Canada's Federal Election Polls


Liberalman
Free Thinker
#91
April 13

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 13th (n=1,201; committed voters only n=1019). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).

Canada (n=1020 committed voters)
Conservative 38.7% (-0.2)
Liberal 28.8% (-2.3)
NDP 18.6% (+0.3)
Bloc Quebecois 9.0% (+1.5)
Green 3.7% (+0.6)

*Undecided 15.0% (-0.2)
 
petros
#92
They phoned again last night....and again I lied and said I'm voting Conservative.
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#93
Quote: Originally Posted by petros View Post

They phoned again last night....and again I lied and said I'm voting Conservative.

That should work well..................as long as you don't start believing your lies.
 
petros
+1
#94
I'd never lie to myself to begin with JLM.

Quote:

This above all; to thine own self be true, and it must follow, as the night the day, thou canst not then be false to any man.

Willy

 
damngrumpy
No Party Affiliation
#95
Again and I have said it before, I believe the Conservatives have peaked in the race.
This demonstrates the public does not want to give anyone a majority this time.
Liberals are consistent and more people are looking at Layton than ever before.
No I am not saying the NDP will be the official opposition its just that people are no
longer afraid to vote NDP as opposed to Liberal. The Greens are pretty much a
spent force in my opinion. May couldn't lead a dog to a lamp post or fire hydrant.
Undecideds are still fairly high and that does not bode well for the governing party
in this kind of an election, there peak numbers were in those undecideds in my
opinion. We will know more by the end of next week as the undecideds begin to
shrink. Anyway I have been invited to give analysis again on Radio in Kelowna on
AM 1150 news talk. Should be an interesting night.
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#96
Now I am in a real quandary, as I've been saying here all along that Canada would do best with another Conservative minority and economically and financially I think that is still the case. However my view of Harper has suddenly dropped from moderate contempt to absolute disgust after reading what the bastard did to Helena Guergis. I know politics is a cut throat vicious game, but you don't do what he did to another human being and stand there with that supercilious smug look on his face. I can't stomach Ignatieff, so I may have to start taking a hard look at Tallyman Jack, hoping he would get in with a one seat minority. One thing for sure he'd try hard for the first few months. Tonight I'm confused.
 
Liberalman
Free Thinker
#97
April 14

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 14th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1020. *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).

Canada (n=1017 committed voters)
Conservative 38.8% (+0.1)
Liberal 28.8% (NC)
NDP 19.2% (+0.6)
Bloc Quebecois 8.5% (-0.5)
Green 3.4% (-0.3)

*Undecided 15.3% (+0.3)
 
petros
#98
I think that is the highest the NDP have ever been ever after the BC potheads joined the party last time.
 
Cliffy
Free Thinker
+1
#99
Quote: Originally Posted by JLM View Post

Now I am in a real quandary, as I've been saying here all along that Canada would do best with another Conservative minority and economically and financially I think that is still the case. However my view of Harper has suddenly dropped from moderate contempt to absolute disgust after reading what the bastard did to Helena Guergis. I know politics is a cut throat vicious game, but you don't do what he did to another human being and stand there with that supercilious smug look on his face. I can't stomach Ignatieff, so I may have to start taking a hard look at Tallyman Jack, hoping he would get in with a one seat minority. One thing for sure he'd try hard for the first few months. Tonight I'm confused.

Most people who have been living under the illusion that there are only two evils to vote for would be confused when presented with the possibility of a third choice. Nobody has thought the NDP would ever had a chance to form a federal government, but the disgust with both Liberals and Conservatives may just make it a possibility. I hope the undecided see that choice and go for it. Jack is a viable alternative to being under the thumb of corporate dictatorship.
 
CDNBear
+1
#100
I love watching all those self proclaimed objective types, come crawling out from under their facades, and prove predictions right.
 
Liberalman
Free Thinker
#101
April 15

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 15th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1020). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).

Canada (n=1003 committed voters)
Conservative 39.0% (+0.2)
Liberal 28.3% (-0.5)
NDP 18.4% (-0.8
Bloc Quebecois 9.6% (+1.1)
Green 3.6% (+0.2)

*Undecided 16.4% (+1.1)
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#102
Quote: Originally Posted by Liberalman View Post

April 15

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 15th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1020). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).

