s driven by Carney, Trump’s threats and the ABC factor.”
The suggestion is the Liberals are back from the dead with Leader Mark Carney. A narrative is set. And what is the “ABC factor?”
Angus Reid explains while “the Trump factor – and his punishing tariffs and threats of annexation – is also cited by most switchers (51%)” the “Anyone But Conservative” (ABC) factor also looms large. Three-in-ten (30%) say they are now supporting the Liberals because the party represents the best chance of stopping the Conservatives from winning the election.”
With President Donald J. Trump indicating he prefers Carney or Poilievre, and after their phone call Friday he even referred to him as “Mark” instead of “governor,” there has been no coverage noticeable on the ABC marketing line like you might notice if Poilievre is close on April 28.
Angus Reid did not comment but they have previously said an earlier poll found “the Liberals’ turnaround continues to climb in elevation, boosting the party to an eight-point lead (46% to 38%) over the Conservatives.”
Research Director Dave Korzinski sent an email complaining “you’re criticizing our work on social media because you’re not happy with the data, I guess. I don’t recall criticism from Sept. 22 until Feb. 25 while we had the CPC comfortably ahead, unless I missed an email or two.”
He also added: “We’re always working to improve our sampling and ensure the quality of our work, but your dismissal here is unjustified.”
Of course, the most important poll is election day. But for now, there’s a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events.
jwarmington@postmedia.com
torontosun.com
There's a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events
Author of the article:Joe Warmington
Published Mar 28, 2025 • Last updated 17 hours ago • 4 minute read
Do you believe your eyes? Or do you believe the polls?
Many polls are online surveys from companies that have as few as 200 unnamed participants and up to 2,400. So, it’s just a few deciding for the many how an election campaign is going.
As for what your eyes see?
In many cases this week they saw thousands packing rooms across the country – with people waiting in the cold and even being turned away because of a lack of space.
Another indicator to look out for are the candidates’ election signs. Sometimes there are more representing one party than another, which can also be deceiving as Tristan Anderson showed with signs for Liberal Ya’ara Saks in York Centre, blocking out Conservative Roman Baber’s signs at Keele St. and Wilson Ave.
Neither party commented and we are told there is nothing legally wrong with this. But how does one really know who’s winning during a campaign?
Not even a week in, surveys presented as polls not only show Liberal Leader Mark Carney leading but running away with it.
So how do people square that circle? Are these polls reporting trends or shaping them?
For example, live events offer a different perspective where Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s appearances are like rock concerts – three times the size of his opponent’s rallies combined.
In the air, Carney is surging. On the ground, Poilievre is creating excitement.
Which do you believe?
While Kory Teneycke, Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s campaign manager for three majority governments, said Poilievre is falling behind because of being too “Trumpy.”
And while Carney has had high-profile photo-ops with Blue Rodeo, Mike Myers and the Edmonton Oilers, he has also had blunders such as admitting he did in fact know about his company Brookfield Assets moving to New York, or not knowing the name of the college where 14 women were murdered in Montreal, skipping a French language debate, having testy exchanges with female reporters and even being questioned about alleged plagiarism on his university thesis.
Yet, somehow, Carney’s campaign is rocketing while Poilievre’s is in flames? Seems off.
Yet, most of the media attention was on what Poilievre wasn’t doing, with advice coming in from people trying to make him lose on how to not lose. Some are suggesting it’s already over when this campaign still has 31 days remaining and is actually just getting started.
For the most part, it’s polling company data media use to keep score. Media cover polls as if what they say is verifiable while often not reporting who paid for the poll, what questions were asked, who the people are who participated, their age or demographic.
They get reported as fact and receive little scrutiny. But how does anybody really know if these online polls are accurate or even answered by eligible Canadian voters?
Not suggesting anything untoward with this, but here’s an example of what a poll press release looks like.
Angus Reid’s latest offering starts off with a headline, “What’s with the Liberal surge? Recent Grit switchers say it’s driven by Carney, Trump’s threats and the ABC factor.”
The suggestion is the Liberals are back from the dead with Leader Mark Carney. A narrative is set. And what is the “ABC factor?”
Angus Reid explains while “the Trump factor – and his punishing tariffs and threats of annexation – is also cited by most switchers (51%)” the “Anyone But Conservative” (ABC) factor also looms large. Three-in-ten (30%) say they are now supporting the Liberals because the party represents the best chance of stopping the Conservatives from winning the election.”
With President Donald J. Trump indicating he prefers Carney or Poilievre, and after their phone call Friday he even referred to him as “Mark” instead of “governor,” there has been no coverage noticeable on the ABC marketing line like you might notice if Poilievre is close on April 28.
