Fracking and earthquakes: Is there a connection?

B00Mer

Keep Calm and Carry On
Sep 6, 2008
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www.getafteritmedia.com
Fracking and earthquakes: Is there a connection?



May Mickelow had just settled into her shift as night auditor at the Foxwood Inn in Fox Creek, Alta., when she felt the rumble.

"You didn't hear anything, but you could feel the earth move underneath your feet quite strongly, actually," said Mickelow. "I felt dizzy, as if I was suddenly on uneven footing."

Some hotel guests descended to the main floor, asking Mickelow if she had felt the shaking. She had been through earthquakes before, but not here.

She'd experienced them while living on Vancouver Island, which is prone to quakes. But Fox Creek had never felt anything like the magnitude 4.4 tremor that hit the night of Jan. 22.

The town of Fox Creek owes its existence to the oil and gas industry. It sits atop the Duvernay Shale Basin, a massive underground rock formation containing a wealth of oil and natural gas.

While the link between earthquakes and fracking remains a sensitive topic in energy industry circles, there is a growing body of science on the subject.

Just weeks before the Fox Creek quake, British Columbia's oil and gas commission drew a definitive link between fracking and 231 seismic events in the northeast of the province, at a natural gas field known as the Montney Trend.

Honn Kao, a research scientist with the Geological Survey of Canada in Victoria, B.C., has no doubt that human activities triggered the earthquakes.

"The key issue is how big is the induced earthquake and when is the biggest induced earthquake to happen. I think that is the remaining question," said Kao, who is among a group of scientists leading research into industry-induced tremors.

Science links fracking and earthquakes

Situated on the main highway linking Edmonton and Grande Prairie, Fox Creek is an industrial town filled with branch plants for energy companies and hotels, such as the Foxwood Inn, that cater to those who travel to work at the oil and gas sites that dot the landscape.

In the days after the quake, Mickelow was surprised by the muted reaction to the shaking.

"I was quite shocked that nobody seemed to be discussing it or seemed to be upset about it," she said. "I think most people, from what I gather, are afraid for their jobs, which is understandable, but I don't quite understand why people aren't voicing their concern."

In regions like northeastern B.C. and the foothills of Alberta, there is so much fracking going on that it's difficult, if not impossible, to pinpoint which project caused a quake. That's why research is key, notes Kao, adding there are substantial public safety and economic issues at play.

"You don't want to take the public safety solely and ignore the economic benefit," he says, "but on the other hand, it is certainly wrong if you want to take the economic benefit totally as your priority and ignore public safety."

While industry is still reluctant to publicly discuss the issue, some executives are acknowledging the link. Among them is Michael Binnion, CEO of Calgary-based Questerre Energy, which is fracking in the Montney Trend.

He explained that fracking is intended to create disturbances underground in order to release gas from shale formations.

"The whole idea is that we are trying to induce a seismic event, and it would be a pretty poor frack job that didn't accomplish that," he said.

But sometimes there are unintended consequences.

"Are we somehow triggering bigger seismic events than what we intend to? I think really that's been more what the discussion is," Binnion notes. "Are we doing that, if we're doing that, how often are we doing it if we're doing it, and how big is it?"

Those are questions regulators in B.C. and Alberta are trying to sort out.

What causes quakes

Seismologist Ryan Schultz has been watching the increasing number of tremors on monitors at his office at the Alberta Geological Survey. He says earthquakes happen when fracking or the deep well disposal of wastewater intersect with naturally occurring fault lines.

"You have a pre-existing fault that's already in the ground. They may not know about it, because faults are quite difficult to detect."

He explains that fault lines deep underground may be ready to slip when human activity gives them the nudge. The result is an earthquake.

"Essentially, just adding this pressure into the fault hydraulically opens it, and makes it more likely to slip on that."

The size of the existing fault determines the scale of the earthquake.

New regulations

One month after the Fox Creek quake, Alberta's Energy Regulator brought in new rules for fracking in the Duvernay zone. It calls on industry to assess the risk of causing earthquakes, and to be prepared to respond to them.

The response would be triggered by a quake exceeding magnitude 2. A magnitude 4 earthquake would trigger an order to cease fracking operations. The regulation is similar to one in British Columbia, but so far only applies to the Fox Creek region in Alberta. The AER says it could be expanded if earthquakes become a problem in other regions.

