Re: Does Layton know when to keep his mouth shut?May 1st, 2011
turnout it won't be going in favour of the government. It never does in these situations. I was
talking earlier to some of the news people I know who have been preparing for tomorrow
night. The EKOS poll apparently if you break it down, and make adjustments for Ontario Tory
strength, and the fact it now looks like Quebec could be a sweep for the NDP. It is shaping up
to see almost every riding going orange. In Atlantic Canada the NDP has emerged the clear
leader. In BC the Tories and New Democrats will share the pie, they are dead even in fact some
are now speculating some of the riding's the NDP had outside the Lower Mainland may return to
them. The other interesting note is Manitoba, long considered a bell weather of surprises appears
to be sliding toward the NDP. Ontario is seeing a surge for NDP and close with them the Harper
Conservatives. Layton is going through or did earlier through some of those liberal riding's to
see if they can add to the list.
Adjust some territorial areas with the fact that women and the youth vote which appears to be coming
out in droves is primarily for change and will support the NDP this time.
Now am I holding my breath? No but then some media buffs and pundits are cautiously saying it is
possible depending on voter turnout. If you take the EKOS adjustments into consideration the NDP
and Conservatives are about 2..5 percentage points apart. Now its up to people to go out and vote.
There is a mathematical chance. The NANOS Poll is a two or three day snapshot and is based on
information that on average is two to four days old and the ground is shifting hourly.
The truth is no one knows for sure what Ontario will do and there in lies this election.