Canada (n=1003 committed voters)
Conservative 39.0% (+0.2)
Liberal 28.3% (-0.5)
NDP 18.4% (-0.8
Bloc Quebecois 9.6% (+1.1)
Green 3.6% (+0.2)

*Undecided 16.4% (+1.1)

It's a little disturbing that the Conservatives figures are rising since it was revealed what the bastard to to Helena Guergis. Makes one wonder has happened to decency and morality.
 
Liberalman
Free Thinker
#103
Quote: Originally Posted by JLM View Post

It's a little disturbing that the Conservatives figures are rising since it was revealed what the bastard to to Helena Guergis. Makes one wonder has happened to decency and morality.



Helena is a woman married to a visible minority Jaffer who lost his Alberta seat to the NDP.

The Reform Conservatives are all about traditional religious values where a woman should be seen and not heard.
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#104
Quote: Originally Posted by Liberalman View Post


Helena is a woman married to a visible minority Jaffer who lost his Alberta seat to the NDP.

The Reform Conservatives are all about traditional religious values where a woman should be seen and not heard.

Religious values maybe but are they Christian values?
 
YukonJack
Conservative
+1
#105
Remember this on May 3rd, 2011:

If only it were so!

THIS IS A NON-PARTISAN JOKE THAT CAN BE ENJOYED BY All PARTIES! NOT ONLY THAT-- it is POLITICALLY CORRECT!!

While walking down the street one day a "Member of Parliament" is tragically hit by a truck and dies.

His soul arrives in heaven and is met by St. Peter at the entrance.

'Welcome to heaven,' says St. Peter. 'Before you settle in, it seems there is a problem. We seldom see a high official around these parts, you see, so we're not sure what to do with you.'

'No problem, just let me in, 'says the man.

'Well, I'd like to, but I have orders from higher up. What we'll do is have you spend one day in hell and one in heaven. Then you can choose where to spend eternity'.
'Really, I've made up my mind. I want to be in heaven,' says the MP.

'I'm sorry, but we have our rules.'

And with that, St. Peter escorts him to the elevator and he goes down, down, down to hell. The doors open and he finds himself in the middle of a green golf course. In the distance is a clubhouse and standing in front of it are all his friends and other politicians who had worked with him.

Everyone is very happy and in evening dress. They run to greet him, shake his hand, and reminisce about the good times they had while getting rich at the expense of the people.

They play a friendly game of golf and then dine on lobster, caviar and champagne.

Also present is the devil, who really is a very friendly & nice guy who has a good time dancing and telling jokes. They are having such a good time that before he realizes it, it is time to go.

Everyone gives him a hearty farewell and waves while the elevator rises....

The elevator goes up, up, up and the door reopens on heaven where St. Peter is waiting for him.

'Now it's time to visit heaven.'

So, 24 hours pass with the MP joining a group of contented souls moving from cloud to cloud, playing the harp and singing. They have a good time and, before he realises it, the 24 hours have gone by and St. Peter returns.

'Well, then, you've spent a day in hell and another in heaven. Now choose your eternity'.

The MP reflects for a minute, then he answers: 'Well, I would never have said it before, I mean heaven has been delightful, but I think I would be better off in hell. '

So St. Peter escorts him to the lift and he goes down, down, down to hell.

Now the doors of the lift open and he's in the middle of a barren land covered with waste and rubbish.

He sees all his friends, dressed in rags, picking up the trash and putting it in black bags as more rubbish falls from above.

The devil comes over to him and puts his arm around his shoulder. 'I don't understand, 'stammers the MP'. Yesterday I was here and there was a golf course and clubhouse, and we ate lobster and caviar, drank champagne, and danced and had a great time. Now there's just a wasteland full of rubbish and my friends look miserable.

What happened? '

The devil looks at him, smiles and says, ' Yesterday we were campaigning.. ...

Today you voted.'
 
barney
#106
Not bad.

Here's a partisan one:


One man asks another, "who you gonna vote for?"

The other man says, "I'm voting for Jack."

The man asks, "why's that?"

