Right now, the front runners are Ignatieff and Dion. They both have a good chance. However, I must say, Ignatieff would be the best bet for the party right now. Dion is also good, he is not a rookie mp like Ignatieff, but he ultimately, has those ties with Chretien and those people. The Liberal party, right now, is in a stage where they need to look past the Chretien-Martin people, so it can be reconstructed. As one of you mentioned, he has his connections there, being a former Chretien cabinet minister. This will just lead to more internal politics with him leading, between the chretien liberals and the other liberals. The same old tune will be played out by the Chretien people. The main crooks of the Liberal party are the old ones, the good ol' Chretien liberals. Unfortunately, some of them are still in the party and choose not to give others a chance, for the betterment of the party.
Ignatieff can send the party back in the right direction. Paul Martin was more of a corporate liberal, as was John Turner. We havent had a proper non-corporate left liberal leader since Trudeau, and look at what has happened to the liberal party. Ignatieff can do the job successfully, even though he is a rookie mp, and reconstruct the party and look forward from the martin-chretien era. He does have the intellectual ability.
Ignatieff is pretty weak on the whole. Here is a man who wants Canada to burst forth in the world, to step up shall we say. However, is he electable? Sure he is smart has a good pedigree in human rights has some interesting ideas but, also comes with considerable baggage. His comments about Ukrainians, of which there are many in this country will win him no support in Manitoba, Alberta and Saskatchewan, support for W. and the Iraq war and his less than stellar residency status would make him an easy target in any rough and tumble election campaign. Can you imagine a PM Ignatieff trying to fight a referendum? The question would be asked; "well PM Ignatieff, if Canada is such a marvellous palce to live why then did you spend half your life in the States?"
Well, firstly, Stephane Dion would NOT do well in the west either so I dont see the point. Ignatieff wants to take the Liberal party out of its current state, and bring it to the definition and run it according to the political theory of liberalism. He will do a good job with that, because he is smart. The fact that he was smart, and went to study abroad in ivy league universities like Harvard and Oxford, doesnt make him hate Canada any less. Look at our last conservative prime minister, Kim Campbell, she was teaching at the same Harvard faculty for a while too. He attended Upper Canada college, and went to University of Toronto also...? The point is, he would do a great job leading the liberals out of this political mess and Stephane Dion, although very good, will just make the image worse because of his Chretien ties. Its time to end the Chretien-Martin era, its time for the liberals to rejuvinate. Ignatieff can do that.