So far, fracking-induced earthquakes have caused little or no damage in Canada. B.C. and Alberta have each recorded tremors of 4.4 in magnitude, which are considered minor.

Quakes above magnitude 6 are more serious and can cause a lot of damage in populated areas. Nowhere in the world has an earthquake of that level been linked with fracking.

Still, May Mickelow worries about what might be coming for Fox Creek.

"We have a number of older buildings in town that house quite a few people," she says, pointing out some apartment buildings and the local school, which has more than four hundred students.

"My own building is probably 40 or 50 years old and I don't think [those structures] were built to withstand earthquakes."

source: Fracking and earthquakes: Is there a connection? - Technology & Science - CBC News

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In memory of MentalFloss.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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Quakes in an areas created by uplift and subduction? I find that hard to believe.

Did you know rocks float on dirt?
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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No. the voids that oil is found in is created as the crust cracks to cover the larger area it has to as magma pushes it farther away from the core.
 

Cliffy

Standing Member
Nov 19, 2008
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I can't imagine how fracturing the Earth's mantle is going to end well. It is beyond stupid and short sighted to think humans can do whatever they please to the planet and that there will be no consequences.
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
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The mantle is 70km down.

Best quit now....

P.S.

Eastern Ontario and Quebec and the West Coast aren't the only parts of Canada that have an earthquake risk. Research shows that while the probability is quite low, Saskatchewan and Manitoba also have some risk of experiencing a large quake, said Dr. John Adams of the Geological Survey of Canada.
Adams spoke at the Canadian Seismic Research Network's Workshop on Seismic Hazards and Microzonation in Toronto on Jan. 13.
"There are some earthquakes in the middle of Canada," he said. "We see earthquakes in Saskatchewan relatively often, maybe five times a year. We had a Magnitude-5.3 earthquake there in 1909.
"We don't think anywhere in Canada is safe from earthquakes. We just think the probabilities are low
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Oil and water don't create their own voids in the crust. A fracking well can't be shut down as the pipe is not a closed system.

Under Greenland it is 80K, you saying the mantle can't melt ice at that distance yet the sun can heat the rock up so it melts the ice? (please say yes as it is a slow day)
 

Walter

Hall of Fame Member
Jan 28, 2007
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Fracking ain't got nuthin to do with Earthquakes but the primitives keep wishing it does.
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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Red Deer AB
That is true Walter but the tiny quakes do exist so there has to be a cause and so far there are lots of audible booms and houses shaking and that means the cause if below their feet no matter what the cause is. The frost quakes is one of the 'less reliable' theories as frost has been around for a long time and the shaking and booms were not there. Frost on natural ground might get 6 ft deep on a cold winter, a well traveled road would see it get twice that deep

Permafrost - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Since all glaciers are warmed at their base by geothermal heat, temperate glaciers, which are near the pressure-melting point throughout, may have liquid water at the interface with the ground and are therefore free of underlying permafrost.[10]
 

skookumchuck

Council Member
Jan 19, 2012
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Several friends of mine worked for "Frackmaster" in Alberta in the early 70's. Much fracking (ya it sounds weird) was done, no earthquakes that i remember. Does anybody think fracking is new since being outed by pro whiners?
 

petros

The Central Scrutinizer
Nov 21, 2008
109,279
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Several friends of mine worked for "Frackmaster" in Alberta in the early 70's. Much fracking (ya it sounds weird) was done, no earthquakes that i remember. Does anybody think fracking is new since being outed by pro whiners?

Fracking is older than Cliffy. The earth fracks it's self for f-ck sakes.

