The future will be bright after Brexit


Blackleaf
+3
#1
Brexit, rather than being like a bullet in the temple, will be more of a shot in the arm to stimulate our democratic process, economic trade and international networks...

The future will be bright after Brexit

If ever there was a time to free ourselves from Brussels, it is now.

EWAN GURR
29th January 2020
Spiked



The EU Withdrawal Agreement Act was signed into law last Thursday. And this Friday we fire the starting gun on the transition period, which signals the beginning of our exit from the European Union. This effectively brings to an end three-and-a-half years of democratic defiance and political paralysis.

I personally believe that Brexit, rather than being like a bullet in the temple, will be more of a shot in the arm to stimulate our democratic process, economic trade and international networks. What shocks there may be will be comfortably absorbed by our relatively stable economy. And if the right policies are pursued, we can and will thrive after Brexit.

Now, all the evidence suggests that we were in a bad place a few months ago. The aforementioned political paralysis was obstructing the parliamentary process and strangulating economic growth as the public began to doubt the integrity of the democratic process. I cannot tell you how many I had to try to convince to vote, regardless of their political persuasion, before the General Election, and I believe there is still a blood-soaked tourniquet wrapped around the notion of democracy in this country.

Meanwhile, despite Angela Merkel’s recent claim that ‘Brexit is a wake-up call’, there has been no real self-reflection among Eurocrats, who in recent weeks have only amplified their pronouncements of an EU army, the accession of nations like North Macedonia and Albania, and the introduction of more eye-watering regulations.

Some have said you cannot put a price on democracy, but democracy will not feed my kids or keep my wife and I warm at night. So, in this article, I analyse the opportunities ahead for a globally focused and free-trading nation. I consider the national picture and our economic position alongside our European neighbours. And, lastly, I observe the local landscape, where Brexit is expected to make a lasting material difference.

International trade has been one of the major areas in which the United Kingdom has historically been bound by EU regulations. The past weeks have been an indication of what we can expect going forward. At the UK-Africa Investment Summit recently, prime minister Boris Johnson set out his ambitions for a ‘global Britain’, and for post-Brexit trade with African nations, saying: ‘We are not just a great friend and reliable ally but also the people you should be doing business with.’ With a specific emphasis on the potential created by Brexit in terms of rolling back trade barriers, he added that the UK is ‘also the partner of today, tomorrow and decades to come’.

This was an important shift. When we joined the European Economic Community (EEC) in 1973, our relationships with Commonwealth nations in particular were constricted. Charles de Gaulle, the French president between 1959 and 1969, vetoed UK entry to the EEC in 1963 precisely because we refused to ‘renounce all Commonwealth preferences’. By welding ourselves to the EU, we lamentably impoverished the developing nations we previously traded with for centuries.

In the past year, the United States signed new trade deals with Canada, China and Mexico. A day after the UK-Africa summit, at the World Economic Forum in Davos, US president Donald Trump reaffirmed his desire to negotiate a free-trade deal with the UK. A fifth of our current trade is already with the US, and now we can forge a free-trade deal with the world’s biggest economy.

Trump spoke very warmly of Johnson at the forum, saying: ‘They have a wonderful new prime minister who wants to make a deal.’ In a recent conversation with Brendan O’Neill, economist Liam Halligan said: ‘How mad is it that we, the United Kingdom, have never cut a trade deal with the United States?’ He continued: ‘We don’t have a trade deal with our single biggest country trading partner – [but by] acting alone we can cut that trade deal.’

It is also important to note the extent of trade relationships the UK has already forged since the vote in 2016. Currently, the UK has signed 20 ‘continuity deals’ covering over 50 countries, including Switzerland, Norway and Iceland, as well as Central American and African nations, among a throng of others. Around three quarters of the EU’s external trade deals have already been replicated.

The national context: a resilient economy

Despite economic uncertainty, inward investment to the UK has remained steady. According to United Nations data, Britain retained its position as the the top European recipient of foreign direct investment (FDI) by the end of 2018 (the latest figures available) – holding more inward investment stock than France and Germany combined. Globally, FDI in Britain was behind only the US and China, according to the OECD. In the fortnight following the Conservative election victory, nationwide reports showed growth, as if an economic dam had burst.

It is also hard to ignore the economic complexion of our European neighbours, given how restricted international trade relationships are by EU membership. So, let’s have a look at the three biggest players: Germany’s economic growth reached at a six-year low in 2019 with recession only narrowly avoided; France has undergone several months of stagnation, but just chalked up a quarter of growth; and Italy is still stagnant, growing just 0.3 per cent in the past year.