The other man answers, "because he's different."

The man then asks, "what makes him different?"

The other man pauses to think for a moment and replies, "he's the one with a crutch."

(Yeah it's cheap but what can I say, I made it up just now.)


In truth, it's not fair to mark the NDP as the lesser of three evils because there really is a notable difference, despite their share of black sheep, if only that they don't represent elite interests (but they also won't oppose said interests). But the fact is that generally they are as mediocre as the competition in terms of the larger picture. Now, when it comes to poverty, the NDP will at the very least not exacerbate the problem, which could mean the difference between life and death for some. But if you're not poor, you won't see a big improvement; if you're rich it just means you can expect fewer favours. Although it'd be nice to have a true political alternative, it presently doesn't exist.
 
damngrumpy
No Party Affiliation
#107
Loose Cannons roll back and forth in and out of the gun funnel positions, Jaffers and
his wife, they are both loose cannons that roll up and down the deck of the ship.
If you look at the polls over all, they are slowly telling us a bit of a story but there are too
many undecideds just yet. I think the Tories will drop a little yet. The Liberals are in a
no surge position, they have reached their ceiling for the most part, maybe one or two
percent but their campaign does not inspire the masses.
It is looking more and more like Jack Layton is climbing in the polls, I don't think it will
be enough to become the official opposition but they well could cost the Liberals the
brass ring. In the Maritimes the NDP is eating away at the Liberals, and making some
inroads in Tory territory. It is not important to be the outright winner, all you have to do is
split the vote the right way and come up the middle.
Ontario is settling down and I think the Tories will be disappointed on election night, as the
Liberals and NDP will continue to hold there in my opinion.
Quebec, there is a different story. The NDP is of course, making some gains in that part
of the country. Some are saying Jack stole the French debate from the Liberals. the other
problem is that if the Bloc vote becomes a little soft the NDP could make some inroads at
the expense of the Tories.
Out west same old on the Prairie, NDP will perhaps take one or two from the Tories but
not much change there. In BC it is a two way fight between the New Democrats and the
Conservatives and I think we will see some surprises.
In the end likely a slim minority for the Tories, with an increased role for the NDP at the
expense of the Liberals.
After the election, the Conservatives, Liberals and New Democrats will be looking for new
leadership and direction for the country.
 
Liberalman
Free Thinker
#108
April 16

The numbers in parentheses denote the change from the three day rolling average of the Nanos Nightly Tracking ending on April 16th (n=1,200; committed voters only n=1003). *Undecided represents respondents who are not committed voters (n=1,200).

Canada (n=991 committed voters)
Conservative 39.8% (+0.8
Liberal 29.8% (+1.5)
NDP 17.4% (-1.0)
Bloc Quebecois 8.6% (-1.0)
Green 3.4% (-0.2)

*Undecided 17.4% (+1.0)
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#109
Quote: Originally Posted by damngrumpy View Post

Loose Cannons roll back and forth in and out of the gun funnel positions, Jaffers and
his wife, they are both loose cannons that roll up and down the deck of the ship.
If you look at the polls over all, they are slowly telling us a bit of a story but there are too
many undecideds just yet. I think the Tories will drop a little yet. The Liberals are in a
no surge position, they have reached their ceiling for the most part, maybe one or two
percent but their campaign does not inspire the masses.
It is looking more and more like Jack Layton is climbing in the polls, I don't think it will
be enough to become the official opposition but they well could cost the Liberals the
brass ring. In the Maritimes the NDP is eating away at the Liberals, and making some
inroads in Tory territory. It is not important to be the outright winner, all you have to do is
split the vote the right way and come up the middle.
Ontario is settling down and I think the Tories will be disappointed on election night, as the
Liberals and NDP will continue to hold there in my opinion.
Quebec, there is a different story. The NDP is of course, making some gains in that part
of the country. Some are saying Jack stole the French debate from the Liberals. the other
problem is that if the Bloc vote becomes a little soft the NDP could make some inroads at
the expense of the Tories.
Out west same old on the Prairie, NDP will perhaps take one or two from the Tories but
not much change there. In BC it is a two way fight between the New Democrats and the
Conservatives and I think we will see some surprises.
In the end likely a slim minority for the Tories, with an increased role for the NDP at the
expense of the Liberals.
After the election, the Conservatives, Liberals and New Democrats will be looking for new
leadership and direction for the country.