Angus Reid did not comment but they have previously said an earlier poll found “the Liberals’ turnaround continues to climb in elevation, boosting the party to an eight-point lead (46% to 38%) over the Conservatives.”
Research Director Dave Korzinski sent an email complaining “you’re criticizing our work on social media because you’re not happy with the data, I guess. I don’t recall criticism from Sept. 22 until Feb. 25 while we had the CPC comfortably ahead, unless I missed an email or two.”
He also added: “We’re always working to improve our sampling and ensure the quality of our work, but your dismissal here is unjustified.”
Of course, the most important poll is election day. But for now, there’s a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events.
jwarmington@postmedia.com
WARMINGTON: Do you believe election polls or crowds seen on campaign trail?
Do you believe your eyes? Or do you believe the polls?
Atoadaso.Do you believe election polls or crowds seen on campaign trail?
There's a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events
Author of the article:Joe Warmington
Published Mar 28, 2025 • Last updated 17 hours ago • 4 minute read
Do you believe your eyes? Or do you believe the polls?
Many polls are online surveys from companies that have as few as 200 unnamed participants and up to 2,400. So, it’s just a few deciding for the many how an election campaign is going.
As for what your eyes see?
In many cases this week they saw thousands packing rooms across the country – with people waiting in the cold and even being turned away because of a lack of space.
Another indicator to look out for are the candidates’ election signs. Sometimes there are more representing one party than another, which can also be deceiving as Tristan Anderson showed with signs for Liberal Ya’ara Saks in York Centre, blocking out Conservative Roman Baber’s signs at Keele St. and Wilson Ave.
Neither party commented and we are told there is nothing legally wrong with this. But how does one really know who’s winning during a campaign?
Not even a week in, surveys presented as polls not only show Liberal Leader Mark Carney leading but running away with it.
So how do people square that circle? Are these polls reporting trends or shaping them?
For example, live events offer a different perspective where Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre’s appearances are like rock concerts – three times the size of his opponent’s rallies combined.
In the air, Carney is surging. On the ground, Poilievre is creating excitement.
Which do you believe?
While Kory Teneycke, Ontario Premier Doug Ford’s campaign manager for three majority governments, said Poilievre is falling behind because of being too “Trumpy.”
And while Carney has had high-profile photo-ops with Blue Rodeo, Mike Myers and the Edmonton Oilers, he has also had blunders such as admitting he did in fact know about his company Brookfield Assets moving to New York, or not knowing the name of the college where 14 women were murdered in Montreal, skipping a French language debate, having testy exchanges with female reporters and even being questioned about alleged plagiarism on his university thesis.
Yet, somehow, Carney’s campaign is rocketing while Poilievre’s is in flames? Seems off.
Yet, most of the media attention was on what Poilievre wasn’t doing, with advice coming in from people trying to make him lose on how to not lose. Some are suggesting it’s already over when this campaign still has 31 days remaining and is actually just getting started.
For the most part, it’s polling company data media use to keep score. Media cover polls as if what they say is verifiable while often not reporting who paid for the poll, what questions were asked, who the people are who participated, their age or demographic.
They get reported as fact and receive little scrutiny. But how does anybody really know if these online polls are accurate or even answered by eligible Canadian voters?
Not suggesting anything untoward with this, but here’s an example of what a poll press release looks like.
Angus Reid’s latest offering starts off with a headline, “What’s with the Liberal surge? Recent Grit switchers say it’s driven by Carney, Trump’s threats and the ABC factor.”
The suggestion is the Liberals are back from the dead with Leader Mark Carney. A narrative is set. And what is the “ABC factor?”
Angus Reid explains while “the Trump factor – and his punishing tariffs and threats of annexation – is also cited by most switchers (51%)” the “Anyone But Conservative” (ABC) factor also looms large. Three-in-ten (30%) say they are now supporting the Liberals because the party represents the best chance of stopping the Conservatives from winning the election.”
With President Donald J. Trump indicating he prefers Carney or Poilievre, and after their phone call Friday he even referred to him as “Mark” instead of “governor,” there has been no coverage noticeable on the ABC marketing line like you might notice if Poilievre is close on April 28.
Angus Reid did not comment but they have previously said an earlier poll found “the Liberals’ turnaround continues to climb in elevation, boosting the party to an eight-point lead (46% to 38%) over the Conservatives.”
Research Director Dave Korzinski sent an email complaining “you’re criticizing our work on social media because you’re not happy with the data, I guess. I don’t recall criticism from Sept. 22 until Feb. 25 while we had the CPC comfortably ahead, unless I missed an email or two.”
