Are You Prepared for Earthquakes?

Cosmo

House Member
Jul 10, 2004
3,725
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Victoria, BC
Ted said:
Well, we briefly had a tsunami warning the other day. It was issued four minutes before the ETA of a hypothetical tsunami on the coast of Vancouver Island. The local TV stations did not report it. Sirens in coastal communities failed to work, or could not be heard by everyone. This just goes to show that we ARE direly unprepared for this kind of thing, and the ostrich approach isn't going to help us if a real emergency should occur. Hopefully this will be a wake up call and the governments and people will start taking the threat seriously.

I was amazed at the lack of info when that happened, Ted. We live right in James Bay on the 15th floor of a cement apartment building. From what I understand of tsunamis, we should have been pretty safe where we are, but it was impossible to get any information about what was going on. I checked the website and all it showed was that we were in one of the danger areas. No info on what to do or where to go.

I wonder if this lack of attention to the topic is because here on Vancouver Island we haven't got a hope in hell if the "big one" happens. I have a suspicion that no amount of preparedness is going to make a difference ... if (when?) it hits, we're just gonna sink and that's that. But perhaps that's cynical.

When we moved back to the Island we discussed the reality that we were moving into an earthquake zone. We decided we'd rather die happy in paradise than live miserably in the rest of our frozen country. To us, it's worth the risk. We both realize we're pretty much screwed if it happens, but decided it was worth it.
 

peapod

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 26, 2004
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Cosmos your lucky you live in Victoria, it is protected from a tusumai, because of the peninsula. There will be a huge earthquate, maybe even tomarrow or maybe in a 100 years. (hopefully) The Juan de fuca plate is trying to slide under the continental plate. And I grew up in Port Alberni, and the tusumai that came down the alberni canal is a legend there. Everyone should have a emergency preparedness kit. Speaking of which, I recently bought a radio that operates on solar for my kit. Cosmos I think the next time the emergency prepardness comes to give a talk where I work, you should come and listen.....the good looking firemen will not really interest you tho :lol: :lol: :lol:
 

Cosmo

House Member
Jul 10, 2004
3,725
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Hmmm ... none of the firemen are firewomen? What kinda place we running around here??? :x

I dunno about being protected, Pea. I was looking at the website and while we wouldn't get the brunt of a tsunami, we'd still get some pretty nasty waves here in James Bay. The little "blue circle of danger" on the website showed it would flow into the strait.

But it's all a moot point. I am going to play ostrich and pretend it will never happen. I've never found being connected to realities like that have done anything but cause indigestion for me. ;)
 

galianomama

Council Member
Jun 29, 2004
1,076
1
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Victoria, B.C.
heya mama...guess your all done with your project...a big hit...or so I have heard Cool

yup, it was great. a lot of work but great. i am now planning my next attack 8) to take place either this august or, 'cause it is quite involved, next august. downtown - either on the causeway in front of the inner harbour or at ships' point. whoo hooo!!!!
 

Haggis McBagpipe

Walks on Forum Water
Jun 11, 2004
5,085
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Victoria, B.C.
Cosmo said:
I was looking at the website and while we wouldn't get the brunt of a tsunami, we'd still get some pretty nasty waves here in James Bay.

I've read through the thread to find the website to which you refer but for the life of me I'm not seeing it (it is most likely right there in front of me, but that isn't always enough for my mind to comprehend). Could you post it again, please?
 

peapod

Hall of Fame Member
Jun 26, 2004
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Is all of coastal BC vulnerable to tsunamis from a megathrust earthquake?
No. Just the coast exposed to the open Pacific is vulnerable to damaging tsunamis waves. The areas vulnerable to tsunamis are indicated in the red-tabbed pages of the telephone books published for the coastal communities of British Columbia.

http://www.pgc.nrcan.gc.ca/seismo/eqinfo/q-a.htm

James bay and victoria are not vunerable to tunsami's.
 

hairball

New Member
Jul 25, 2005
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Vancouver
There is a warning that a big one is going to hit either the San Andres Fault and Juan de Fuca plate in the coming week. But due to some corruption of data, it may not be 100% accurate.
 

bevvyd

Electoral Member
Jul 29, 2004
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I'm prepared, I guess. Yeah the family knows who the emergency contact is (not from around here), the generator is in the workshop, but no stupid earthquake kits.
 

hairball

New Member
Jul 25, 2005
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Vancouver
I am not prepared at all, apart from not going to Richmond and Delta, not being caught on any bridges, staying away from False Creek/Spanish Bank/Kits Beach, avoiding downtown because of tons of shattered glasses...., when this big one comes if it does..

http://www.standeyo.com/index1.html
Expected Earthquake, Volcanic or Storm Activity
Until Further Notice
** RED ALERT **
Are YOU Prepared?

