China keeps buying US bonds despite concerns

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BUSINESS

Khaleej Times Online >> News >> BUSINESS
China keeps buying US bonds despite concerns
(AFP)

17 May 2009
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WASHINGTON - China is pumping more money into US Treasury bonds, recent data show, despite concerns expressed in Beijing in recent months over the safety of dollar-linked assets.
[FONT=&quot]Mainland China’s holding of Treasury securities jumped to 767.9 billion dollars in March from 744.2 billion dollars the previous month, according to US Treasury data.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The figure does not include those of Hong Kong, China’s special administration region, which climbed to 78.9 billion dollars from 76.3 billion dollars.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]The statistics showed China sitting comfortably as the top purchaser of Treasury bonds despite years trying to diversify its reserves from the US dollar.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao had expressed rare official concern in March over the safety of Beijing’s huge US bond holdings but in the same month, according to monthly US Treasury data, Beijing scooped up 23.7 billion dollars of Treasuries, the largest inflow since November.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“This flies in the face of the “China is diversifying’ stories,” said Andrew Busch, analyst at BMO Capital Markets, commenting on the fresh Treasury data.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Wen’s concerns came amid frustration in Beijing that the nearly 800 billion dollar huge US stimulus measures to prop up the world’s largest economy could drive down the value of dollar-based assets.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]In addition, China was concerned that a US Federal Reserve move to buy up to 300 billion dollars in long-term US Treasury bonds to ease credit flows could dampen returns on its future bond purchases.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“As much as China is whining about the impact of quantitative easing on the US dollar, their purchases of dollar denominated assets was the strongest since November,” said Kathy Lien, director of currency research at Global Forex Trading.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Being the top holder of US Treasury bonds, China is automatically the largest creditor to the United States.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]It is also the world’s biggest holder of dollar reserves, at nearly two trillion dollars—roughly double that of Japan, and four times more than either Russia or Saudi Arabia.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Note that in first quarter of 2009, China’s holdings of US Treasuries have increased by 40 billion dollars, whereas its foreign exchange reserves have increased by only seven billion dollars, indicating a continued preference for US Treasuries,” said Barclays Capital analyst Chirag Mirani.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Some analysts see the cozy relationship between China’s reliance on US bonds as a relatively safe investment and Washington’s dependence on Chinese financing to bankroll its economy as a potential nightmare.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]They worry that this could delay steps to ease the so called global imbalances driven mainly by America’s sinking current account deficit and China’s soaring surplus, and which they say are among causes of the current global financial turmoil.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Never before has a country as poor as China provided so much financing to a country as rich as the United States, and never before has a country that values its independence as highly as the United States relied so heavily on asingle country’s government for financing,” said a report by the Council on Foreign Relations, a US think tank.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“The longer the United States relies on Chinese financing to avoid necessary adjustment—one where it pays for its imports with exports rather than debt—the harder the transition is likely to be,” said the council’s experts Brad Setser and Arpana Pandey.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]“Creating a more financially balanced global economy will also be difficult so long as China’s government continues to peg tightly to the dollar and add large sums to its foreign assets,” they said.[/FONT]
[FONT=&quot]Some US groups charge China is deliberately keeping its currency weak against the dollar to keep its exports competitive and make huge trade gains.[/FONT]

(AFP)

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captain morgan

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Mar 28, 2009
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It's in the Chinese gvt's best interests to keep floating the US dollar. When the greenback devalues on the international markets, the value of their holdings drops accordingly.... There is another possibility however, the US gvt made a sweetheart deal with the Chinese gvt to buy US T-Bills at a discount in order to fund Obama's socialist dreams.
 

normbc9

Electoral Member
Nov 23, 2006
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I think these are a Bearer type Bond where when presented it constitutes a demand for immediate payment. Maybe trhe Chinese are planning to show up at the Treasury Department with a box full of Bonds and demand immediate payment? If so, they may have the US financial system sputtering even worse that we see now.
 

lone wolf

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Nov 25, 2006
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I think these are a Bearer type Bond where when presented it constitutes a demand for immediate payment. Maybe trhe Chinese are planning to show up at the Treasury Department with a box full of Bonds and demand immediate payment? If so, they may have the US financial system sputtering even worse that we see now.

8O Now, wouldn't THAT be some propagandic coup?
 

dumpthemonarchy

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Jan 18, 2005
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Despite buying US T-Bills, China keeps talking up a new world reserve currency- which is what it really wants long term as it encourages multipolar geopolitics. It will do its duty in the short term for its own needs. As the world economy improves it will likely buy less US bonds until they have divested themselves. Two to twenty years I'd say. Not long really for a revamped world order.

First it was the euro, then China, long term, the US dollar will have constant competition going forward. Aimless, witless presidents like Bush will ensure a steep slide, smarter presidents like Obama can make the slide a possible incline.