Watch for the Conservatives squeaking in with a slim majority (God Forbid)
 
Colpy
Conservative
#110
Quote: Originally Posted by JLM View Post

Watch for the Conservatives squeaking in with a slim majority (God Forbid)

ThreeHundredEight.com which does analysis on a number of polls, by region, is now predicting 149 seats for the CPC. They were predicting 155, a majority.

I'm just fricken' depressed, as I am convinced that anything less than a CPC majority will spell complete disaster for Canada.

Dammit, I can't STAND the idea of Count Iggy behind the wheel, with Jack in the backseat, and Gilles riding shotgun, screaming "faster faster" in the Count's ear while we head for a cliff...........

Well, at least we'll get it over with.
 
#juan
No Party Affiliation
#111
Quote: Originally Posted by Colpy View Post

ThreeHundredEight.com which does analysis on a number of polls, by region, is now predicting 149 seats for the CPC. They were predicting 155, a majority.

I'm just fricken' depressed, as I am convinced that anything less than a CPC majority will spell complete disaster for Canada.

Dammit, I can't STAND the idea of Count Iggy behind the wheel, with Jack in the backseat, and Gilles riding shotgun, screaming "faster faster" in the Count's ear while we head for a cliff...........

Well, at least we'll get it over with.


Why would that be Colpy? Harper has been running a minority govt. for a while now, and because he has a minority, he hasn't been able to do the damage he could with a majority.

Why doesn't Harper tell us what the ten billion dollars in service cuts are going to be? Why has he kept it secret?

Every Conservative majority government has been a disaster from Diefenbaker on.

Remember, Harper was handed a surplus and now we have the biggest deficit we've ever had.........Even worse than Mulroney...
 
Colpy
Conservative
#112
Quote: Originally Posted by #juan View Post


Why would that be Colpy? Harper has been running a minority govt. for a while now, and because he has a minority, he hasn't been able to do the damage he could with a majority.

Why doesn't Harper tell us what the ten billion dollars in service cuts are going to be? Why has he kept it secret?

Every Conservative majority government has been a disaster from Diefenbaker on.

Remember, Harper was handed a surplus and now we have the biggest deficit we've ever had.........Even worse than Mulroney...

Yep.

And the opposition demanded the deficit, and passed every budget.

You want to see damage?

DON'T give Harper a majority, watch the coalition bloom despite the Count's hedged promises.....and see the country completely ****ed by the BQ.

I can live with the Liberals in gov't, God knows I have for decades, I could live with the Libs/NDP.....at least they give some lip service to the idea of our nation.....but the Bloc????

OMG!!!!
 
petros
#113
Quote: Originally Posted by Colpy View Post

ThreeHundredEight.com which does analysis on a number of polls, by region, is now predicting 149 seats for the CPC. They were predicting 155, a majority.

I'm just fricken' depressed, as I am convinced that anything less than a CPC majority will spell complete disaster for Canada.

Dammit, I can't STAND the idea of Count Iggy behind the wheel, with Jack in the backseat, and Gilles riding shotgun, screaming "faster faster" in the Count's ear while we head for a cliff...........

Well, at least we'll get it over with.

Don't be depressed about Iggy. You should be depressed about being repressed. Changing the party won't change the repression. Never has, never will.
 
TenPenny
+3
#114
You see, everything bad that Harper did in the last few years is the fault of the opposition.

By the same token, Harper can't take credit for anything good, because, in the words of Colpy, it was demanded by the opposition. So, the great government we've had for the last few years is, in fact, a Liberal / NDP / Bloc thing, so we should, in all honestly, vote Liberal or NDP or Bloc to reward the opposition for doing such a good job running the country.
 
petros
#115
If you love your country...


you would have gotten off your ass years ago and stopped the NAU.
 
mentalfloss
#116
Quote: Originally Posted by TenPenny View Post

You see, everything bad that Harper did in the last few years is the fault of the opposition.

