In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win...

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
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If they win by a minority of seats, and presuming that the Libs/NDP will side with each other as per usual, who will the Cons allign themselves with.

The Bloc???

If for example the Bloc form the official opposition..would they HAVE to side with the Liberals? I really can't imagine them siding with the NDP.

I think the bottom line is that the Cons will definately HAVE to win a majority..or we will have this discussion again in less than two years!
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely ev

Although..i should add that if the Libs form the official opposition...would it be advantageous in the least to side with the bloc..or should they play their cards with the NDP?

(Again..this is a hypothetical question of if they only form a minority...)
 

Toro

Senate Member
May 24, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely ev

The Tories could get into the 135-140 range, which will probably be enough to effectively govern, at least for the next 18 months. The Liberals will be too busy trying to knife Martin in the back to bring down the government.
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely ev

Hahahaha Toro...how very True...

Perhaps this will result in the return of John Manley? Widely respected among the Chretian crown and the Martin crowd? Hmmm..ponder ponder.
 

Toro

Senate Member
May 24, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely ev

Manley's too wooden, though I like him

I think they'll have to go outside the Federal Party to someone like McKenna. However, Martin will fight like hell to keep it and he controls the political machinery. My guess is he survives to fight another election if its a Tory minority. If its a majority, he has to be gone.
 

yballa09

Electoral Member
Sep 8, 2005
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Re: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

The Conservatives will have to find some common ground with the NDP if they want their tenure to last. The only problem is that the NDP could very well hold the balance of power and be running the next parliament as they did this last one.
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
482
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Edmonton
RE: In the ever likely ev

Hmmm....but in any circumstance..would it maybe be more advantageous for the Cons to allign with the Bloc?

I know some would suggest that it will only give the seperatists more power...on the other hand, if the conservatives (who are traditionally more in favour of less federal power ) can work out some concessions that would give the provinces (all of them) more power, which is what essentially Quebec is asking for, would it do much to disolve that tension? If the people of quebec genuinely felt that their concerns were being adequately addressed vis a vis a coalition, would they not be less willing to seperate?

As i recall (keep in mind i was young), the conservatives were very good at keeping the country together in the 80's and infact, were the party that almost saved Canada vis a vis the Meech Lake Accord.

Hmmm..much to ponder for sure.
 

yballa09

Electoral Member
Sep 8, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

i dont know, im very skeptical about making a coalition with the bloc. the cons looked bad the first time simply voting with the bloc for the first non-confidence motion, i dont think it would work out.
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
482
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Edmonton
RE: In the ever likely ev

Probably not..but on the other hand, for the past decade of my life, i have been force fed the notion that no idea from the Bloc could ever be considered a good one. But in this past election, i found myself oddly enough thinking that Duceppe on non-seperation issues actually has some pretty good ideas worth considering. Im not saying that one should negotiate with a seperatist.

But living in Alberta, i certainly understand where Quebecers are coming from in feeling like they are not listened to or that their ideas are discredited. It's no wonder that both provinces continually flirt with the notion of seperatists (Alberta to a lesser extent).

I mean, think of things like this idea of a distinct society. Seriously..do you think it really affects the average english speaking canadian if their Quebec copatriot is considered distinct? Probably not. There are better things to worry about than if Jean-Luc Lefrechman is considered distinct. Quebec for the most part already runs by the beat of a different drummer (in their investing law, language laws, judicial laws). Why not make that a formality?

Just my thoughts. But i am of course one of the ones who thought it was a mistake to defeat Meech. LOL.
 

Semperfi_dani

Electoral Member
Nov 1, 2005
482
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Edmonton
RE: In the ever likely ev

Ok..so I am totally hijacking my own thread..hahaha.

But maybe with a conservative gov't we can revisit Meech. I found a link and really..there was nothing wrong with the Accord. All of the other provinces rights were not only protected, but given the same provisions to negotiate a deal with the federal gov't. Now maybe this whole notion of provincial vs federal gov'ts was not a priorty back in the federal happy 70's and 80's...but in todays environment, something like meech could totally pass. There are obviously flaws..but perhaps its time to revisit the premise..and i think maybe the Conservative party would be the party that could do that? Hmmm.


Here is a link... http://www.solon.org/Constitutions/Canada/English/Proposals/MeechLake.html
 

FiveParadox

Governor General
Dec 20, 2005
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Conservative Minority

One must keep in mind that, when entering a minority Parliament, the current Prime Minister has the first opportunity to secure the confidence of the House; even if the Hon. Stephen Harper goes into a minority with the most seats, the Rt. Hon. Paul Martin, if he could mobilize the votes of the Liberal Party of Canada, the New Democratic Party of Canada and the Bloc Québecois (however unlikely that may seem), could force the Conservative Party of Canada to return to the Opposition side and continue to govern, with the support of those parties.