Once the UK leaves, these nations will become the three biggest net contributors to the EU. France has been beset by months of strikes against pension cuts and Italy is already in a full-blown fiscal crisis. Plus, unlike the UK, which kept its own currency, they have limited control to make changes that might prevent such a crisis, because they are welded to the eurozone and sit under the governance of the European Central Bank (ECB). This prevents them from setting their own monetary policy and interest rates. In October 2019, outgoing president of the ECB Mario Draghi called for even further economic integration and a common eurozone budget.

The local context: cost of living

It was announced at the beginning of January that the first post-Brexit budget would take place on 11 March. Chancellor Sajid Javid is promising a spending spree to support parts of the country that have been left behind. The national living wage will rise in April to £8.72 and there are plans to cut national insurance payments.

Fortunately, the supermarket price war has prevented rocketing food prices, and fuel prices are relatively stable. But, unfortunately, the national living wage still sits well below the real living wage, and none of these pledges address the Tories’ lamentable flagship welfare policy of Universal Credit, which has led to record UK food-bank use.

One of the biggest obstacles to my voting to leave the EU was a career spent working alongside people experiencing poverty, and the fear that I might have been voting for greater levels of poverty. In August 2019, the UK government’s worst-case scenario planning in the event of a No Deal Brexit, entitled Operation Yellowhammer, was leaked to the press. It emphasised concern that disruption to food supplies and potential energy-price increases would mean ‘low income groups will be disproportionately affected’.

I have been at the coalface of austerity. One meeting that most moved me was with a middle-class mum who was so malnourished she could not breastfeed her six-week-old son. I therefore read the document deeply, but felt it projected the same devastation that those on low incomes already experience. In doing so, it also conveniently erased from history the decade of austerity that EU membership did nothing to insulate us from, nor provide us with the economic resilience to ease or end.

The argument that the EU is some kind of economic safety net is a red herring. 1973 was a low point for the UK, with the three-day week, regular power cuts and double-digit inflation. Joining the EEC made sense. But we joined as the oil crisis occurred and brought to an end the economic boom in Europe. During our tenure as an EU member, we have had four recessions and these have had a devastating impact on low-income families.

Before our original leaving date in March 2019, I went to Scotland’s busiest food bank to test the theory that those on the lowest incomes voted to leave, and find out if they were concerned about projected price rises. What fascinated me was that all bar one of the people I met voted to leave. Steve, 47, who had recently been made redundant, told me: ‘I do worry prices will rise, but I also believe we make better decisions when we own the decision-making process and, in the long run, I think we will be fine.’

Conclusion

As we leave the EU this Friday, the current picture is very clear: the economy of the eurozone is stagnant. Meanwhile, the UK economy has maintained slow but steady growth since the vote to leave. Only a third of EU nations are net contributors to the EU budget, and the top third – minus the UK – are in a perilous economic state. The trajectory of the EU is towards further integration, tighter bureaucracy, higher contributions and stricter regulation. What nation in its right mind would want to weld itself to this?

Since we joined the EU, its share of the global economy has shrivelled. It is now half what it was when we joined in 1973. If ever there was a time to leave the EU, to throw off the international shackles and economic protectionism that have stunted our potential for growth, if ever there was a time for us once again to take our place on the world stage, it is now.

Ewan Gurr is a commentator, consultant and columnist for the Evening Telegraph. Follow him on Twitter: @EwanGurr

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...-after-brexit/
Last edited by Blackleaf; Jan 29th, 2020 at 10:26 PM..
 
Mowich
Conservative
+4
#2
Brexit deal cleared by EU Parliament; U.K. set to leave Friday

www.ctvnews.ca/world/brexit-deal-cleared-by-eu-parliament-u-k-set-to-leave-friday-1.4788746


I'll be hoisting a glass tomorrow for Britain as it returns to independence. A great day for democracy.
 
pgs
Free Thinker
+5
#3  Top Rated Post
Quote: Originally Posted by Mowich View Post

Brexit deal cleared by EU Parliament; U.K. set to leave Friday

www.ctvnews.ca/world/brexit-deal-cleared-by-eu-parliament-u-k-set-to-leave-friday-1.4788746


I'll be hoisting a glass tomorrow for Britain as it returns to independence. A great day for democracy.

Great for Britain as they wonít have to help pick up the pieces when the EU folds as it is bound to .
 