By the same token, Harper can't take credit for anything good, because, in the words of Colpy, it was demanded by the opposition. So, the great government we've had for the last few years is, in fact, a Liberal / NDP / Bloc thing, so we should, in all honestly, vote Liberal or NDP or Bloc to reward the opposition for doing such a good job running the country.

 
Colpy
Conservative
#117
Quote: Originally Posted by TenPenny View Post

You see, everything bad that Harper did in the last few years is the fault of the opposition.

By the same token, Harper can't take credit for anything good, because, in the words of Colpy, it was demanded by the opposition. So, the great government we've had for the last few years is, in fact, a Liberal / NDP / Bloc thing, so we should, in all honestly, vote Liberal or NDP or Bloc to reward the opposition for doing such a good job running the country.

Nice try...

Except I wasn't blaming it on the opposition, I was simply pointing out that they were part of the problem.

Major difference.
 
petros
+1
#118
Quote: Originally Posted by Colpy View Post

I was simply pointing out that they were part of the problem.

Major difference.

So it's a team effort in the end of Canadian sovereignty?
 
wulfie68
No Party Affiliation
+1
#119
Colpy does raise a valid point that few seem to want to concede: in a minority parliament, the opposition always has the final say. Thats why Canadians are headed to the polls for the 4th time in 7 years.

I still shake my head at the "fiscal conservatives" who want to bag on Harper for the deficit that was run and say its following a historical trend by his party.

a) Trudeau created our initial deficit.
b) Mulroney didn't eliminate and his deficit numbers were higher in terms of absolute dollars but they were a lower % of GDP, they included debt servicing costs that the Trudeau years saddled us with and he also implemented the means for Canada to grow out of the deficit (the GST, CAFTA and NAFTA)
c) Harper's deficit is a result of emergency measures to deal with a financial crisis that was the worst since the 30s... and the opposition parties attacked the Conservatives for NOT DOING ENOUGH

Now couple that with the reality on Healthcare (the Liberals in majority were responsible for cutting health transfers to the provinces and funding for training doctors) and I wonder how people can attack the CPC on those issues. Criticisms on things like the handling of Jaffer & Guergis, the appointments of senators while saying they want to reform the senate, environmental issues (although again Liberal supporters should really not want to throw stones...), mandatory sentencing laws, hell even on our foreign affairs and Afghanistan if you don't believe we should uphold our treaty obligations to NATO, I can understand.
 
JLM
No Party Affiliation
#120
Quote: Originally Posted by wulfie68 View Post

Colpy does raise a valid point that few seem to want to concede: in a minority parliament, the opposition always has the final say. Thats why Canadians are headed to the polls for the 4th time in 7 years.

I still shake my head at the "fiscal conservatives" who want to bag on Harper for the deficit that was run and say its following a historical trend by his party.

a) Trudeau created our initial deficit.
b) Mulroney didn't eliminate and his deficit numbers were higher in terms of absolute dollars but they were a lower % of GDP, they included debt servicing costs that the Trudeau years saddled us with and he also implemented the means for Canada to grow out of the deficit (the GST, CAFTA and NAFTA)
c) Harper's deficit is a result of emergency measures to deal with a financial crisis that was the worst since the 30s... and the opposition parties attacked the Conservatives for NOT DOING ENOUGH

Now couple that with the reality on Healthcare (the Liberals in majority were responsible for cutting health transfers to the provinces and funding for training doctors) and I wonder how people can attack the CPC on those issues. Criticisms on things like the handling of Jaffer & Guergis, the appointments of senators while saying they want to reform the senate, environmental issues (although again Liberal supporters should really not want to throw stones...), mandatory sentencing laws, hell even on our foreign affairs and Afghanistan if you don't believe we should uphold our treaty obligations to NATO, I can understand.

You have it mostly right Wulfie- can any of these naysayers name one country in the free world that gained financial ground during 08-09? While Jaffer sounds like a piece of work, I still think it's reprehensible what Harper did to Guergis. You have a problem with a subordinate you call them into you office and tell them what's on your mind and give them a chance to respond, before calling the cops. Now if he had caught her red handed breaking down the safe with a crowbar, that might be a different story.
 

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