John Tory has the lead in new Toronto mayoral poll


Locutus
#1
John Tory would be mayor of Toronto if the municipal election were held today instead of Oct. 27, according to a new poll.

Among decided voters, Tory leads with 39.1 per cent, followed by Olivia Chow with 32.7 per cent and Rob Ford 21.7 per cent. None of the other major candidates received more than 5 per cent support.

The random telephone survey of 600 Torontonians was conducted between July 2 and July 5 by Nanos Research. The margin of error for a random survey of this size is plus or minus 4 percentage points, 19 times out of 20.

“It’s a two-horse race,” said Nik Nanos, chairman of Nanos Research Group.

“Tory does well among men. Chow among women. We are still far from an election but the other clear finding is that there seems to be little growth potential for Ford at this juncture of the campaign.”

The pollster asked residents: “If the election for mayor of Toronto were held today, please tell me your first choice and your second choice from the following list of candidates. The list included the three frontrunners in addition to Karen Stintz (4 per cent), Sarah Thomson (2 per cent) and David Soknacki (1 per cent).

Nick Kouvalis, lead strategist on Tory’s campaign after helping Ford win in 2010, said the new numbers show Ford is not a factor in the race since his return last week from rehab where he was treated for drug and alcohol abuse.

“Ford’s done. It’s Chow versus Tory,” Kouvalis said.

The Chow campaign does not comment on polls, a spokesman said Monday.

However, political strategist, Warren Kinsella, who is a volunteer with the Chow campaign, tweeted that a lobbyist for the group that paid for the poll is a former adviser to Tory. The survey was paid for by the Ontario Convenience Store Association.

Nanos said the lobbyist has nothing to do with the reliability of the survey.

“I personally wrote the questions and oversaw the project,” Nanos wrote in email when asked about Kinsella’s tweet.

Councillor Doug Ford, who is the mayor’s campaign manager, said the election is going to be “about the John Tory establishment versus the common folk that Rob represents for the last four years.” Ford was talking to reporters at city hall before the poll results were released.

Nanos said to his knowledge, this is the first publicly released survey conducted using proper random sampling of land and cell lines with live human beings validating identity. “These types of survey have the best and most consistent track record in terms of capturing voter opinion,’ he wrote.

The pollster included the caveat that the results cannot be projected to a future vote.

The election related questions were asked at the outset of the survey followed by proprietary questions related to convenience stores.



John Tory has the lead in new Toronto mayoral poll | Toronto Star
 
Goober
Free Thinker
+1
#2
If Ford pulls out then Tory is in.
But if the polls show he should, will he be mature enough not to hand the City to Chow.
 
PoliticalNick
Free Thinker
+1
#3
We are talking about a city that has the collective intelligence to elect a crack-head alcoholic....who cares who they elect next. Heck they are probably stupid enough to elect Ford again.
 
Locutus
+3
#4  Top Rated Post
Quote: Originally Posted by PoliticalNickView Post

We are talking about a city that has the collective intelligence to elect a crack-head alcoholic....who cares who they elect next. Heck they are probably stupid enough to elect Ford again.

Can you imagine if Rob won? Hipsters would be hanging themselves with their summer scarves off every overpass.
 
PoliticalNick
Free Thinker
#5
Quote: Originally Posted by LocutusView Post

Can you imagine if Rob won? Hipsters would be hanging themselves with their summer scarves off every overpass.

No great loss.
 
taxslave
No Party Affiliation
#6
Poor mf is now going to have to invent 10 new threads to prove how wrong this poll is.
 
Locutus
+1
#7
he'll have an early start to the morning with his huffpo/tsar-like subscription lists.
 
WLDB
No Party Affiliation
#8
Quote: Originally Posted by LocutusView Post

Can you imagine if Rob won? Hipsters would be hanging themselves with their summer scarves off every overpass.

I know a guy who voted for Ford thinking he wouldn't win. I wondered how many others might have did the same. He said "Yeah, it would suck if Rob Ford got in on the hipster vote."
 
IdRatherBeSkiing
#9
Quote: Originally Posted by LocutusView Post

Can you imagine if Rob won? Hipsters would be hanging themselves with their summer scarves off every overpass.

That alone would be worth putting him back in.

Quote: Originally Posted by taxslaveView Post

Poor mf is now going to have to invent 10 new threads to prove how wrong this poll is.

I heard he is asking 100 of his friends in hope of getting a 97% consensus about how wrong the poll is.
 
QuebecCanadian
#10
Rob Ford still has 21%?? Regardless who wins 1 fifth of Toronto would have him back!! What is wrong with people??
 
Walter
#11
Quote: Originally Posted by QuebecCanadianView Post

Rob Ford still has 21%?? Regardless who wins 1 fifth of Toronto would have him back!! What is wrong with people??

You're right, should be 100% for Robbie because the others are milque toast spendthrifts.
 
QuebecCanadian
+1
#12
Quote: Originally Posted by WalterView Post

You're right, should be 100% for Robbie because the others are milque toast spendthrifts.

I dunno Walter. A corrupt crack-head, alcoholic narcissist? I'd go for milquetoast. Thankfully, I'm not a Torontonian.
 
Retired_Can_Soldier
#13
Quote: Originally Posted by WalterView Post

You're right, should be 100% for Robbie because the others are milque toast spendthrifts.

I love how you get all high and mighty about what one man might put in another mans bum or mouth, but it's okay to smoke crack.

Okay to smoke it, just don't poke it eh Walter.
 
mentalfloss
#14
Good for him.

It's high time a real conservative had a shot.
 
Locutus
#15

Cynthia MulliganVerified account ‏@CityCynthia

Olivia Chow t-shirt slamming #RobFord, full of quotes since his return #topoli pic.twitter.com/EaGCODwU








 

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