Walter
+4
#4
About effing time. Good on the Brits and good on Boris. Hail Britannia.
 
Walter
+3
#5
Brexiteers Don’t Want Democracy; They Want Freedom
https://spectator.org/brexiteers-don...-want-freedom/

Liberty is God's gift to everyone if they have the will to accept it.
 
Tecumsehsbones
#6
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8qrriKcwvlY
 
Blackleaf
+2
#7
Just 24 hours now.
 
Tecumsehsbones
#8
Quote: Originally Posted by Blackleaf View Post

Just 24 hours now.

Got your shades?
 
Blackleaf
#9
Quote: Originally Posted by Tecumsehsbones View Post

Got your shades?

No. I don't have any.
 
Blackleaf
+3
#10


Finally, we have left the European Parliament

Brexit Party MEP Alexandra Phillips reflects on a mad last day in Brussels.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...an-parliament/
 
Blackleaf
+4
#11
A new dawn: The UK finally leaves the EU at 11pm TONIGHT

Boris Johnson will deliver a plea for the country to move on from Brexit on Friday night as the UK finally leaves the EU. In an address to be broadcast shortly before Britain's departure at 11pm, the Prime Minister will insist that Brexit marks 'not an end but a beginning'. And in a sign of the new Government's changed approach, he will convene a symbolic Cabinet meeting this afternoon in Sunderland, the first city to declare for Brexit when the 2016 referendum results came out. Tomorrow night he will stress his belief that the referendum was a vote not just to leave the EU, but also for lasting change in neglected areas of the country. Mr Johnson will describe Brexit as 'the moment when the dawn breaks and the curtain goes up on a new act'. He will go on: 'It is a moment of real national renewal and change. This is the dawn of a new era in which we no longer accept that your life chances - your family's life chances - should depend on which part of the country you grow up in.'


London unfurls the flags for Brexit as the Mall in London towards Buckingham Palace is transformed into a sea of patriotic Red White & Blue


Buildings on the Grand Place pulsate with lights in the red, white and blue of the British flag during a British-themed evening titled 'Brussels Calling' sponsored by the city the day after the European Parliament ratified the Brexit agreement on January 30, 2020 in Brussels, Belgium
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/art...m-TONIGHT.html
 
Blackleaf
+3
#12
It's Brexit Day



A glorious victory for democracy

Brexit is the most stirring political achievement of the postwar period.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...for-democracy/


Brexit: it’s time to seize the day

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...seize-the-day/


The 10 maddest Remainer moments

Brexit Derangement Syndrome has given us no shortage of laughs since 2016.

https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...ainer-moments/







Last edited by Blackleaf; Jan 31st, 2020 at 07:26 AM..
 
Serryah
Free Thinker
+2
#13
Seeing as it is finally happening...


Good luck to the UK.
 
petros
+3
#14
Now maybe Brits will understand why independence was so important to the US, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, India, Rhodesia etc etc etc.
 
taxslave
Free Thinker
+1
#15
Quote: Originally Posted by Blackleaf View Post

No. I don't have any.

Better buy some because your future is about to be much brighter.
 
Blackleaf
+2
#16
Just three hours to go!

Downing Street is to be illuminated in red, white and blue.

The Brexit Party is holding a party in front of Parliament.

And the Government has said there will be a "special surprise" at 11pm.

I'm excited!
 
Blackleaf
+1
#17
Quote: Originally Posted by taxslave View Post

Better buy some because your future is about to be much brighter.

I'll have to buy those that they use to protect their eyes from atomic bomb explosions.
 
Walter
+1
#18
Quote: Originally Posted by Blackleaf View Post

It's Brexit Day

A glorious victory for democracy
Brexit is the most stirring political achievement of the postwar period.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...for-democracy/
Brexit: itís time to seize the day
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...seize-the-day/
The 10 maddest Remainer moments
Brexit Derangement Syndrome has given us no shortage of laughs since 2016.
https://www.spiked-online.com/2020/0...ainer-moments/



Carpe diem.
 
Blackleaf
+1
#19
Dear Mr Juncker itís time to love you and leave EUÖ but weíre no less European

https://www.thesun.co.uk/news/108595...-and-leave-eu/
 
Blackleaf
+2
#20
Revellers around the country get ready to celebrate:

Cake and Rule Britannia for Dudley's Brexit revellers

Sarah Bishop
BBC News



DJ Lauren Walters has a playlist of Big Ben's bongs and Rule Britannia for the stroke of 11:00 GMT, marking the UK's formal withdrawal from the EU.

