Anyone Care to Make an Election prediction?

Belinda Ryan

New Member
Nov 28, 2005
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I predict , and I hope I am not wrong.. that the liberals will get in again.. possibly another minority government.. but that this stupid Christmas fiasco will have bee a complete waste of taxpayers money... Such a shame.. and I cannot vote for the party that caused it.. the Conservatives. they should be ashamed!
 

I think not

Hall of Fame Member
Apr 12, 2005
10,506
33
48
The Evil Empire
The Liberals have 133 seats, followed by the Conservatives with 98, the Bloc Québécois with 53 and the NDP with 18. There are four seats held by Independents and two are vacant.

How can seats be vacant?
 

I think not

Hall of Fame Member
Apr 12, 2005
10,506
33
48
The Evil Empire
"With a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20, the poll puts the Liberals and Conservatives at a virtual dead heat. "

8O

I thought the Libs were ahead?
 

Said1

Hubba Hubba
Apr 18, 2005
5,338
70
48
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Das Kapital
I think not said:
"With a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20, the poll puts the Liberals and Conservatives at a virtual dead heat. "

8O

I thought the Libs were ahead?

35% isn't a huge lead, with an error margine reducing their lead, sounds about right with whats been reported as of late.
 

I think not

Hall of Fame Member
Apr 12, 2005
10,506
33
48
The Evil Empire
Said1 said:
I think not said:
"With a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20, the poll puts the Liberals and Conservatives at a virtual dead heat. "

8O

I thought the Libs were ahead?

35% isn't a huge lead, with an error margine reducing their lead, sounds about right with whats been reported as of late.

Woohoo, I'm stocking up on popcorn and planting myself in front of CSPAN :lol:
 

Said1

Hubba Hubba
Apr 18, 2005
5,338
70
48
52
Das Kapital
I think not said:
Said1 said:
I think not said:
"With a margin of error of plus or minus 2.5 per cent, 19 times out of 20, the poll puts the Liberals and Conservatives at a virtual dead heat. "

8O

I thought the Libs were ahead?

35% isn't a huge lead, with an error margine reducing their lead, sounds about right with whats been reported as of late.

Woohoo, I'm stocking up on popcorn and planting myself in front of CSPAN :lol:

Just another roadside attraction, really. Don't forget the tooth picks though - I'd go with plastic, probably don't snap as easily!
 

Jay

Executive Branch Member
Jan 7, 2005
8,366
3
38
I wouldn't get too excited about any polls till after New Years. (After eveyone sobers up)
 

Reverend Blair

Council Member
Apr 3, 2004
1,238
1
38
Winnipeg
RE: Anyone Care to Make a

I'll wait to see more polls before I decide if there's a rogue poll in there, but when a right-leaning polling company releases a poll favouring a party that they always show higher than anybody else and the government is about fall, I tend not to give that particular poll much creedence.
 

no1important

Time Out
Jan 9, 2003
4,125
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Vancouver
members.shaw.ca
RE: Anyone Care to Make a

Pollara polls tend to buck the norm of what other polls show. I never take their numbers seriousley. I can see previous polls from Politics Canada or Nodice and see the trend and other than pollara the Libs seem to be up 9-10 points.

But the next few weeks should be interesting and I am interested if Libs do go up as they seem to during a campaign.

btw- I signed up to do some door knocking for Nancy Clegg the NDP candidate. I have my old lawn signs and will be putting them up in a matter of minutes. But It will be a battle between her and Liberal candidate Sukh Dhalliwal as Gurment is finished. Nancy finished 3rd but only by a few hundred, as all 3 were bouncing around from 1st to 3rd throughout last election night.
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
482
0
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Edmonton
RE: Anyone Care to Make a

New prediction.
I predict i will freeze my ass and either a) slip on the ice or b) burn my toungue drinking a cup of Tim Horton's coffee while waiting to line up to vote. I will curse the goverment with a raise fist. Some senior will cut me off in the line up. There will be some hillbilly Albertan in line spouting off politics out of his ass based on no facts other than what he read in The Sun. I will roll my eyes and wish he would just shut the hell up as we shuffel forward in line.

Finally i will get to the voting station, and some old lady with bifocals will take her sweet time trying to locate my last name, after having to repeat it three times to her. Even though I will have brought my government issued photo id, i will stand there in alarm as i realize that they don't actually ask you to present it.

So disgruntled with this whole process, i will take my #2 pencil and head towards the flimsy excuse for confidential voting (ie/the lameass cardboard divider). I will sit there for a moment and debate for 5 minutes at the very last second who i really want to vote for.

I will than proceed to vote. I will go home knowing i did my duty. Than sit there and watch while the polls close in Ontario and the election is over and my vote was a waste of time anyways. I will flip channels between CBC and CTV. For a bit of fun..i will play the Canadian TV drinking game.

For every time Craig Olliver goes off on some tangent, 1 drink.

Every time Mike Duffy whips out his blackburry to impress everyone with who he knows, 2 drinks.

Every time Keith Boag looks stunned after Peter Newman goes off on a tangent question...1 drink.

Every time Rex Murphy pauses dramatically while thinking he made the the most original point ever...2 drinks.

The election votes will tumble in. The world willkeep on spinning. And everyone will wonder why all that money was spent on electing the status quo.

Thats my election prediciton.