RE: Harper woos Quebec an
I think that this election will end one of two ways: Conservative majority or minority.
The Liberals are in free-fall right now: They are the party of corruption, scandal and Canadian interference in provincial matters. For Albertans and British Columbians, that's pretty much toxic and the few Liberals that are elected in the west will likely shrink.
The NDP, having shown that all they are and ever have been is the extreme left wing of the Liberal Party(Often described as the members of the Liberal Party that don't bathe enough to go to the champagne socialist get-togethers), will get to pay the price for Layton's choice to prop up Martin. I figure that the NDP will be lucky to hit over 5 seats in this election, owing to their tacit approval of the corruption of the Martin/Cretin regime. I suspect that you'll see the first few Green party candidates elected, mainly in British Columbia, as a result.
The Bloc has a much harder problem to grapple with, in that they'll walk away from the election with pretty much the same results, making it hard for them not to call for another referendum in Quebec. The second to last thing they want is a referendum: There are two possible outcomes to that, the first is that they lose, which is only a disaster for them in proportion to how much they lose it by: If they lose it by anything more than 10%, it'll be the last time they'll ever be allowed to play that card. The other option, winning it, is the very last thing that the BQ/PQ wants. The BQ/PQ aren't stupid, there is no way that Quebec can survive culturally or economically without the billions of direct and indirect aid that the rest of the confederation pumps into them every year. What's worse, the wording of the question for negotiation on "soveriegnty association" will need to be made as a point blank "In or out?" question, as Meech and Charlottetown gave Quebec the answer on what the other nine provinces think on the idea: No then, no now and no forever.