:!: Edit Corrected a typo and resolved a formatting problem.
 

S-Ranger

Nominee Member
Mar 12, 2005
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Re: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

Semperfi_dani said:
If they win by a minority of seats, and presuming that the Libs/NDP will side with each other as per usual, who will the Cons allign themselves with.

The Bloc???

Given that the new Progressive Conservative Party of Canada ("liberals") and commie-socialists are on record stating that they will not cooperate with a "conservative" (Alberta) government they don't have any other choice.

Semperfi_dani said:
If for example the Bloc form the official opposition..would they HAVE to side with the Liberals? I really can't imagine them siding with the NDP.

Quebec doesn't have enough seats to form any official opposition with the Bloc. It's either going to be the "liberals" or the "conservatives."

If it's the former then they don't get to choose what they side with; it's totally up to the "liberals" and NDP and they will not side with the Alberta Party/"conservatives" around anything under any circumstances, which leaves them with no choice but to deal with the Bloc.

And the Bloc will not hand them votes without something in return and what they'll demand in return is tax points, which should thrill Albertans, even though South Ontario will pay for it as usual.

Either give Quebec/the Bloc more tax points to get anything at all passed or they fall on the speech from the toilet/throne, which the Bloc knows very well.

The "liberals" can get votes from all three parties with another minority without being held hostage by Quebec. They'll be able to do the usual; talk to the other party chairs before drafting a bill to make sure it gets support from the "conservatives" and/or NDP and/or Bloc.

Semperfi_dani said:
I think the bottom line is that the Cons will definately HAVE to win a majority..or we will have this discussion again in less than two years!

Less than a year, I'd wager. And we're getting quite tired of it in South Ontario, on all the levels that matter; and in the cafes/coffee shops and bars too. The confederates have become totally irrelevant and this will go on for another decade; or this:

Windsor-Québec City Corridor, 2001

Ontario Section
10,706,513 93% of Ontario's population

Québec Section
6,327,354 87% of Quebec's population

Total Population
17,033,867 57% of Canada's population

Source: Statistics Canada 2001 Census

...and this:

The Lower Mainland and southern Vancouver Island
Code:
___________________________________________________________
                                     % of     % of    % of
        Population            %    Province Province Canada
   1996           2001     Change   (1996)   (2001)  (2001)
 2,523,734     2,706,873    7.3      67.8     69.3     9.0
___________________________________________________________
will set up this:

Population/structure of the Canadas, 2001 Census of Canada
Code:
                                    2001
Region                           Population
___________________________________________
Atlantic                          2,285,729
Québec City-Windsor Corridor     17,033,867
  Québec Section                  6,327,354
   East                                  ??
   Central                               ??
    Montréal and Adjacent region  3,724,576
   West                                  ??
  Ontario Section                10,706,513
   East                                  ??
   Central                               ??
    Extended Golden Horseshoe     6,704,598
     Golden Horseshoe                    ??
      Greater Toronto Area        5,081,826
       City of Toronto            2,481,494
   West                                  ??
Rest of Québec                      910,125
Rest of Ontario                     703,533
Prairies-West/B.C.                8,981,061
 Calgary-Edmonton Corridor        2,149,586
 Lower Mainland-south
  Vancouver Island                2,706,873
 (Total)                          4,856,459
 Rest of Prairies-West/B.C.       4,124,602
Territories                          92,779
¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯¯
Sources: Statistics Canada - Tables - Population and Dwelling Counts
Statistics Canada - A Profile of the Canadian Population: Where We Live (Index)

How the Atlantic Canadas, rest of the Quebecs, Ontarios, prairies, rest of B.C., territories form up is their own business and up to them to figure out; and probably in another economic union so that our central bank/monetary policy actually makes sense to our businesses and investors for a change, instead of having a singular central bank that has to take what are totally different economies on all levels into account.

And the other central bank will have fun trying to set monetary policy with economies that are almost entirely based on the export of quite volatile raw/semi-processed commodities; with a dollar worth about 25 cents on our dollar, which will allow the rest of the Canadas to be properly developed for a change; unless y'all plan on exporting raw/semi-processed commodities (and the value-added jobs/spin-offs, larger markets/revenue bases that go along with them) to other economies forever, which I know isn't the case. But I also know that one of the largest money transfers on the planet has taken and takes place out of South Ontario to the rest of the Canadas (save Québec, mostly/usually, B.C. and Alberta of late, which still pays out over a billion dollars less in confederate revenues/receipts; the only ones that matter, never to be seen again, there, than the municipality of Toronto alone is plundered of, never to be seen again there either; and Alberta might want to at least get its own law enforcement if it thinks it's going to "separate"; only the Ontarios and Québecs have their own law enforcement, top to bottom, bottom to top, from recruiting/academies to pensions and everything in between; everything else is using confederate law enforcement ... and South Ontario/South Québec have real land deeds that are good outside the "federation" but nothing else does, which will pose a bit of a problem trying to claim our land with Acts that only set up jurisdictional boundaries that are only good as part of the "federation").

