Majority of voters are backing Brexit, according to latest EU referendum poll

[Blackleaf]

The latest EU referendum poll indicates that voters have swung considerably towards backing Brexit. 52 per cent of people surveyed said they were planning on voting for Britain to leave the European Union, compared to 48 per cent who are voting in...

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Majority of voters are backing Brexit, according to latest EU referendum poll

Tom Goodenough

Tom Goodenough
31 May 2016
The Spectator

The latest EU referendum poll indicates that voters have swung considerably towards backing Brexit. 52 per cent of people surveyed said they were planning on voting for Britain to leave the European Union, compared to 48 per cent who are voting in. The ICM poll, carried out for the Guardian, is significant for two reasons. Firstly, it flies in the face of the prevailing view that remain has surged ahead. In recent weeks, those campaigning for Britain to stay put in Europe appear to have enjoyed a significant margin of support over the leave campaign. A poll of polls conducted by Lord Ashcroft suggested an almost exact opposite to the figures out today: giving remain 53 per cent of the vote to leave’s 47 per cent. But these latest numbers show a big swing the other way and make it clear that the referendum remains an open contest.

Secondly, the margin of the swing towards Brexit also makes this latest poll worth following particularly closely. Apart from at the start of May, the leave campaign have been pipped to second place in most polls which have been conducted. Whilst last year’s election showed the danger of reading too much into any poll, the fact that more people are backing Brexit – and appear to have shifted their stance on the referendum – shows that the leave campaign is doing something right. To give an idea of comparison here, an ICM phone poll also carried out by the Guardian two weeks ago handed remain a 10 per cent lead. With the purdah period having now kicked in – taking away the Government’s advantage in being able to count on its huge resources to convince Brits of the need to stay in – these results will act as a big boost for leave.

It’s still worth remembering, as Fraser Nelson points out, that many voters tend to stick with the devil they know. This means that in order for the change proposition (leave, in this case) to win, that side needs to enjoy a very healthy lead in the polls. Whilst it’s important not to read everything into today’s poll, that margin appears to have grown considerably and with it the chances that Britain could well vote out of the EU.

Majority of voters are backing Brexit, according to latest EU referendum poll | Coffee House

 

[Colpy]

Please, please, please save Britain.

Instead of the dual idiots Obama and Trudeau encouraging Britain to stay in the EU, they should be proposing a military/economic alliance of the English speaking world............the UK, Canada, the USA, Australia, New Zealand.........with an eye to including India, maybe perhaps...............

 

[Tecumsehsbones]

Please, please, please save Britain.

Instead of the dual idiots Obama and Trudeau encouraging Britain to stay in the EU, they should be proposing a military/economic alliance of the English speaking world............the UK, Canada, the USA, Australia, New Zealand.........with an eye to including India, maybe perhaps...............

Don't forget Ireland, Nauru, Vanuatu, South Africa, and Belize!

Course, might help the Grand Alliance if we asked pretty pretty please Australia and New Zealand allow our nuclear-powered and -armed ships in your waters.

 

[coldstream]

I hope Britain chooses Brexit.

The EU is a disaster.. its collapsing inwards from its margins (Greece, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Italy). NONE of its promises have ever been met. It's members are poorer, economies more in debt, hard won labour rights and benefits are being systematically dismantled, national sovereignty has been trashed in favour of the prerogative of Brussels.

It's a giant con game.. of which a shadowy group of global traders and financiers are making themselves grotesquely wealthy at the expense of everyone else. Norway is doing fine outside the EU after making the very wise decision not to join in the first place. Britain will do just as well... without the immense economic, social and cultural cost associated with EU membership.

Naturally the opposition has become ever more hysterical in its fear mongering of a vote for the "Leave the European Union" option. That is a sure sign there is an ulterior motive, and that they don't have a case (just look at AGW).

 

[Johnnny]

We all know Britain will be staying in the EU... Even if it was apparent that 100% of people were voting to separate the end result would be Britain remaining....

 

[Colpy]

Don't forget Ireland, Nauru, Vanuatu, South Africa, and Belize!

Course, might help the Grand Alliance if we asked pretty pretty please Australia and New Zealand allow our nuclear-powered and -armed ships in your waters.

I believe (correct me if I'm wrong) that is only an issue with New Zealand, not Australia.

 

[darkbeaver]

Please, please, please save Britain.

Instead of the dual idiots Obama and Trudeau encouraging Britain to stay in the EU, they should be proposing a military/economic alliance of the English speaking world............the UK, Canada, the USA, Australia, New Zealand.........with an eye to including India, maybe perhaps...............

What economics are you talking about, the Americans are flat broke and still borrowing, none of these with the exception of India have a stable economy, as I'm let to belive by the internet. Canada would be bought up by India.

Britian should get as far away from the continent as it should. Fortify the channel,

 

[Blackleaf]

Don't forget Ireland, Nauru, Vanuatu, South Africa, and Belize!

Course, might help the Grand Alliance if we asked pretty pretty please Australia and New Zealand allow our nuclear-powered and -armed ships in your waters.

Ireland also needs to be saved from the EU.

Sadly, I think Ireland is beyond help when it comes to the EU. Ireland is one of the most - if not THE most - pro-EU country. Just 51 years after they seceded from the UK to become an independent nation in its own right the Irish then go and give up their sovereignty again by become an EU (EEC, as it was then) Member State on 1st January 1973, the same day as the UK. Irish republicans who took part in the Easter Rising and the Irish War of Independence (both of which they lost) will be spinning in their graves over that fact. The Irish people have a very sycophantic attitude to the EU which the British people, who are more vocal in their opposition to it, don't have. Even when the euro causes a massive downturn in the Irish economy, the vast majority of the Irish still believe that they are better off in the EU. Looking at Irish political discussion forums, there are so many posters on them calling the British "Little Englanders" for having this EU in/out referendum, as though wanting your country to be a free, self-governing nation state is somehow "racist." They're a country who meekly does everything that the EU tells them to do, however detrimental to their economy and society, and are complaining that their British neighbours are actually fighting back against the EU and may well vote to leave. This is a rather odd attitude to have from a people who once fought bloodily for their own independence (but then gave up that independence when it joined what is now the EU just 51 years later).

The Irish, I'm afraid, are going down with the EU Titanic.