That is true Walter but the tiny quakes do exist so there has to be a cause and so far there are lots of audible booms and houses shaking and that means the cause if below their feet no matter what the cause is. The frost quakes is one of the 'less reliable' theories as frost has been around for a long time and the shaking and booms were not there. Frost on natural ground might get 6 ft deep on a cold winter, a well traveled road would see it get twice that deep

Permafrost - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
Since all glaciers are warmed at their base by geothermal heat, temperate glaciers, which are near the pressure-melting point throughout, may have liquid water at the interface with the ground and are therefore free of underlying permafrost.[10]

Post-glacial rebound - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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"Changes in the elevation of Lake Superior due to glaciation and post-glacial rebound"

2 miles of ice weighs how much? Ice moves laterally, it is known for leaving silt in depressions rather than cleaning them out entirely. There are huge salt mines under the Lakes and that should mean when the last ice-age saw an old ocean freeze and that changes salt water into fresh water.
If all glaciers melt from below the the lake in southern Alberta that created the scablands of the Pacific Northwest is accurate then the features found there can be used if similar structures can be found. For the Great Lakes it would be a 'river; with a single whirlpool. for each lake that exists. The 'scratches; in NY would be fast moving water moving a large block of rock and they were made in one single pass as single grooves are visible.
All the shallow lakes in the north could have been scraped by ice, a sonar profile of the bottoms would show shallow depressions with smooth sides. What would a sinkhole look like in a place where the rock is getting to be above boiling in the bottoms of the holes causing many steam vents
 

spaminator

Hall of Fame Member
Oct 26, 2009
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Scientists think fracking can cause earthquakes, but they don't know how
Bob Weber, THE CANADIAN PRESS
First posted: Friday, January 15, 2016 01:57 PM EST | Updated: Friday, January 15, 2016 03:33 PM EST
A record-breaking earthquake this week in the middle of an Alberta oilfield heavily subject to hydraulic fracking is one of a growing number of such events across the continent, scientists say.
But while the amount of research on "induced seismic activity" is growing, the link between fracking and quaking is still a mystery.
"If we look at tens of thousands of wells that have been stimulated with hydraulic fracking in Western Canada, less than half a per cent are associated with induced earthquake activity," said David Eaton, a University of Calgary geophysicist.
"What are the factors that make it prevalent in some areas and entirely absent in most other areas?"
On Tuesday, an earthquake variously reported as measuring between 4.2 and 4.8 on the Richter scale shook pictures on the walls of homes in Fox Creek, a community in the centre of the Duvernay oil and gas field.
The quake was the latest — and largest — of hundreds of similar shakers around the community since 2013.
Fracking involves pumping high-pressure fluids underground to create tiny cracks in rock and release natural gas or oil held inside.
Scientists agree that fracking or injecting waste water into wells can cause earthquakes.
"Among the earth science community, I don't think there's any doubt," said Arthur McGarr of the United States Geological Survey. "The scientists are all on the same page."
But many questions still have to be answered. Experts need to sort out when fracking is the cause of earthquakes and when they're caused by waste water pumped into deep aquifers.
"Waste-water disposal, at least in the U.S., has been the primary cause of earthquakes," said McGarr. "In Canada, it's not clear that things work the same way. That's still a debated question."
Eaton said scientists are trying to identify in advance when underground faults and features could cause problems.
"But the evidence which is coming through in these studies is that features that are mappable with seismic imaging are not necessarily problematic, whereas features that are very difficult to see with the geophysical technology that we've got may actually be the problematic ones.
"There's urgent scientific research right now which is focused on trying to find better ways to identify these features in advance."
Although fracking has been around for decades, recent years have seen the technique combined with horizontal drilling and greater pressures.
"It's being done more often, more widely, with larger injection volumes," said Eaton.
The largest induced quakes have been in British Columbia, where they have measured around 5.0 on the Richter scale. And around Fox Creek the intensity of the events has been growing, said geophysicist Jeff Gu of the University of Alberta.
"The magnitude of the events is slowly creeping up a little. It's something that we need to keep an eye on," he said.
"We do have to make sure that we have enough monitoring capability in case of a larger event. The integrity of the wells would have to be inspected more regularly, especially in cases where there are small earthquakes."
McGarr said close monitoring can detect little earthquakes that could be the precursors to bigger, more dangerous ones.
"That's kind of our working hypothesis in trying to figure ways to keep the hazard down," he said. "The main thing is ... looking for clues the earthquake hazard may be climbing to dangerous levels."
Twitter @brow1960
Scientists think fracking can cause earthquakes, but they don't know how | Canad
 

MHz

Time Out
Mar 16, 2007
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No. The crust is either being pulled down and that is making new voids or it is being pushed up and that is creating new voids due to the crust adjusting itself to being at a larger diameter.