"And then after that it's partying and celebrating Brexit."

Bill Etheridge and Lauren Walters
BBCCopyright: BBC

Patrons at Sedgley Working Men's Club, in Dudley, will be joined on the dancefloor by former Brexit Party MEP Bill Etheridge - who even brought a cake to mark the celebrations.

"I'm excited," the former West Midlands representative said. "I think we're going to have a great future - free.

"We're going to be able to make our own rules, our own regulations - it's brilliant. There's a bright future ahead."






https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-51324431
 
Blackleaf
+2
#21
Yorkshire celebrations as Brexit bash under way

The party is well and truly under way in Morley, West Yorkshire where Brexiteers are celebrating at an event hosted by Leave MP Andrea Jenkyns.

In the Morley and Outwood constituency, 60% of people voted to leave the EU in the referendum.

***
Brenda, from London, says she is elated.

”I’ve been waiting 40 years for this,” she says.

”It’s one of the best days of my life.”
***



Jessie has come down from Norfolk on the megabus to be at the Parliament Square rally today.

She says she used to support the EU and even worked on campaigns to help MEPs get elected.

But the more she saw of the EU, the more disillusioned she felt, referring to its ”expansionist nature“.

“It’s like the laws of physics - expand, expand, eventually you will fall in on yourself."

But the real clincher she says was reading about children living in one parent families in Eastern Europe because the other had moved to richer European countries to find work.

"I realised I could be eating food picked by one of those parents," she says.

"No-one should benefit off the backs of the poor.“

She says she hopes remainers and Brexiteers will come together now and regrets the divisiveness of the last few years. ”I’ve been called a bigot and a gammon hostess,“ she says. ”But if you look around here we’re just normal people."
***

Flying the flag for Brexit



There's a lot of Union Jacks flying tonight across the country but this might win the prize for being the largest.

It's on display at the big rally in Parliament Square.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/live/uk-politics-51324431
 
Tecumsehsbones
#22
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lLCEUpIg8rE
 
Mowich
Conservative
#23
Watching the countdown on the BBC right now, Blackleaf. Just phoned my British ex-major pal who is also celebrating. Grand day for Britain. Party hearty, eh.
 
Blackleaf
+1
#24
Quote: Originally Posted by Mowich View Post

Watching the countdown on the BBC right now, Blackleaf. Just phoned my British ex-major pal who is also celebrating. Grand day for Britain. Party hearty, eh.

I've just come our of work. I'm rushing home.
 
Blackleaf
+1
#25
Woooo! I'm home. I can see the countdown clock on No10. I'm stocked up on beer. Let the party begin!
 
Blackleaf
+1
#26
Ten minutes! Farage is making a speech to huge cheers at Parliament Square.

The Swedish band Europe have played their hit The Final Countdown.
 
Mowich
Conservative
+1
#27
Quote: Originally Posted by Blackleaf View Post

Woooo! I'm home. I can see the countdown clock on No10. I'm stocked up on beer. Let the party begin!

Can't remember what you think about the BBC, Blackleaf so I hope this won't offend you but I finally had to mute the sound else I would have been throwing things at the TV I got so pissed off with all the negative coverage. Right now they are interviewing a bunch of the remainers. Now its a bit on the Scots singing Auld Lang Syne and bemoaning this great day. Sheesh.........what a bunch of drivel. Now I know where our Communist Broadcasting Network aka cbc gets a lot of their progressive ideas for what they mistakenly think passes for news.



Just over 5 minutes now. Yee Haw!
 
Blackleaf
+1
#28
Quote: Originally Posted by Mowich View Post

Can't remember what you think about the BBC, Blackleaf so I hope this won't offend you but I finally had to mute the sound else I would have been throwing things at the TV I got so pissed off with all the negative coverage. Right now they are interviewing a bunch of the remainers. Now its a bit on the Scots singing Auld Lang Syne and bemoaning this great day. Sheesh.........what a bunch of drivel. Now I know where our Communist Broadcasting Network aka cbc gets a lot of their progressive ideas for what they mistakenly think passes for news.
Just over 5 minutes now. Yee Haw!

Typical biased BBC, showing its hated for Brexit .

Countdown clock on the White Cliffs of Dover - 2 mins.
 
Mowich
Conservative
#29
3:00




2:00


1:00


10
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3
2
1


Rule Britannia!
 
Blackleaf
+2
#30
Yeeeeaaaahhhhh!!!!!