Getting rid of the confederates (and certainly Ontario feds) is much more important than anything else and a Harper minority will get us there faster. A Harper majority is about as likely as an NDP majority, but if they won a majority dictatorship, all the better. We may have to hang them from flag poles.

We need only totally essential union services and 'republics' (not real ones; no setting up border checkpoints or separate militaries) that can afford to pay for union services, South Ontario, whatever the other end of the Windsor-Montreal corridor from this end wants to call itself, Alberta has to prop up the other economic union and pay off its share of the federal debt, it won't be able to afford to pay for union services, the Lower Mainland-south Vancouver Island will have weighted "put your money where your mouth is" voting systems to set budgets for union services.

If the last sick joke on confederate mound didn't prove, yet again, that we not only don't need confederates but will be far better off without them, then the next bunch of pinheads will, or the next or the next but it's not going to go on forever.

Meech is lame, and there was no reason for it to be defeated. But a total re-write is necessary to unite this mess, starting with the mess Brits of Yore created after the uprisings against them in both to-be Upper and Lower Canada, the "Lord" Durham and Constitutional Act, 1791, which put the French colonists into a minority to be absorbed -- but it didn't quite work out. :)

It's time to fix that mess, let alone the rest. This isn't the Canadas of the 16th, 17th, 18th or 19th century or even the medieval Canadas behind walls of import tariffs and levies, as with just about everything else, pre-globalization, pre-information era (1995) or pre-"U.S." (economic regions that matter) - Windsor-Québec City Corridor free trade with the U.S.

We are not oriented east-west anymore, anywhere. But the Windsor-Québec City corridor isn't just "anywhere." It's part of the American industrial heartland and we have massive new competition to deal with on all levels, with China, India, the South Pacific, E.U.; and still Japan. Natural resources do not make the Canadas rich:

Gross domestic product at basic prices primary industries
$ constant 1997 (millions) 2004
Code:
____________________________________________________________
                                                        % of
INDUSTRY                                       2004-05   All
____________________________________________________________
Agriculture forestry fishing and hunting
  Crop production                               9,998   0.95
  Animal production                             4,215   0.40
  Forestry and logging                          6,880   0.66
  Fishing hunting and trapping                    866   0.08
  Support activities for agriculture
   and forestry                                 1,242   0.12
Agriculture forestry fishing and hunting TOTAL 23,201   2.21
____________________________________________________________
Mining and oil and gas extraction
 Oil and gas extraction                        22,817   2.18

 Mining (except oil and gas)
  Coal mining                                   1,208   0.12
  Metal ore mining                              4,608   0.44
  Non-metallic mineral mining and quarrying     4,730   0.45
  Support activities for mining
   and oil and gas extraction                   5,336   0.51
 ___________________________________________________________
 Mining (except oil and gas) TOTAL             10,546   1.01
____________________________________________________________
Mining and oil and gas extraction TOTAL        38,699   3.69
____________________________________________________________
PRIMARY INDUSTRY TOTALS (ALL)                  61,900   5.90
____________________________________________________________
All industries TOTAL                        1,048,266 100.00
____________________________________________________________
Source: Statistics Canada

5.9 per cent of economic output is worth about 5.9 cents on every Canadian dollar, with the entire economic union of the Canadas added up and it's before taxes but doesn't exclude subsidies. The economic structure of the Ontarios (there is no such thing as any singular "Ontario"; or "GTA thing" due to the Ontario feds, who have to go even more than the confederates do) is as follows:


Source: www.2Ontario.com, Economic Structure

Primary is worth nothing because it's not exported raw/semi-processed along with the value-added/higher-paying jobs, expanded markets (people with money to spend), and with a proper structure of South Ontario as a "republic" (as defined by the new union constitution and economic charters; it gets the semi-independence and union responsibilities that go along with that across and nothing more; it's a label) with at least four districts (halfway between a republic and province in power/responsibilities), West, Central, GTA, East (all south) the chart will change quite a lot showing where the knowledge-based (R&D, main products being innovation via service-based industries) are and everything will show up much more clearly as opposed to the medieval lie of some singular "Ontario."

