I've been following the case since before the trial ... uncertain about the guilt or innocence until the trial. At that time, I became convinced of the guilt of all three culprits.
Rudy Guede was born in the Ivory Coast, but he moved to Italy at the age of 5. As a youth, his father returned to the Ivory Coast and Rudy was adopted by a prominent family in Perugia, where the murder occurred. Rudy Guede has admitted to being present during the murder. Because he opted for the "fast track" court hearing, his sentence was automatically reduced to 1/3 the original sentence ... it is a point of law that all suspects that opt for "fast track" have their sentence reduced by 1/3.
There is quite a bit of evidence against Sollecito and Knox, with the biggest problem being that they do not have an alibi. The last known timestamp of them being in his apartment is 8:40 PM. They were watching the movie Amelie, which ran it's course and stopped playing at 9:10 PM. There was no human interaction with the computer from 8:40 until 6 the following morning, when music was accessed. Sollecito and Knox claimed they slept until 10 that morning. They also claimed that they ate dinner late, giving times of 9:30, 10 and 11 PM. Sollecito's father phone at 8:30 and was told that they had just finished dinner. Therefore, the times of 9:30, 10 and 11 are untrue. They have no alibi or explanation for what they were doing between 8:40 and 6 the following morning. The time of death is after 9 PM and before 12:15 AM (when the victim's cell phones hit a cell tower near the garden where they were found the following morning).
The next problematic point is the staged breakin. A roommate's bedroom window was broken. Clothing in that bedroom were ransacked and thrown on the floor. The laptop was taken off the desk and also put on top of the clothing. The glass from the broken window was on top of the laptop and ransacked clothing, leading to the conclusion that first the clothes were put on the floor, then the window was broken ... thus the break in was staged. When exploring who would have a reason to stage the break in, the only possible culprit in Knox.
The cottage was broken into twice after the murder. In both cases, the culprits climbed up over the balcony and in through the kitchen window. This is a logical spot for a break in. The balcony faces away from the main road whereas the window that was broken is clearly visible from the main road.
Next, there are prints that were revealed using luminol that match Knox. The bloody print on the bathmat has been attributed to Sollecito as it is too wide and short for Guede. There are several DNA mixtures of Knox and the victim in the bathroom, hallway and in the bedroom with the broken window. In fact, there is a mixed DNA sample of the victim's blood and Knox DNA in the room with the broken window.
On top of this, we have lies and lies and lies from both Knox and Sollecito. When the knife was found in Sollecito's apartment with the victim's DNA on the blade and Knox DNA on the handle, Sollecito wrote in his diary that he accidentally cut the victim with the knife when she had dinner at his apartment. She had never been to his apartment, so that was an absolute lie. Knox, when questioned by police, accused an innocent man of murder after a 2 hour period of questioning. She then claimed that she was hit and deprived of food and drink during those two hours so she had no choice but to accuse an innocent man of murder. In fact, she had pizza with Sollecito at 10 PM, went to the police station with Sollecito when he was asked to answer a few questions and at 1:45 she had signed a statement accusing an innocent man of murder. She confirmed that statement at 5:45 AM, but neither of those statements were admissable in court. The following day, when she was alone, she requested pen and paper and confirmed that what she said about the innocent man was true. That statement was admissable in court because it was a voluntary statement. For the following two weeks, that man was in jail. At no time did Knox do anything to correct the lie that she told. He was finally released when another man came forward and provided an alibi.
In my opinion, the Public Relations firm hired by Knox's family has done a good job of controlling information in the US media. I have followed the case by reading judge's summaries (it is required that a judge write a summary of the legal decisions) that were translated to English by a group of professional translators that volunteered their time. It's a difficult case because the Italian legal system is quite different than Canadian or US law.
The next hearing is September 5. That is a continuation of the hearings related to the DNA report that was prepared by two Rome academics/experts. The report is very controversial. For example, the experts have alleged that the DNA on the knife blade could be a result of DNA that was left on a testing machine (contamination in the lab), but when questioned the experts admitted that the machine had not been used for 6 days. If I recall correctly, contamination was also alleged with the DNA from the bra clasp. That DNA has been confirmed to match Sollecito, and again it was suggested that the machines were dirty. However, it had been 12 days since any related DNA or evidence from the crime scene had been tested. Thus, contamination in the lab has been put in doubt.
The case could go either way in this appeal, but there is still the Supreme Court ruling. In the case of Guede, it was concluded that he did not act alone.