Lehman Brothers crash sparks fears of world slump

B00Mer

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Lehman Brothers crash sparks fears of world slump

http://www.theaustralian.news.com.au/story/0,25197,24353043-20142,00.html

THE risk of a worldwide recession deepened yesterday after the financial crisis toppled giant US investment bank Lehman Brothers and threatened the survival of the world's biggest insurance company, AIG.

On one of the most tumultuous days ever seen on Wall Street, which also involved a $US50 billion ($61 billion) takeover to save Merrill Lynch from likely collapse, the Reserve Bank pumped an emergency $1.3 billion into the local banking system to support liquidity.
Wayne Swan moved to calm the markets last night, saying Australian banks did not share the problems of those in the US.

"The Government and the regulators are closely monitoring events in the United States," the Treasurer said. "It remains the case that Australia's banks are well-capitalised and well-regulated, and do not have the same problems as the US faces."

But his comments, the Reserve Bank's cash injection and the $US70 billion emergency fund created by 10 of the world's biggest banks to boost market liquidity failed to calm fears about the state of the global financial system after Lehman's bankruptcy, the biggest in corporate history.

The S&P/ASX200 index slumped 1.7 per cent to close at 4817.7 points as shares in the major banks were punished.

European markets were driven more than 3 per cent lower last night as investors took their first opportunity to react to the shake-out in the US banking sector, and trading in futures markets was pointing to a bloodbath on Wall Street when trading resumed last night.

Those fears initially appeared realised, with the Dow Jones industrials crashing 300.11 points, or 2.63 per cent, in early trading.

The prospect of global recession prompted a fall in short-term market interest rates worldwide, with financial markets expecting the central banks in Britain, Europe and the US to cut official rates.

In Australia, financial markets now consider another 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut next month a certainty, reducing the official rate to 6.75 per cent.
Markets are tipping five rate cuts, which would lower the official rate to 5.75 per cent, over the next 12 months.

The failure of Lehman - whose $US639 billion in assets and $US613 billion in debt make it about five times bigger than Westpac - and the sale of Merrill Lynch to the Bank of America mean just two of the top five Wall Street investment firms have survived the credit crisis that started with the collapse of the US sub-prime mortgage market 13 months ago.

Lehman filed for bankruptcy in the early hours of Monday morning in New York after last-ditch efforts to organise a sale collapsed when the US Federal Reserve refused to provide financial guarantees to cover losses.

A few hours earlier, Merrill Lynch, with assets of $US1.6trillion, was sold on the orders of the US Federal Reserve to the Bank of America. Central bankers expected it to go bankrupt within the week if it was not taken over.

The crisis has spread to the world's biggest insurance company, the American International Group, which was yesterday seeking an emergency $US40 billion loan from the US Federal Reserve.

The New York Times quoted company officials as saying AIG, with assets of $US1 trillion, was unlikely to survive more than 72hours if it lost its credit rating.

"The whole thing is a nightmare," ANZ international economist Amy Auster said yesterday. "This is the worst of the worst, and the only thing you can say is we are in a systemic crisis."

She said the biggest risk was that financial institutions would be forced into a vicious downward spiral as their efforts to offload assets at fire-sale prices forced even greater problems in their balance sheets.

The 158-year-old Lehman is a major financier of commercial property in the US, where prices that are already weak will be sent tumbling by foreclosures.

Worldwide bank losses and writedowns from the global credit crunch total $US620 billion, more than half from US institutions.

OECD deputy director of financial markets Adrian Blundell-Wignall said the world economy was threatened by the erosion of bank capital.

For years, money had been too freely available, leading financial institutions to take excessive risks with too little capital. "Now you have to pay the ferryman," Mr Blundell-Wignall said. "Now we're finding that a good part of this risk-taking starts to default and there is not enough capital."

Lehman and AIG have operations in Australia. Lehman employs about 130 people, although the company's subsidiaries were not included in the bankruptcy petition filed last night.
Lehman bought the Grange Securities business that sold exposure to the sub-prime mortgage market to a string of local councils.

AIG is a substantial insurer in Australia, with about 500 employees and offices in Melbourne, Sydney and Brisbane.

The Lehman bankruptcy spilled over onto Canada's financial sector, with Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce (TSX: CM.TO) revealing it has about $25 million worth of exposure to the insolvent Wall Street brokerage.

The $25-million value is considered mark-to-market, which is the value of those assets at their current market worth, rather than its book value.