August 3, 2005
By Stan Deyo
Home http://standeyo.com

The August 2 RED ALERT is the first of its kind I've ever made in the 9 years of studying seismic event indicators. It is so huge that I almost can't believe my eyes. The importance and severity of this has impressed me more significantly than when I predicted and warned about the coming December 26, 2004 Indonesian events beginning December 22.

For the last 7 days, I've seen indications of a large number of earthquake pressures building across a 2,000-mile long arc in the North Pacific. At first, I thought these indications were a result of large storms so I disregarded them. Until August 2 when a listener (thanks Dan) heard my radio broadcast and emailed information to me, I wasn't able to explain the cause of this discovery.

Below you will see white arrows pointing at this arc of signals that have appeared over the last 7 days. They are heading straight into Mendocino, CA to the area where three tectonic plates meet. Notice on today's image and for 6 days preceding, the clear definition of this phenomenon. It is occurring all along the Mendocino Fault Zone or Ridge. This is a place where the sea floor rises up to within 1,203 yards of sea surface 168 miles west of Mendocino, CA. It's been the subject of a great many technical papers in the world of geology and seismicity.

In addition to the Mendocino Fault, another problematic fault, the Murray Fracture Zone, lies directly south of it and joins the Mendocino at both ends. This is where the major activity and area of concern is today.

August 2, news came to us of the collapse of the resurgent dome at Mt. St. Helens. There have been a number of small earthquakes in the range of 3.0 over the last 2 weeks at Mt. St. Helens. Scientists monitoring this claim to be a loss to explain the cause.

Depending on how large and how many seismic events release along the Mendocino Ridge in the near future, where it connects to California could trigger releases not only to the San Andreas Fault map (and San Andreas photo), but also the Juan De Fuca Plate. Juan de Fuca is the only major zone on the great Ring of Fire around the Pacific that hasn't seen a major seismic event in the last 50 years. I don't need to explain the implications of such an event. When this occurs, it will be one of the greatest catastrophes in America history.

HOWEVER, since I have never seen an event of this size in the making, I don't know if it will back off and come back again several times before releasing. All I am sure of is that it's a unique event in my 9 years of monitoring these seismic indicators.

At the very least, you should be sure your emergency stocks of food, water and medicines are what they should be for such an event. We will continue to monitor this situation and are already warning on radio broadcasts. It has the potential to produce enormous tidal waves throughout the Pacific Basic.
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Stan's analysis shows areas of possible earthquake or volcanic activity, or extreme storm conditions for the next 1 to 5 days. Pay particular attention to areas marked by white circles. The continuous yellow line denotes plate tectonic boundaries as well as the Ring of Fire. Go to the raw data map where it is easier to see the areas of concern. Go to Stan's earthquake map archives.

DEYO NOTES: For earthquake maps, see the USGS "shake maps" (click anywhere on the global map for a closer view). For quakes USGS may not list, go to the European-Mediterranean Seismological Center's map and scroll to the bottom of the page for a global view. You can compare these maps for the next 5 days to Stan's NCODA maps, to see the hits of his seismic target zones (white circles).

Earthquake lists can viewed at EMCS and at USGS.

Ecuador's Geophysics Institute at the National Polytechnic School, does not list quakes on a daily basis as does the USGS and other entities, but when there are significant events, they post them in PDFs.
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Disclaimer: Some of the forecast stress areas can be in error up to 30% due to cloud cover variations and false signals from buoys.

http://www.standeyo.com/Reports/041222.EQ.warning/EQ_pics/050803.NCODA.jpg
 

Cosmo

House Member
Jul 10, 2004
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Victoria, BC
RE: Are You Prepared for

Yi. Scarey. But still, it's worth the view of Beacon Hill Park and the ocean to risk living here in James Bay! ;) Better than the knowledge I'm going to certainly freeze my ass off for 6 months of the year in the safety of the interior!
 

hairball

New Member
Jul 25, 2005
36
0
6
Vancouver
This guy predicted the major El Nino events in 1997-1998 and posted his earthquake predictions on Thursday, 23 December 2005 which saw 8.1 quake shook the region on Friday, followed by a 7.2 that hit New Zealand and a 8.9 that reaped through Indonesia on 26 Dec.