Which Arab dictatorship is next?

earth_as_one

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Looks like Syria:

Calls for weekend protests in Syria
Social media used in bid to mobilise Syrians for rallies demanding freedom, human rights and the end to emergency law.
Last Modified: 03 Feb 2011
Calls for weekend protests in Syria - Middle East - Al Jazeera English

Jordan and Yemen also have growing freedom and democracy protests. Even Saudi Arabia has similar problems as Egypt, its just that the people aren't as desperately poor and the government is more severe than Mubarak and more zealous than the Muslim Brotherhood.
 

gopher

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Dunno about Syria - Assad was VERY brutal in suppressing an earlier rebellion. He is a Baathist (same party as Saddam Hussein) and only looks like a moderate.
 

earth_as_one

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Looks like Yemen is the hottest spot outside of Egypt and Tunisia today:

Up to 20,000 people gathered in Sanaa, the capital, on Thursday, demanding Al Abdullah Saleh end his 30-year rule of the impoverished nation, inspired by ongoing events in Egypt.

But the crowd was met by a counter rally of pro-government protesters, leading to small scuffles between the two groups until police intervened.

In a separate protest in Aden, a southern port city, officers reportedly fired tear gas and live ammunition to break up demonstrators, the AFP news agency said.

The action comes a day after Saleh announced that he would not seek extension once his current term ends in 2013, and vowed to postpone controversial April elections - two key opposition demands.
Opposing protesters rally in Yemen - Middle East - Al Jazeera English

Mass protests are being planned in Syria, Jordan and The Sudan over the next few days.

Anger over unemployment and food prices seem to be driving revolution across North African and the Middle East.
http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/03/world/middleeast/03iht-m03job.html
 

petros

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If it borders Israel and they oppose the two state solution those are the nations that will see change.
 

darkbeaver

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Why worry about the Arabs when the same slave drivers control our own western "democracies". If people want freedom and democracy they should look first to the pricks ****ting in their own western legislative houses. The term "Arab dictatorships" is not correct, in fact it is a purposefully misleading bit of misinformation used to distance the real dictators from their dictatorships. Whomever pays for the guns and the thugs does the dictating. That is whomever sets up the puppets owns and operates the dictatortorship, and in every case the weapons and money are supplied by the west, no exceptions, they are western dictatorships.
 
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Trotz

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I would be surprised if Syria and Jordan were affected,
these are two countries with a history of more responsible leadership and you can't really consider their leaders to be "puppets", like Egypt's leaders.
 

Goober

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I would be surprised if Syria and Jordan were affected,
these are two countries with a history of more responsible leadership and you can't really consider their leaders to be "puppets", like Egypt's leaders.
Look to what Assad's father did when he had a revolt in the early 70's as to see what the reaction would be. Like father, like son
 

earth_as_one

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If it borders Israel and they oppose the two state solution those are the nations that will see change.

Countries at risk have high poverty rates, wealthy elite, food insecurity, led by a dictator.

While this general revolt affects Israel, its not about Israel.

Jobs and Age Reign as Risk Factors for Mideast Uprisings
By SARA HAMDAN
Published: February 2, 2011

DUBAI — As demands for regime change sweep the Middle East and North Africa, leaving diplomats and geopolitical analysts struggling to keep abreast, financial analysts are turning to economic indicators to guide their bets on which countries will be most susceptible to contagion.

Tristan Cooper, head analyst of Middle East Sovereigns for Moody’s Investors Services. “Contagion into the wider region is more likely in countries that have large numbers of frustrated, unemployed citizens who are eager for political change.”

Algeria, Jordan and Morocco, countries with high jobless rates and growing young populations, are among the most vulnerable...

http://www.nytimes.com/2011/02/03/world/middleeast/03iht-m03job.html

Tunisia doesn't border Israel. Neither do Algeria, Yemen or Morocco...

I would be surprised if Syria and Jordan were affected,
these are two countries with a history of more responsible leadership and you can't really consider their leaders to be "puppets", like Egypt's leaders.

Recipe for a revolt:

-Cruel unjust government.
- wealthy elite class
-desperately poor majority
-food insecurity

Even countries where people aren't so poor but the government is cruel and unjust could see popular revolts.
 