Meanwhile, Sun Life Financial Inc. (TSX: SLF.TO), a major Toronto-based life insurance company, said it holds $334 million of Lehman bonds and about $15 of Lehman derivative financial instruments. The company said it expects to take a charge to its earnings in the third quarter, but the amount is dependent on the amount of expected recoveries and other factors.

http://ca.news.finance.yahoo.com/s/...tment-bank-lehman-brothers-files-chapter.html
 

Kreskin

Doctor of Thinkology
Feb 23, 2006
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It's pretty sad. This could've been avoided. Hopefully it is only a recession.
 

B00Mer

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It's pretty sad. This could've been avoided. Hopefully it is only a recession.

Agreed, however I think this is just the start of all these over extended companies with high credit failing and taking peoples retirement savings with them...

As far back as November 25, 2007 Congressman Ron Paul M.D. had been warning people about this very thing.

The End of an Empire. Powerful words when you think of the United States as the country in question.

 

Kreskin

Doctor of Thinkology
Feb 23, 2006
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The mother of all real estate bubbles fuelled by loans to people who couldn't afford them. Now everyone is paying the price.
 

darkbeaver

the universe is electric
Jan 26, 2006
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The mother of all real estate bubbles fuelled by loans to people who couldn't afford them. Now everyone is paying the price.

But that is only the visable part of the **** berg Kreskin, it's where they want our eyes to be glued while the trucks are out back in the dark loading the loot for a fast skip of the old virtual big apple. Time for the bankers to lay low while the frenzy works it's magic and they are saved by the winter of global war that will aliviate market and population pressures. Then spring and the cycle of usery begins again followed by a summer of love and prosperity in some other lands. They do not fear a world slump they know it's real purgative value and thier larders are full. You do not slump off a cliff, you crash to the bottom, this is called a depression it's self an unenlightening word for carnage and death.
 
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darkbeaver

the universe is electric
Jan 26, 2006
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It's pretty sad. This could've been avoided. Hopefully it is only a recession.

Yes it could have been avoided, it could have been made impossible, it would never have occured. So why has it? It's because it has been designed that way by privilage and greed, the pillars of western ethic. Take a banker to lunch, cook him slowly.
 

darkbeaver

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Jan 26, 2006
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Come on someone must be interested in the spectacular agonizing death of capitalism. Or are y'all mezmerized by the paper cups and dog**** stories. Ya better start posting soon, if you got anything to say, I wouldn't wait till after christmess.
 

Kreskin

Doctor of Thinkology
Feb 23, 2006
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I'm going to wait until assets are priced well below fair market value before I sell.
 

EagleSmack

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Feb 16, 2005
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A recession does not mean the end of capitalism. Although you may be licking your chops now and gloating eventually the markets will rebound.
 

darkbeaver

the universe is electric
Jan 26, 2006
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A recession does not mean the end of capitalism. Although you may be licking your chops now and gloating eventually the markets will rebound.

The markets will rebound, I have no doubt about that, but they will resemble nothing we are used to seeing, they'll be honest. Recession is such a misleading word Smack. If I may provide a tiny example of that mischief, Lehmans , Fannie Mae, Fredie Mac, Bear Sterns etc; all survived numerous recessions, handily. Recession does not describe what's unfolding right now.
 

EagleSmack

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Feb 16, 2005
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I agree with you. The markets will look different. Just like it looked different after the dotcom bust or after the IT mainframe bust in the early 90's. It will, as it always does, reinvent itself.
 

Risus

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May 24, 2006
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As darkbeaver says, the market will rebound. It will take a couple of days and investors will start buying.
 

EagleSmack

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Feb 16, 2005
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The Dow is already on the upswing. Although the reasoning is that people are selling to cut their losses and the buyers are speculators getting typically solid stock on the cheap for hopes of better days. There is a purge to sell and people are buying. It would be a tragedy if they wanted to sell and nobody is buying. That is when things go down the tubes...when stock becomes worthless like the dotcom stocks were.
 

EagleSmack

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Feb 16, 2005
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The market ate a bellyful of shareholder cash, had it's tummyache, shat out more broken dreamers and the rich just got richer. Just a day in the life....

You know...the insane wealthy will always have an insane amount of money. I think I get what you mean. But a lot of the rich and high powered execs just got a beating... and now will be looking for work. It is the people who played it safe and conservative who tend to gain. There is a lot of stock out there that they did not have a piece of the action with. Now they are buying it on the cheap. The wealthy that had large amounts of this stock HAVE to sell to cut their losses.
 

Avro

Time Out
Feb 12, 2007
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This whole mess is a perfect example for why we need some sort of regulation.....hear that Mr. Harper?

Americans are always f**king things up.:roll: