NDP - Moving on over to the Center? Or a flash in the Electoral pan?

Goober

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Jan 23, 2009
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NDP - Moving on over to the Center? Or a flash in the Electoral pan?

Under Mulcair will the NDP move towards the center - That is where the votes are. To far left or right of center and Bingo, you are not the Govt.

So what do you think the NDP under Mulcair will do?

Thomas Mulcair's NDP launches its bid for Canadian hearts and minds as House of Commons returns | Full Comment | National Post

When the House of Commons returns today, Canadians can expect to see the NDP refocused, re-energized and on the attack. The real battle of Stephen Harper’s majority government begins with Thomas Mulcair’s chosen team in place. Mulcair has had time now to sort out his front bench, reward caucus colleagues for their support and performance during the leadership race and at the same time cushion the egos of some of those who ran against him. With new caucus critics in place, there will be a lot of NDP MPs anxious to make their mark in their new portfolios.

Mulcair will have from now until mid-June to demonstrate to Canadians that the NDP under his leadership is a match for the Conservatives. Let us not forget the NDP are supposed to be the government-in-waiting and it will be interesting to see how Mulcair’s shadow cabinet performs in a head-to-head match up with Conservative ministers.

Mulcair laid out his initial attack plan when he said “our focus is to start showing Canadians that the Conservatives, despite their branding, are lousy managers of the public purse.”

It’s a solid strategy that won’t result in a big win today, but over time can chip away at the Conservatives’ perceived strength. The Conservatives can expect weeks of attacks along this line with the F-35 debate still fresh and on the minds of Canadians. The NDP will also have new ammunition with the costs of Bev Oda’s trip to London coming to light.

It doesn’t matter that the trip and her expenses followed Treasury Board guidelines; the NDP will try to convince Canadians that $1,000 a day for a luxury room and limo –while still paying for the five-star room she rejected — were extravagant and a waste of taxpayers’ dollars. In politics perception is everything and Mulcair’s team will have fresh ammunition with Oda expensing $2,850 for three days. This won’t sit well with Canadians struggling to get by in the present economy.

It is these examples that are often the most damaging to a government. It is hard for someone to imagine what $10 billion looks like, but everyone out there can look at that $1,000 dollars a day for a car and relate it to their own pay cheque. These examples hurt governments.

We can expect the government to counter with their usual line that the NDP would raise taxes if they were in power, but it is a well-worn line that has been used so often it has lost its impact.

For the Liberals, it will be a real wake-up call, as they will be lost in the battle. The best quips from Bob Rae will be drowned out by the fire from the NDP benches. The real struggle is about to begin for the hearts and minds of Canadians and that battle is between the Mulcair NDP and the Harper Conservatives.

National Post

Keith Beardsley served as a senior adviser and deputy chief of staff for issues management to Prime Minister Stephen Harper. Read more at his blog, here.
 

taxslave

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When you are stuck in far left field the only way movement is possible is towards the center. The fun will begin when Mulcair tries to justify his pandering to Quebec to the rest of the country.
 

Goober

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When you are stuck in far left field the only way movement is possible is towards the center. The fun will begin when Mulcair tries to justify his pandering to Quebec to the rest of the country.

I agree his 50 % plus one will cost him dearly in the ROC.
 

Machjo

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Oct 19, 2004
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Remember though that in any local riding, voters will also consider the calliber of the local candidate. For instance, even a liberal conservative might hesitate to vote for a Conservative who seems too ideological, just as even a social-democrat might hesitate to vote for an NDP candidate if he's too ideological too.

So while the party leader plays a role nationally, let us not underestimate the impact the calliber of the local candidate has.

To take me for instance, though I've never voted for a Conservative yet, if Scott Reid, (MP for Lanark-Frontenac-Lennox & Addington) were in my riding, I'd seriously consider voting for him. Though I've voted for an NDP candidate only once in my life well over a decade ago, if Halifax-Fairlied MLA Graham Steele were running in my riding, I'd likely vote for him quite easily too.

Many party hacks seem to forget that many voters do indeed consider the caliber of the local candidate, and with what occurred in Quebec last Federal election, we can immagine that in Quebec especially voters will be especially critical of the local candidate next time around, thus making the party leader even less relevent there next election.
 

Machjo

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Oct 19, 2004
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The NDP will self extinguish. If they move to the center, they lose their primary supporters.

Four possibilities:

1. The Liberals survive and a new left-leaning party fills the NDP void, with the NDP ending up squeezed out from both ends.

2. The NDP shifts to the centre and destrys the Liberals in the process while a new Left party could take fill the void left by it. Essentially the NDP becomes the new Liberal Party.

3. The NDP remains in the centre temporarily but then shifts left again.

4. The NDp crushes the liberals with no replacement to its left, leading to a broad left party and a broad right Conservative party, with both being close to the centre.