I'm not sure how long this will be up, but CBC is using this poll tracker
With nine weeks to go, the Ontario election is Doug Ford's to lose
Follow the trends of the upcoming provincial election campaign with the Ontario Poll Tracker
- …ric Grenier ∑ CBC News
If the election were being held today, Doug Ford and the Progressive Conservatives very likely would form the next government of Ontario.
But the election will not be held today. It'll happen on June 7 — and between now and then, the Ontario Poll Tracker will follow the trends in public opinion as voters in Ontario decide who they will place at the helm of the country's most populous province.
The new Ontario Poll Tracker is an aggregation of all publicly released polls — an average that is weighted by a poll's date (newer ones are given more weight) and sample size (bigger ones are given more weight), and by the pollster's track record (better ones are given more weight).
Aggregating polls has the benefit of following the overall trend rather than focusing on the differences between one poll and the next — differences that often can be chalked up to methodology and margins of error, rather than any specific event in a campaign or an actual shift in public opinion.
But when many polls are saying the same thing, it makes it easier to discern the overall trend. And currently, that trend appears to be in the PCs' favour.
According to the Poll Tracker, the Ontario PCs currently stand at 42.1 per cent support, putting them well ahead of their rivals. Kathleen Wynne's Liberals trail with 27.2 per cent, followed by the New Democrats at 23.4 per cent and the Greens at 5.7 per cent.
With nine weeks to go, the Ontario election is Doug Ford's to lose | CBC News