Does anyone here think that despite all the polls and the media coverage, that the Liberal Party will win, vis a vis either a minority or majority government on Monday?
Reality Check Time.
First, can I get a little shout out on what I said about the volatility of polls this week. I said it was a 10 pt gap for the last two weeks, and that the fluctuations were myths, and the last round of polling shows exactly that. I don't know what happened at the other research houses but it wasn't pretty. I'm not going to criticize anybody, but I'm sure not going to defend them either. They've got a lot of explaining to do.
As for seat counts, the overnights have the NDP and Tories coming down a smidge, but not enough to change anything. I'm suspecting that the Tories will be in the mid-140s, the Grits will be around 60, the Dips will be mid-30s, and the Bloc around 60.
As for all those who are predicting anything other than a Tory win, you're just paranoid. There's going to be no big rush to save Martin. If anything, the Grits may leak a few more votes to the NDP, especially in Ontario.
On a majority, without a breakthrough (say 10+ seats) for the Tories in Quebec, or a breakthrough in the 416 it's out of reach. Sorry, dems da facts.
Freethinker said:Win win for Alberta and Quebec separatist that is.
Devolution of powers is step 1.
Jay said:Freethinker said:Win win for Alberta and Quebec separatist that is.
Devolution of powers is step 1.
It's a win for every self respecting province.
#juan said:Some of the Conservative supporters
are shouting like they just won a landslide when, in fact, the difference was about twenty closely fought seats.
Jay said:What it is is the slow move to the right the country is making....