As the street party winds down in Egypt and yet another dictator bites the dust, the question on my mind is "Who is Next?".
The trigger was the recent rise in food prices which are now at a historic high and unlikely to go down any time soon due to crop destroying floods (Australia) and drought (China) combined with increased demand.
World Food Situation: FoodPricesIndex
Absolute dictatorships with extreme poverty and food insecurity combined with extreme wealth and corruption are probably the most vulnerable to revolution.
Countries which are uniformly poor where people have relative food security like Cuba and Ghana are probably immune.
Countries with extreme wealth, corruption and cronyism with moderate poverty like Saudi Arabia are most likely safe while the poorest can still afford food.
World's poorest nations:
http://www.aneki.com/countries.php?t=Poorest_Countries_in_the_World&table=fb129&places=*=*&order=asc&orderby=fb129.value&decimals=--&dependency=independent&number=all&cntdn=asc&r=-78-79-80-81-82-83-84-85-86-87-88-89-90-91-92-93-94&c=&measures=Country--GDP%20per%20capita&units=--$&file=poorest
Number of billionaires:
Top Countries with the Most Billionaires
Likely candidates in the Arab world include Algeria, Bahrain, Jordan, Libya, Syria and Yemen.
A clue about the future may be in the past. Here is a list of countries which experienced unrest during the 2007-2008 food crisis:
Bangladesh, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ethiopia, Haiti, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Mozambique, Pakistan, Myanmar, Panama, Philippines, Russia, Senegal, Somalia, Tajikistan, Yemen.
2007?2008 world food price crisis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
The trigger was the recent rise in food prices which are now at a historic high and unlikely to go down any time soon due to crop destroying floods (Australia) and drought (China) combined with increased demand.
World Food Situation: FoodPricesIndex
Absolute dictatorships with extreme poverty and food insecurity combined with extreme wealth and corruption are probably the most vulnerable to revolution.
Countries which are uniformly poor where people have relative food security like Cuba and Ghana are probably immune.
Countries with extreme wealth, corruption and cronyism with moderate poverty like Saudi Arabia are most likely safe while the poorest can still afford food.
World's poorest nations:
http://www.aneki.com/countries.php?t=Poorest_Countries_in_the_World&table=fb129&places=*=*&order=asc&orderby=fb129.value&decimals=--&dependency=independent&number=all&cntdn=asc&r=-78-79-80-81-82-83-84-85-86-87-88-89-90-91-92-93-94&c=&measures=Country--GDP%20per%20capita&units=--$&file=poorest
Number of billionaires:
Top Countries with the Most Billionaires
Likely candidates in the Arab world include Algeria, Bahrain, Jordan, Libya, Syria and Yemen.
A clue about the future may be in the past. Here is a list of countries which experienced unrest during the 2007-2008 food crisis:
Bangladesh, Brazil, Burkina Faso, Cameroon, Côte d'Ivoire, Egypt, Ethiopia, Haiti, India, Indonesia, Mexico, Mozambique, Pakistan, Myanmar, Panama, Philippines, Russia, Senegal, Somalia, Tajikistan, Yemen.
2007?2008 world food price crisis - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
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