MHz

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The smart thing would be to have all Nations go through a mini revolt, us included if we can be allowed to expose the current corrupt practices in banking and Govt. Iceland proved shoving a few bankers and politicians into jail actually worked out better for the country, ..... and fairly quickly. Ireland took the bankers and politicians advice and now they are in debt deeper than ever
 

gopher

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''Look to what Assad's father did when he had a revolt in the early 70's as to see what the reaction would be. Like father, like son''

You got that right - Assad is viewed as a moderate by the Western press. But his restrained talk is only a mask to disguise his Stalinist evil.
 

MHz

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Recipe for a revolt:

-Cruel unjust government.
- wealthy elite class
-desperately poor majority
-food insecurity

Even countries where people aren't so poor but the government is cruel and unjust could see popular revolts.
I am assuming any one of the above rather than all of the above would make politicians be on their best behavior, negating the need for revolution in the first place.

''Look to what Assad's father did when he had a revolt in the early 70's as to see what the reaction would be. Like father, like son''

You got that right - Assad is viewed as a moderate by the Western press. But his restrained talk is only a mask to disguise his Stalinist evil.
Like Syria or not having fabricated evidence put up to make you appear guilty of a crime you did not commit make them the lesser or two evils.

As long as he tells what the rules are before heads start falling, so what. If treason qualifies then so what if the person is actually guilty, I would hope we would do the same to somebody who 'sold us out' to a foreign nation.

How did the US handle revolt in South America, Chile being the best example of death squads being the preferred method of dealing with 'political activests'. Canada didn't protest any of those activities to any great extent.
 

Goober

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I am assuming any one of the above rather than all of the above would make politicians be on their best behavior, negating the need for revolution in the first place.


Like Syria or not having fabricated evidence put up to make you appear guilty of a crime you did not commit make them the lesser or two evils.

As long as he tells what the rules are before heads start falling, so what. If treason qualifies then so what if the person is actually guilty, I would hope we would do the same to somebody who 'sold us out' to a foreign nation.

How did the US handle revolt in South America, Chile being the best example of death squads being the preferred method of dealing with 'political activests'. Canada didn't protest any of those activities to any great extent.

Then start in Russia and head east thru to China, Tibet, Nepal, south and west to almost if not all of Africa. Couple of billion people and food prices are at not the highest ever, And prices for food will only go up as many countries, China for example grows and have a larger middle class.
Why do you think the elite in China is of 2 very distinct minds when it comes to freedom and basic rights.
 

petros

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While you are cruinsg along your verbal description leading down Silk Road do some Googling on whether or not there are any plans for rebuilding that road as well as an "energy corridor".

If the railroad was Canada's founding glory imagine what a southern Trans Asian highway/railway/water/and energy rte from the Pacific (that means North Korea complies or else) to the Med (Iran and A-Stan want more than they were offered for right of way royalties) would do for Asian trade to EU and African Union.

The Himalayan hydro electric potential and living space is needed to industrial and tame the people of Southern Asia from east to west.

No wonder Iran is keen on nuclear to take economic advantage of that planned corridor. I wonder which countries have rolled the pension dice on Himalayan hydro and fear a Iranian source of cheap electricity on top of their oil and gas wealth?
 
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Trotz

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Things are stepping up in Yemen,
a country with no oil and it's the poorest Arab country I can think of.
 

MHz

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Then start in Russia and head east thru to China, Tibet, Nepal, south and west to almost if not all of Africa. Couple of billion people and food prices are at not the highest ever, And prices for food will only go up as many countries, China for example grows and have a larger middle class.
Why do you think the elite in China is of 2 very distinct minds when it comes to freedom and basic rights.
Any certain time I have to be back???

If China/India/Africa were many times richer than they are today, would most of it filter down to the peasants, the first ones to be starved when times are tough? The West isn't broke, the head bank we deal with has $700T or more just sitting there. You hardly need any if you were to go on a modest vacation, even less if your are to be the living example of what a 4th world country looks like after the lights go out for the last time.
 

MHz

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It is, nothing but poor and sand.
Does that mean they are the example over there of what life will be like if you are the poor in amoungst the richest counties? Think how much they will save on not shipping anything to America just to have a few tweaks made and then sold back at 100x the price.