He also added: “We’re always working to improve our sampling and ensure the quality of our work, but your dismissal here is unjustified.”
Of course, the most important poll is election day. But for now, there’s a disconnect between what a small number of people polled say and what thousands of voters see at campaign events.
jwarmington@postmedia.com
WARMINGTON: Do you believe election polls or crowds seen on campaign trail?
Do you believe your eyes? Or do you believe the polls?
Toronto among most foul-mouthed cities in Canada
Author of the article
enette Wilford
Published Apr 02, 2025 • Last updated 14 hours ago • 1 minute read
Toronto has made another Top 10 list — this time for being one of the more notable cities in Canada where people love to curse.
Casino Days analyzed comments and posts from Reddit across Canadian cities and provinces to reveal where residents used the most salty language. Toronto ranked fourth
Residents of Saskatoon topped the list, scoring a 7.97 out of 10 on the “rudeness” index.
The people of Edmonton came in second with a score of 7.59, averaging 2.41 cuss words each post.
The Prairies continued to reign supreme as Red Deer, Alta., took the third spot, scoring 7.10.
Fourth-place Toronto scored of 6.94, just edging out those in Prince Albert, Sask., and Truro, N.S., with each of those profanity-packed cities earning a 6.92 tally.
Fredericton, Calgary, Winnipeg and Montreal rounded out the Top 10 of curse-loving cities.
As for the least potty-mouthed places, two cities in Quebec — Quebec City and Laval — tied for that honour, followed by Stratford, Ont., and Mississauga.
torontosun.com
Author of the article
enette WilfordPublished Apr 02, 2025 • Last updated 14 hours ago • 1 minute read
Toronto has made another Top 10 list — this time for being one of the more notable cities in Canada where people love to curse.
Casino Days analyzed comments and posts from Reddit across Canadian cities and provinces to reveal where residents used the most salty language. Toronto ranked fourth
Residents of Saskatoon topped the list, scoring a 7.97 out of 10 on the “rudeness” index.
The people of Edmonton came in second with a score of 7.59, averaging 2.41 cuss words each post.
The Prairies continued to reign supreme as Red Deer, Alta., took the third spot, scoring 7.10.
Fourth-place Toronto scored of 6.94, just edging out those in Prince Albert, Sask., and Truro, N.S., with each of those profanity-packed cities earning a 6.92 tally.
Fredericton, Calgary, Winnipeg and Montreal rounded out the Top 10 of curse-loving cities.
As for the least potty-mouthed places, two cities in Quebec — Quebec City and Laval — tied for that honour, followed by Stratford, Ont., and Mississauga.
'F****** RIGHT, EH:' Toronto among most foul-mouthed cities in Canada
Toronto has ranked in another Top 10 — this time for being one of the more notable cities in Canada that love to curse.
im surprised that mississauga was on the lower end of the poll. that hasnt been my experience.Toronto among most foul-mouthed cities in Canada
Author of the article
Published Apr 02, 2025 • Last updated 14 hours ago • 1 minute read
Toronto has made another Top 10 list — this time for being one of the more notable cities in Canada where people love to curse.
Casino Days analyzed comments and posts from Reddit across Canadian cities and provinces to reveal where residents used the most salty language. Toronto ranked fourth
Residents of Saskatoon topped the list, scoring a 7.97 out of 10 on the “rudeness” index.
The people of Edmonton came in second with a score of 7.59, averaging 2.41 cuss words each post.
The Prairies continued to reign supreme as Red Deer, Alta., took the third spot, scoring 7.10.
Fourth-place Toronto scored of 6.94, just edging out those in Prince Albert, Sask., and Truro, N.S., with each of those profanity-packed cities earning a 6.92 tally.
Fredericton, Calgary, Winnipeg and Montreal rounded out the Top 10 of curse-loving cities.
As for the least potty-mouthed places, two cities in Quebec — Quebec City and Laval — tied for that honour, followed by Stratford, Ont., and Mississauga.
'F****** RIGHT, EH:' Toronto among most foul-mouthed cities in Canada
Toronto has ranked in another Top 10 — this time for being one of the more notable cities in Canada that love to curse.
It looks like one of the big areas of disagreement among some polls is what non-voters in 2021 are going to do.
In our latest survey, among those who say they didn't vote in 2021, the vote intention is:
CPC 40%
LPC 31%
NDP 13%
Among those non-voters who now say they are certain to vote it is:
CPC 46%
LPC 34%
NDP 11%
9:51 AM · Apr 2, 2025
·
124.2K
Views
Conservatives in the lead for first time in federal campaign, new poll shows
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