It's no different in the Quebecs or anywhere else, but that's quite a long chart, to show where the bulk of the population and economic output is in each alleged "province" and territory for that matter.

The only candidate worth voting for in the upcoming confederate election, as opposed to "low voter turnout," which can be/will be spun by the "newz media" with plenty of theories is candidate "None of the above." That sends a very clear message that cannot be mistaken for anything else; to get on with facing reality in this mess and fixing it; which no confederate pinheads are qualified to even attempt.

If the confederate insults to the words "structure" and "systems" were a person, it would have every artery and vein slashed wide open, the head would be nowhere to be found, just great blubbery arms flailing about; and four pinheads standing over it with an empty box of Band-Aids(r) pretending that it means something.

What are any of them going to do that anyone gives a crap about? Just get out of our way. We can pay for essential union services and can decide what "essential" means, without a bunch of pinheads who have no clue what planet they're even on.

The Canadian flag means plenty, but the confederates mean far worse than nothing and ditto for the "Ontario" feds.

Just scratching the surface and sniffing ... 1st post in the forum. :) No Canadiana, please. I know the propaganda all too well.
 

Hank C

Electoral Member
Jan 4, 2006
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

yea I think it would be helpful is the Torys got a majority so we could live in peace rather than worry about another election......so I call on all Liberals (its over already) ....vote CPC to ensure we have a majority in the house and can put elections and a battling parliment to rest for a few!
 

FiveParadox

Governor General
Dec 20, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

If the Tories were to get a majority, then same-sex marriage would be guaranteed to be repealed. So thanks, but no thanks, I'll stick with my Grits. ;)
 

Citizen

Electoral Member
Jan 6, 2006
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

No thanks.

A conservative minority would be far easier to stomach than a conservative majority, even if it leads to another election in a year and a half.lol

Besides, that's all it will take for the Liberals to gain more strength and support.
 

Hank C

Electoral Member
Jan 4, 2006
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Re: RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will

FiveParadox said:
If the Tories were to get a majority, then same-sex marriage would be guaranteed to be repealed. So thanks, but no thanks, I'll stick with my Grits. ;)

like it or not there are more importaint issues than homosexuals getting married.... :roll:
 

Triple_R

Electoral Member
Jan 8, 2006
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

Hank C - I agree. I'd like to see a weak majority Conservative government. Just so we don't have yet another federal election in a year or two, or too many concessions being made to the Bloc.
 

FiveParadox

Governor General
Dec 20, 2005
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RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will win

Thank you for counting my opinion as invalid. Feels awesome, thanks.

When you're gay, it can be a big deal. When a party advocates for the abolishment of rights that had already been granted, it can be a bit of a turn-off, especially when you are directly affected.

If it's not a big deal, then why the urge to repeal the Act?
 

Colpy

Hall of Fame Member
Nov 5, 2005
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Re: RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will

FiveParadox said:
Thank you for counting my opinion as invalid. Feels awesome, thanks.

When you're gay, it can be a big deal. When a party advocates for the abolishment of rights that had already been granted, it can be a bit of a turn-off, especially when you are directly affected.

If it's not a big deal, then why the urge to repeal the Act?

The "urge" to repeal the act is a gesture to the Christian community, and to the conservative immigrant community of other religions.

The entire exercise is one of semantics, as the SCOC has made it clear all rights given married heterosexual couples must be granted homosexual couple, and Harper has promised NOT to use the "notwithstanding" clause on this issue.

Some people would just like the traditional definition of "marriage" to stand. Civil unions are protected by the SCOC.
 

Triple_R

Electoral Member
Jan 8, 2006
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Re: RE: In the ever likely event that the Conservatives will

Hank C said:
FiveParadox said:
If the Tories were to get a majority, then same-sex marriage would be guaranteed to be repealed. So thanks, but no thanks, I'll stick with my Grits. ;)

like it or not there are more importaint issues than homosexuals getting married.... :roll:

It amazes me how much Canadians care about an issue that has a direct tangible affect on only a very small percentage of us. I can understand the principle argument coming from both sides, but it's a very sad day in Canadian politics indeed when an issue like this one is such a driving force in both the minds of much of the electorate, and in major political campaigns.

Frankly, it amazes me how much traction Martin is trying to get out of this issue.

Why do gays care so much about the term 'marriage' ?

I can certianly understand the desire to get all the legal benefits, protections, and responsibilites, that come with the marriage contract... and the gays have that. For good in Canada. No Canadian federal government will ever change that - the courts won't allow it.

To actually base your vote on what a given candidate wants the government to CALL your contractual union seems... well, it seems a bit much to me. When/if I get married, I could care less what the government calls that contractual union. The only thing that matters to me is how my hypothetical wife and I see our relationship.