Is there one in Canada?
And what the hell is a housing bubble anyway?
Is a foamy housing market a bubble?
An overheated market?
A hot housing market?
An over priced housing market?
A bubbly market?
A constant sellers market?
An unsustainable increase in selling prices year over year?
What the hell is it really?
Next up, who is opposed to defining a bubble real estate market actually as a bubble market?
Pretty much everybody, is the answer.
The real estate agents who are making a killing for performing a mediocre service?
The banks who are making a fortune risk free (CMHC is on the hook for all the risk)?
The Fed Government which sparked a housing boom by forcing the CMHC to back 0/40 mortgages?
The construction industry which feeds off the boom?
The Provincial or Municipal Governments which feed of the construction industry?
The homeowners themselves which honestly want to believe that their properties constantly increase in value and are now worth hundreds upon hundreds of thousands of dollars?
Or how about the young folks looking to buy? ( Obviously they don't want to pay top dollar for a declining value asset).
In my opinon certain cities in Canada certainly do have bubbles.
How the heck can a leaky, black mould infested crack shack of about 700 square feet be worth over a million dollars?
Welcome to Vancouver.
Is it sustainable?
Not if you believe in youth.
Not if you believe in growth.
Not if you believe in equity amongst our future workers and our older generations who sit upon vastly inflated properties.
Here is a link to international housing affordability:
www.demographia.com/dhi-ix2005q3.pdf (external - login to view)
It never actually claims Canada has a housing bubble.
Check out the affordability of housing in Canada.
There is no question that Vancouver is vastly overpriced.
5 times annual earnings is considered unsustainably overpriced on a property (a bubble).
Vancouver single family houses are something like 16 times over annual earnings.
It's completely unsustainable.
And it's bankrupting our youth without them even realizing it's happening.
Vancouver, Victoria and Toronto are heavily into bubble territory.
Kelowna, Edmonton, Calgary, Ottawa and a bunch of other cities are, at the very least, heavily overpriced.
It's OK for me.
I paid my mortgage off.
But believe it or not I actually do worry (somewhat )about our young and future generations.
How the hell do the older generation (like me) figure we should pimp out overpriced housing to our young on the backs of zero or 5% down, 35 or 40 year mortgages at 3 or 4 % interest rates.
Can anyone who reads this over the age of 40 imagine a newly wed couple of, say age 31, buying into a first time mortgage that will not be paid off until the newlyweds are 70 years of age?
On their first property?
Does anyone with the slightest clue actually believe interest rates are going to remain at 3 0r 4% for 30 or 40 years when the historical average is around 7%.
The answer is pretty simple.
In certain cities in Canada it's completely unsustainable.
Just look what happened south of the border.
And not only is it unsustainable, it's actually unfair to our own youth.
The reason for this long winded rant was simply to urge any young or first time buyers to think very carefully about future property purchases.
Property is a home, but it is also an investment.
Consider how much upside it has?
Now consider how much downside it has?